olafminesaw

Yeah that does look like a meaningful improvement

Eh. I wouldn't give the GFS too much credit given how much it folded to the Euro (gradually), while the Euro hasn't taken any meaningful steps back to the South (yet)

the Euro has little to no snowfall with a sounding like this leading up to the storm and blocking

February 94 as well.

What in the heck is that mess? I think the red and orange should be flipped?

Euro vs GFS, big differences still

Come on Euro. Make happy hour great again

We kinda already have a bit I think in general. Really need the Euro to move in that direction, it has been stubborn

Seems a bit north so far but the ridge is stronger to the East so that may help suppress as the system moves East

I agree, although I could definitely see a massive dry slot cutting into QPF way more than models are showing. At this point 4-6" of sleet or bust in my mind.

This sounding is bonkers, 11 degrees at the surface and 40 degrees 5000 ft up

The ICON looks like a step in the right direction through 72, with more spacing

RGEM is showing a wide stripe of sleet with a more narrow zone of ZR in the deep south. Once it is in range, it will be a key model to watch

Yeah I think it's just frustration at losing the once in a generation snowstorm potential. I find myself chasing the high of the "big one", that I experienced when I was a kid. But I know at the end of the day it will come ago and melt away and my life overall won't be better or worse as a result of what happens. Snow is a gift at the end of the day

Yep, reposting what I shared yesterday. This low track was 2" snow, 2" sleet and minimal ZR in the triad