olafminesaw

Lol, are we sure it's not January? A model battle between GFS CMC ICON vs Euro, UKMET, RGEM, north trend south trend disagreement, low tracking of the coast of Florida? But what about sun angle?

Not liking the northern cutoff. Often sharper than modeled

Still running near record low precip since October

Thought y'all might get a kick out of this

Ensembles people. Also the rainfall potential this weekend was always paltry (few models more than .25), the wetter period starts later next week and has mostly held the course

I agree to a point, but it seems likely we will get multiple opportunities over the next two weeks. Sometimes a few .5" rainfalls is better than one big 2" rainfall for busting drought. Hopefully we can stop the bleeding anyway

Not way out in fantasy range anymore

Last few runs of the Euro AI have just been comical

Euro vs EL nino climo. I think slightly below normal starting in May is a good bet. Which honestly isn't the worst outcome to keep the drought from accelerating.

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King Euro AI would have to agree