olafminesaw

Yeah it's mostly machine learning data correlations and such as far as I've heard, but I'm not sure that the specifics are really well understood by the weather community anyway. Actually there was a little segment about the deep mind and Isiais on NPR this morning and they were saying how mostly the project is worked on by non-meteorologist, not even programers with meteorology experience, mostly neural network engineers

Incredible model battle here. I have a feeling I know which one is going to win

I'm inclined to believe what we were seeing on radar in terms of a moat was just a massive feeder band rather than an outer eyewall

Yes! That was a couple years ago if I am thinking of the same one

Nola's final track. What a beast

Oh yeah, crazy differences for ~4 days out. Bodes well for winter tracking!

About that outlier...

The CFS weeklies agree on the timeframe of the shift to a wetter than normal period. The long range GEFS is showing more near normal

Counting only hurricanes making landfall at hurricane strength between the western panhandle and tampa: 17-26 5 07-16 1 97-06 2 87-96 2 77-86 1 67-76 3

Yeah it's pretty comical

Yeah it's always been November but I kinda expected more of a ramp up. Maybe that was a false expectation

Dry as a bone the next couple of weeks

This one goes through the full event