olafminesaw
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About olafminesaw
- Birthday 08/05/1995
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We've had some, they just haven't panned out.
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Reloads nicely after the 15th as well. Very cold run after the pattern change
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Feels like late phase has been a big issue for years now. In fact, I can't remember the last big juicy coastal winter storm (regardless of precip type)
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I'm also thinking the storm around the 15th is more of a Northeast threat and sets the stage for more southerly storm tracks
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A lot may hinge on the NAO cooperating as to whether this pattern is legit or not
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Seems like the sort of pattern where we may get frequent shots at light accumulation but no big storm threat.
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All three major indices favorable (albeit near neutral mid-month), may be hard for models to resolve
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Yeah, as much as the concern has been that cold dumps to our West, it seems like the trend today has been to make any cold air in North America disappear
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Given the -NAO, we would have to really be cursed not to get any cold air in Jan. Linking up the moisture with the cold is of course another matter
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GEFS and AI GEFS both showing cold around the 12th, while the EPS is warm
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