SouthCoastMA

Just now, George001 said:

I’m not denying that we can get snow. It absolutely can snow with AN temp anomalies in New England, but you aren’t building a snowpack with this post 2015 temp profile. 

bruh, worry about getting your 1st inch than worrying about a snowpack

peak snow climo here is February, but a snowless holiday season with a couple brutal rainstorms thrown in breeds misery. But anyone punting Winter as a whole this early would be foolish. That's probably a strawman, because I'm not sure anyone is actually doing that. 

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Most guidance is suggesting after the new year before anything worth watching may materialize.

The most you can take away from this stretch is that we aren't getting a raging s'easter on Christmas Eve or Day. Other than that, dog shit until possibly around new years. I'm at 2" so technically near or above snow climo, but it's always a bummer when we can't sniff a stray flurry between December 20-31. 

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

The GFS verbatim would send a bunch of people into melts with a nice cutter setting up for Jan 4th, after the 28th disaster

(

Luckily, it's 15 days out.  And the pattern does start to look better after next week's tentative abomination. 

The GFS verbatim would send a bunch of people into melts with a nice cutter setting up for Jan 4th, after the 28th disaster

(

How high above a roof does an anemometer need to be to get more accurate readings? Mines about 6ft above the highest point on my roof, away from the chimney..but it still seems like turbulence is causing some issues. 

Only record a 34mph gust yesterday, when it reality we were in the 60's (or at least 50s)

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Enjoy the rainstorm on the 27th. I'll be enjoying some severe weather down in Florida ahahahahahahahahaha

Ouch..might be a little too early to spike this one. You potentially screwed yourself with bad juju

first casualty 

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Jesus that thing off FMH

might get effed here soon

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I said yesterday best gusts will be just away from south coast shoreline. Probably a little inverted. But it will ramp up.

nice call on that. we'll see if we can hit 50 or 60 in the next couple hours

There should be a 5 'reaction' limit as well. The meaning just gets watered down if a weenie emoji is used every time a poster gets butthurt on an otherwise logical post

so far just a run of the mill storm with moderate gusts. we'll see if things ramp up but not holding my breath

34mph gust on my station

Remember, in the current day climate, 80% of the fun is watching the models print out virtual snow.  At least, that's how I've mentally trained myself to cope lately. 

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

WTF is the GFS doing lol. What a blocky run.

Reverse grinch

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Yep.

But really just Sunday night through Monday. Not a 3 day washout as implied

A win is just getting it cold for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. The GFS would work, with a nice High pressing in from Quebec Ontario

On 12/8/2023 at 7:32 AM, SouthCoastMA said:

I don't hate the GEFS look around the 12/20-12/22 timeframe 

The GEFS had this period (give or take a day) as something to watch off and on since 12/8. So, we watch with expectations in check. 

6z gfs throwing us a christmas eve bone

most likely we'll just get boned

it's just kinda breezy here. my deer decorations out front haven't even blown over. meh

my guess is we needed more convection to bring those winds down

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That storm on the 18th-19th is ugly. Rains to canadas

That 6z GFS OP run seems like the best case scenario in this pattern which is colder for Christmas but no snow or grincher. I'd lock it in if I could.

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Cops salaries FTW!!

That's one overtime shift of him in his cruiser checking the 00z and 6z runs. 

12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Some of the Debbie Downers in here are forgetting its December 8th.. How are we saying that the rest of the month is horrible and nothing until after Christmas the earliest? If your long range forecasting skills were that good, pretty sure you'd have an important job with NOAA.  For now we know that things are unfavorable in the next 5-10 days and thats about it.  Every piece of information that we have does in fact say that things slowly start to turn less hostile in the 10-15 and possibly favorable in the 15-20.  Thats all we know for now. 

I don't hate the GEFS look around the 12/20-12/22 timeframe 

31 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

The progged date is 3-4 days too soon.

plenty of time to adjust to the 24/25th. lock it in 

14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

How much had you wound up with/

2", though not a ton melted. still a solid 1"+ in most areas