olafminesaw

The Euro AI has been very consistent in showing a maximum along the VA border

The AI GFS looks nice too

Yeah it's great to see that we could get accumulating snow even with the less amplified solutions knowing that a more amplified look would increase rates and crash temps even faster. That is, if the trough can stay sufficiently far south

Of course, Kuchera will be more accurate, but that's still pretty sweet. I hope somehow Raleigh gets 3"+ just for the memes

Can you please schedule a surgery for December 25?

Yep! Hard to ignore the trends, going to come down to temps/rates at this point

I don't disagree with where this is going. Everything has to go perfectly. I think up along the VA border may do okay with this event, especially if trends towards a more amped system continue

GFS has the Wake county screw zone so it must be correct

It always seems like this would happen growing up in Northern Virginia. We'd get a big snow and then a few days later a sneaky little system that uptrended at the last minute to drop a few inches

We just got RGEMed

The 6z GFS made a big change up top. Not far from something halfway decent

Holy cow, just incredible temp swings at GSO

Euro AI is pretty amped. Definitely trending towards a little snow, although temps will be borderline for accumulation

Me after getting the deformation band but checking every model run hoping for a little wet snow