olafminesaw

Lucy whet her appetite and is hungry for more victims

We can't seem to get a trough to tilt negative to save our lives the last few years. Not being negative about the prospects for this storm, just an observation

Dang.

AI GFS digs the trough much more this run

Nice, gotta focus on the big picture pieces. All the pieces are on the board,just need to nail down phasing/timing of all the energy. Will be a few more days of model mayhem before we can start focusing on the details

Really neat loop and a word of caution https://x.com/TomNiziol/status/2015858077736546666?s=20

14 days 21 hours in 1977. With a decent snowpack it may start pushing towards the top of the list

Euro AI Rock Steady in the general evolution (6z vs 12z)

Euro AI and AI EPS are both looking really good

EPS more suppressed, but in a great spot for the coast

It's the double barrel low that keeps the Euro from being a bigger run. That primary low position is perfect, just need it to consolidate

A beautiful ice cold run for the carolinas with decent moisture. All we can really ask for

The HRPDS nailed this storm BTW. Unfortunately just at the edge of it's domain, but this was some frames from the Saturday 12z run

Not too far off from the ICON, especially at this range

This site is awesome! has all kinds of customized overlay options, but being overlay reflectivity with 500 mb vorticity really helps show the interaction between the surface and upper levels. Aguacero | Advanced Weather Visualization