olafminesaw

Next bit of interesting weather is some training of heavy rain cells Thurs/Friday that could lead to flash flooding concerns over a narrow stripe

Some signs of life in the long range. Maybe some kind of frozen slop about a week from now. Not entirely sure if I want that to happen.

Looks like a wallops island launch viewing map

Here's the comparison, lol

Crazy model runs for the mid-atlantic. GFS has 30" for DC and the Euro 2". 3-4 days out now.

Yeah, this doesn't look like our storm because of the little bit of SE ridge, but this does have the classic look of a big storm from DC to NYC. Haven't had one of those in a while (from a coastal anyway)

It's been creeping up over the last few weeks, but not enough to reach close to Nino before late spring at the earliest. Of course we could still have a nino like pattern in a neutral Enso state as we saw a few weeks ago

For kicks and giggles

My definition is any of the following criteria being met. Of course no winter meets these criteria consecutively, but the end of winter in my book is whenever the last date of one of these criteria is met 1) snow/sleet accumulation 1"+ 2) ice accumulation more than a light glaze 3) high temps in the 30s for 3+ days in a 5 day stretch

Sad situation, a direct impact on a metro area of 500k+

In all seriousness, something must have changed this winter, they used to hold back graphics until they are publicly released, now the automated maps seem to be available at any time (presumably based on the NBM). If so, it's not great for these graphics to be potentially shared all over social media before they get any kind of human review.

I simply could not be less enthused for 33 and rain

The perfect track just no cold air. Back to our regularly scheduled programing I suppose