olafminesaw

Given the -NAO, we would have to really be cursed not to get any cold air in Jan. Linking up the moisture with the cold is of course another matter

GEFS and AI GEFS both showing cold around the 12th, while the EPS is warm

Obviously seems like a kick the can situation but beyond the first reshuffle looking good on the AI GEFS

Yeah, even if PNA developed as advertised yesterday, there is usually a lag before we see impacts. Now that too is in question. Anyone know how PNA works together with Enso? I would think they would be interrelated.

My wife's home town in Wyoming broke it's record for Christmas eve by 9 degrees and tied the all time December high temp of 65

Eric webb is one of the best, However he does tend to be a bit reactionary

Record low humidity this afternoon for this date and nearly for the month of December (around 15%)

I think there may be a little more hope for February this year with a fading Nina (possibly neutral by then)

The dewpoint has nearly continuously risen for the past 72 hours from 2 degrees up to 53

It really just sounds like an argument over if the glass is half full or half empty. I choose to appreciate the flakes we got even though it's frustrating to have been so close to more significant accumulation

Oh yeah, that'll totally happen

NOAA is rolling out new AI models, including a hybrid model combining the GEFS and the AI GEFS https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models

Also the earliest in the year it has gotten this cold at GSO since Nov 25th 1970

Tied with 2024. The last time it dropped colder than 11 was Dec 2022 when it dropped to 5.