dukeblue219

I'm not sure I buy it verbatim, but my sympathies to our Baltimore residents. 

In the last 30 minutes it's gone from all rain and 34 to mostly big wet flakes and 32 near DTSS. I should have just slept later. 

Steady rain and 34.0 degrees near downtown Silver Spring. Blerg. 

Canceled plans for the kids tomorrow 24 hours out when we had to make the call. Will be disappointing if little happens tomorrow given how hard it is to arrange covid-safe kids activities in winter. 

Oh well. Bring on the snow! 

1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said:

What is this notion that it’s so much colder north and west of 95? Even the NAM has pretty much the entire area at 33 for the duration of the event 

Because it's ALWAYS 36 in downtown DC while people in Rockville are reporting 29.

21 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said:

This is the gfs snow depth. Oooff

Snow depth maps are usually ugly, so I wouldn't worry. 

8 minutes ago, DCAlexandria said:

CWG is the worst.  A true no guts no glory forecast everytime.

Science and weather especially are full of uncertainty. They just express it better than most. I'll take their range forecasts over "Joe From Channel 5 here calling for  6 inches of snow" 

But I know you know that. 

19 minutes ago, GATECH said:

Yep, and ironically they (VA, MD, and DC) didn’t pre treat the roads.  I mean usually they treat the roads for cold rain in January...

Yeah I remember driving only a mile home from visiting a pediatrician's office with a very pregnant wife that night. I think it was around Jan 12 of 2016? The roads were impassable after only MAYBE an inch of snow and the various DOTs got hammered for it. I think that's still part of the reason they overtreat now. 

Wow, what a pleasantly overperforming snow this morning. This is our best steady snow of the storm so far in DTSS. Looks like a solid inch on the driveway I shoveled last night. Love it! 

Very light snow now in Silver Spring. Hey, at least it's better than than watching those radar blobs pass us by all morning. 

You guys want to send some of that precip over to DC? I'm watching the radar echoes pretty much spin around the city. Still quiet and 28 degrees here just north of DTSS. 

No evidence of any substantive snow or ice last night (north of downtown silver spring). Neighbor's 15 ft bamboo plants are still vertical, and they'd be the first to lean. 

7 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

A few inches of snow and kids can’t open their computers? We’re screwed..

Teachers are home with even fewer options for child care than before. Some kids can't get to their virtual learning locations. District offices are closed, and above all else, many students simply won't be present with snow outside. That's before any consideration of power outages, which have been few with this storm. I'm not arguing that school is impossible, but this is all still new and it's not a trivial decision. 

On the other hand, MCPS did elect to keep virtual learning intact, so it's definitely case by case. We'll see how it goes with MCPS and whether it's a disaster of teachers taking personal days to care for kids, and absent students. 

30 minutes ago, fujiwara79 said:

So the DC metro area was forecast to receive 4-8" of snow.  After this is all over, it seems that forecast will verify.  Granted it will take 48 hours of sporadic light snow to get there, but I wonder why there is so much gloom in this forum.  The heavier snow was always going to be further NE.  At least it wasn't a complete whiff like 12/30/2000 or 12/26/2010 or countless others.  

I agree - days like today are always disappointing, but it's still enough snow to play and sled and have a snowball fight.

The real busts are days like Mar 2013 that just kill your soul.

OK who went for a walk with mPING? 

Not doing a proper snow board, but there's a solid 2" on smooth surfaces right now (a bit north of DTSS). It's enough for the kids to throw snowballs and sled, not enough to really go nuts or bother shoveling yet. 

Essentially nothing but snow dust right now. Its not accumulating. (eta at 2:33pm it's legitimately snowing again) 

The Amazon guys are still out making their rounds. Maybe that's our new threshold for a winter storm? 

Why am I sitting here analyzing HRRR dry slots instead of enjoying the snow while it falls? 

28.8 / 27.6, both just about rock solid since 4am, with a coating to a half inch of snow on the ground and very light snow falling. . 

A mile north of downtown silver spring. 

Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

The GFS barely has 4" inside the beltway and some of that is mixed precipitation.  Trends are not good.

Where are you getting that? 

Silver Spring on this calm evening:

26.4/15.7 at 7:45

27.1/16.6 at 8:15

28.4/18.2 at 9:20

30.2/18.4 at 11:00

Silver Spring temp and dp slowly rising this evening:

26.4/15.7 at 7:45

27.1/16.6 at 8:15

28.4/18.2 at 9:20

Had to check the anemometer wasn't stuck, but my high gust since sunset is... 0 mph. It's dead quiet out there for now. Full moon is rising behind some thin clouds and that's about it. 

30.9/14.0 at 5:55pm

27.7/14.9 at 6:55pm

26.4/15.7 at 7:45

27.1/16.6 at 8:15

Silver Spring, inside the beltway

30.9/14.0 at 5:55pm

27.7/14.9 at 6:55pm

Silver Spring, inside the beltway