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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    There are a few differences in timing overall which makes some of the trough positionings look slightly east in later frames, but its actually the location of the storm. h5 @ hour 126, we can work with that. Further improvement from there would be a nice storm for most of our sub.
  2. DDweatherman
    It's still a good run, didn't really get any worse. With that look and evolution up top, I suspect we'd like the outcome if it kept up on this path. Definitely have come a long way since yesterday afternoon even.
  3. DDweatherman
    Definitely like where we're headed if theres a few more runs that continue on this path... h5 is relatively solid for some of our better outcomes of the past.
  4. DDweatherman
    The trough orientation, or posting stormvista h5 maps?
  5. DDweatherman
    Like what we're starting to see around 84 vs how the run started. Some upstream changes and vort strength doesn't look too bad.
  6. DDweatherman
    Second that, no reason to accept a forum divider if we don't have to. Lets all win.
  7. DDweatherman
    Wow, I had no idea that was earthlight. Used to love going to the NY thread to read his posts and model analysis.
  8. DDweatherman
    I will say, that's much nicer than anything I've seen to this point.
  9. DDweatherman
    @Rvarookie coming back from dinner to read the thread, it was nice seeing your posts disappear, and I suspect we won’t be seeing many new ones from you. Cheers buddy
  10. DDweatherman
    The storm will set a record for most tracked storm with fewest model runs that actually impact is significantly @Jitell these people how difficult it is to time a system like this in such a progressive flow.
  11. DDweatherman
    Certainly a lot better than 0z, just need the trough to take on more neutral/neg tilt easier. Energy is all phasing together pretty well in that evolution. Some stuff coming in on the backside to help tilt this. Assume a close miss, but a much cleaner evolution as well.
  12. DDweatherman
    That could, like you said, be either good or completely eliminate the potential altogether.
  13. DDweatherman
    No one said it was a replica of 18z but it did make a recovery. These things take 2 to 3 runs to fully recover if they ever do It woulda been nice if that additional piece of N/S energy that drops down at 138/144 would phase into the backside and help turn the axis more negative.
  14. DDweatherman
    You guys can't seriously look at h132 and think this is going to be a hit, can you? 138 looks similar in evolution and structure at h5 to 18z yesterday, but the juxtaposition is a decent bit east of that.
  15. DDweatherman
    I know why he's saying that, there's a zonal look to the flow when it gets out to h90, but it should be a recovery from priors.
  16. DDweatherman
    Forgiven, I was going to say it looked very similar to 6z through 60 when I had it that far out lol
  17. DDweatherman
    I'm going to have to watch this run come out after the topsy turvy model analysis we've seen the last few days. Ji will tell us its a disaster regardless. through what hour?
  18. DDweatherman
    It’s really amusing how you’ve taken over for Bob’s old ways. He tells everyone to not waste time at long leads and their ROI, and you’ve been locked in on this one since 9 days out
  19. DDweatherman
    Alcoa is one of my accounts for work we’re trying to get into, know anyone? Haha
  20. DDweatherman
    I'm actually dead right now, kinda does look like him. Probably doesn't fit as Randy's avatar tho...
  21. DDweatherman
    Not being a jerk, its just incorrect often in the middle of tracking key moments before an event. Ask @stormtracker, its best to let those who best at analyzing upper air patterns and trends to key on run to run changes close into our potential high impact events. This one being tracked right now is a week out, so its the best time to learn.
  22. DDweatherman
    Yeah when I think of model analysis, Randy isn't the first name that comes to mind. BUT, you've been doing this a long time, and you're certainly not Ravens94 or that Snowen guy. I know you're not lying
  23. DDweatherman
    Jonjon just wants to see the snow backdrop to the beach, different look than he's used to.
  24. DDweatherman
    Yeah we just did one to Deep Creek and made a trip out of it Saturday-Wednesday. It was one for the books, almost 20" and true blizzard whiteout conditions at times. Awesome event.
  25. DDweatherman
    Doing some work, but I think QPF performed well on this. Radarscope total estimates show 1", which might be overdone. But if some can verify for us, would be interested to know.
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