DeltaT13

Coastal transfers simply do not work for WNY. The sooner you accept this the easier it becomes. I give you credit though, you held out hope longer than most. Respect.

I'll be heading your way this weekend B dubs!!

I mean is no one at that office actually looking at the radar and what is happening. There has been heavy snow heading in our direction for 12 hours now and none has made it here yet. There is obviously impressive subsidence and dry air to contend with. Current radar is drying up as fast as it has been all morning.

I'll believe it when I see it. 7+ inches, give me a ****ing break. 1-2" on the high end.

You're right about the first part. If we were going to get snow, it was all coming late in the period..It was never supposed to be snowing for most of us right now. 0z GFS says tomorrow will be snowy and wintry all day (Noon is when the column really saturates), so we'll see. Might not be a ton of snow but I'll take anything at this point..

Good lord. That must be 3-5”/hr stuff, epic!

NE lake enhancement is one of my favorite setups. I feel like big DeltaT's arent as critical with a lot of background moisture and lift. Those are right around the 13 degree benchmark though so we should be in play, perhaps doing a little better because the lake temp is probably 4 or 5 degrees above freezing for some portion of the center of it.

For a smaller mountain, their glades are really impressive. It always blows my mind when they have the snow how much terrain there is, and its pretty technical. I only go when I know I can get off piste though...and Wednesday looks pretty prime.

Yeah, he's all in. I'm on the West Side of Roc and bitter. I think this is a great storm system meteorologically, I'm just not impressed by the throwback scraps in these situations for us in far WNY..it rarely works out. Cuse is on the cusp of legit snows though. That said, this storm stalls for a lot longer than similar systems, so perhaps once its really closes off and matures it will be able to channel a lot of moisture back west. Then there is the question of whether or not a deformation band will setup somewhere this way along with the lake effect wildcard. I'm certainly tracking it and hopeful, but just not feeling really confident. Im planning to hit Greek Peak on Wednesday which should be a very solid day. They have great glades!

Buf - 3, ROC - 3, Syr - 5

My forecast numbers for the I95 are going to miss by 2-3x, haha. They are getting blitzed right now. I guess I forgot what a stalled low with beautiful upper level dynamics can do on the coast in mid winter. Sadly, I think my upstate numbers will be more accurate

And its not even in fantasy land, quite intriguing. That's the Miller A we've been dreaming of. Frustratingly, that is the weekend of my annual Whiteface ski trip, that of course it's canceled this year. I will flip my shit if they get 3 feet of snow the first time I'm not there in the last decade.

You know what I know causes severe life changing symptoms? The virus itself. The lung damage studies I’m seeing are absolutely terrifying. I’ll take my chances on the vaccine that so far have shown nothing anywhere near the damage caused by the virus itself. It’s an easy decision for me.

I have no information as to the decisions they are making about treating people who’s bodies are destroyed by Chemo, radiation, and cancer itself.. That scenario is obviously a far more complex discussion. As for regular healthy adults, I have little concern. I trust our scientists. I trust the vaccine makers and doctors. Call me crazy, I’m a hopeless optimist.

I hope all these people who don't want the vaccine help bump me up in the line. I have zero reservations and concerns about any effects. I know at least a dozen people who have gotten the first shot and had absolutely zero reaction. I think a lot of these people claiming adverse reactions have vivid imaginations and suffer from psychosomatic symptoms. It's safe, it's extremely similar to many vaccines routinely taken. Anyway, keep spreading the fear, hopefully it gets me a jab sooner!

Im a huge proponent of fission. I wish it didn’t have the stigma. That said, things like Fukushima highlight some pretty egregious shortsightedness in planning and building these plants. I wish we were building more plants across the world right now instead of retiring them. It’s sad.

Ok, I agree that was douchey but you are oppressive with your opinions sometimes. I apologize for that. Here is what makes a full scale megawatt fusion power plant a massive challenge. The quarter mile stayout zone I mentioned...is because of an incredible amount of neutrons produced in the fusion reaction. This constant fluence of neutrons would destroy any modern circuit board in a matter of minutes. There are currently no known technologies to deal with the radiation environments of a fusion reactor. So now we have a fully automated plant running on technology that doesnt even exist. It's so far beyond current technologies. That said, the plasma physics side of this equation is actually even more challenging and still decades away from having a solution.

That's because you don't have the slightest concept of how difficult certain fusion power plant schemes are. Continue to think you know more about everything. Here's a pro tip, you don't.

I'll give you one mind blowing fact about a full scale fusion power plant. There would be a mandatory stay out zone around plant that would be at least a quarter mile from the plant itself because of the insane amount of neutron fluence from the fusion reaction. This means that not one single human can be onsite, or even nearby during its operation. Therefore, a functional fusion power plant will need to be 100 percent automated. That issue alone pushes the complexity of such a plant into another realm. Think how pathetic our advancements in robotics are right now relative to where they need to be.

I've been working in Fusion Research for 18 years now. A viable fusion power plant is honestly still 50-100 years away (at best). Tokamaks and shit like that are gimmicks. A true fusion power plant is an order of magnitude more complex than anything we have conceived this point. There is a huge need for solar and wind during this long transition period. We would be best served continuing with fission but taking measures to ensure its safe with a reliable way to dispose of the waste. I work with a lot of physicists who don't think a viable fusion power plant will even exist in this century. It's next level shit.

So just to summarize your post...you consider yourself smarter and more informed than the thousands of scientists and doctors that created this vaccine, is that correct? If that isnt the case, you feel as if this is some huge covert conspiracy theory, of which you are the only person to uncover this, is that correct? Either way we spin it, you are apparently a foremost virus expert or the greatest detective of our time. Get over yourself. Also, you personify the viruses behavior as if its a thinking sentient creature hell bent on the destruction of the human race. It's not checking its copies, its not scanning its makeup. It's a ****ing primitive virus mutating and surviving at a base level. Stop glorifying it.

I’m aware you don’t value life and specially the lives of others. We’ve been down this road before. Thankfully not everyone thinks like you.

A really callous and disgusting approach....but I can't say I'm surprised. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/16/trump-appointee-demanded-herd-immunity-strategy-446408

This insanity happened a couple miles from my house tonight. https://neighbors.ring.com/n/drzADv8r1V

This is actually a decent point. I’m willing to bet money I’ve had hangovers that are an order of magnitude worse than the side effects from the vaccine. Not concerned about it at all.