olafminesaw

850 temps at onset favor snow West of 85 and rain East. Doesn't push the cold air East until after most of the moisture has exited. Just something to watch Tommorow morning

This has a the makings of a big surprise for Tidewater VA

Approaching landfall as a Cat 5 Flizzard

The funny part is a band of rain is supposed to roll through here tomorrow

I think he could very well be right, if as usual cold air takes longer than expected to bleed over the mountains. However,I do feel we could overcome with decent rates and get a coating or so as far SE as RAH

I am an optimist at heart but I will believe above normal precip when I see it

Another tick north on the Euro

It helps that sun angle is still relatively low and ground temps should be fairly cold with how cold it's been.

Hres RGEM

Third wet non-accumulating snow of the year? At least we do that well

Nah, we need a place to crash out regardless that's not the main thread

It's pretty wild that coastal VA is looking at rain while SE Georgia might be the jackpot for snow

I do think rates will over perform somewhere and there will be a surprise, in a narrow band. Just impossible to nail down where until Sunday

My deep dive analysis on the 12z model suite can be found below:

Thermals were actually a touch colder this run on the GFS