Harry

5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Cross referencing COD, looks the same as WxBell…




.

Thanks. One I am using has me on the northside of the bullseye. Qpf nearing 1.75 here and higher as you head south and se towards OH/IN.. 

7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

18z GEFS mean...

Strange? Site I am using has that axis a bit further south and higher totals? For the mean.... 

Anyone checked on the ao, nao, epo, PNA? Where are they and headed? Can provide a clue sometimes. 

16 minutes ago, Jonger said:

Have never cracked 16 inches in 42 years here. Total depth has, but not from one storm.

GHD Il? I know I cracked that as did Josh? The hard to crack number here is 24 which hasn't been done since 78. 67 was the other which was as someone else noted basically a qpf bomb and thus why such widespread 18+ amounts from IL to MI which is rare in this part of the world and the only reason I don't totally discount the GFS. Chances are slim of that sort of thing but not zero. 

27 minutes ago, RogueWaves said:

Because the "lore" did not originate from impacts in SEMI. From KFNT south to Detroit was a royal screw zone compared to anywhere else in The Mitt, all of Indiana, and at least half of Ohio. 

In Genesee county where I was, we had pretty much what KFNT reported, about 8" new on top of a 5" base of compacted prior snows. But that 8" was driven into some incredible drifts (was mostly farmland back then). The snow drifts formed along/around hedge rows of bushes and trees that separated to plowed fields outside my neighborhood. I remember seeing a snowmobile just drive right up and over a ten or 12 foot tree that had been filled with pulverized dendrites so the stuff was like igloo making material. Those WNW winds on the backside were wicked. Even created drifts in our city lots of 3-4 feet. The wild winds made that more than a typical 8-10" storm, at least up in the open rural area I lived in. 

Total here was 25.5! Highest totals were just south of here near the Indiana border.  

3 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said:

Euro continues the trend Joe was mentioning. Naso good. Alek gonna be punting come morning and can’t say I blame him. Still crazy high amounts in the main axis but that axis is Indy to NW OH. A snoozer axis

 

 

If it was the euro of yesteryear I would be punting too. That model and this region don't have a decent record in recent years with winter events. 

Tomorrow I'll fire up the old computer to see which model it was that did what the euro is kinda doing at this range with the suppression crap. 

Ofcourse this is still a ways out and many things can change. 

1 hour ago, Thundersnow12 said:

The old threads are still there it's just a matter of trying to find images still on there showing accumulations at this range. But IIRC and finding a few random images confirms it, amounts for that storm/the top end fcst amounts were not as high as what we are seeing with this one.

I still have alot of those images on my old computer. That did briefly trend south to the point of being a i70 special but then came back north. 

Then there is Daddylonglegs? 

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

You do realize he has been on here for years under another name, and we are respectable with each other.

Good to know! Maybe he will make a appearance? 

2 minutes ago, Baum said:

since we've seen some old time poster re-emerge I'd say a weekend camping with Bowme in Wisky's northwoods. As I recall, you guys always hit it off.

I was asking about him? So he just vanished as well? 

18 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Feb 15/16, 2021 honorable mention

ORD: 6.9"

DTW: 10.4"

TOL: 14.5"

 

But here's calling Feb 1/2, 2015

ORD: 18.0"

DTW: 16.7"

TOL: 12.0"

I was thinking about that 2015. Didn't realize ( probably just forgot )  ORD finished with the same total as here. 

7 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

Let’s f*cking do this. 

Hey hey! We got most of the crew back! 

Lets turn this up!!!!

Edit! 

Where is bowme? 

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

Who is this stranger that is posting? 

Figured I would slide on by and see how all was doing. Ofcourse this potential has piqued my interest. 

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

powerball and harry, thread has incredible energy right now

Nice lake effect event! Hard to beat a snowstorm in the city. The whole city is basically transformed from the landscape to the sounds which seem to vanish when the snow really gets going. 

And yeah GFS looking solid for alot of us. 

41 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Kind of a garbage look aloft on the 18z GFS, but goes to show that you don't always need a sexy appearance for big snows.

A open gom can usually get the job done in situations like this. 

13 minutes ago, buckeye said:

That's the 'other' '78 blizzard right there.   One week after the cleveland bomb.   All my relatives outside immediate family live in Rhode Island.   My grandparents got about 4' in their backyards from that one.   I would have loved to be there for something like that.

Does this mean that we get our 78 next week? Lol  Even though I would hate those winds I won't pass if it comes with the same total here. 

8 minutes ago, buckeye said:

Welcome back Harry, good to see an old timer coming back in.  Assuming you're still in western MI?

Thanks! Good to see you! I am still at the same spot in W.MI! 

9 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

NWS is going 12-18" for Boston.

I do wonder if ratios may suffer more than Kuchera suggests due to the strong winds.  That is a seriously deep low off the coast.

That's been my thought. Ofcourse the wind does shit for me anyways and why I would ( without blinking ) take a Jan 67 over Jan 78 anytime for this location. I have seen both back east ( 2 footers ) with and without wind. No wind please! 

Wowsers on the 12z euro. 20+ Boston proper. 18+ line almost to ORH! Some 30+ totals showing up towards the cape! 

Good luck guys and enjoy! 

2 hours ago, mimillman said:

Wife tested positive for covid so that sorts out the Boston trip 

12z euro destroys Boston .. 18+ line goes almost to ORH! 20+ Boston proper south and to the cape. Even my old hood down the coast ( MD/DE beaches ) gets a foot! 

Dropping in for a quick hi! Hope all has been well with everyone! 

On 3/5/2019 at 5:59 PM, beavis1729 said:

How is it possible for every single storm to take the exact same track for the past 5 weeks??

On top of that...even if the storm tracks west of you, shouldn't enough antecedent cold air remain in place so that the warm air rides above it...as opposed to just displacing it entirely at all levels?  It's completely maddening and frustrating. One could even argue that we had a similar pattern as 1978-79 (the holy grail of winters in Chicago), but displaced about 100 miles north.  The margin of error is so narrow here in the tropics, as Cary67 alluded to above.

I am convinced that the unacceptably huge thaw after the arctic outbreak in late January was the death knell of winter in our area.  It wiped out 12"+ of snow cover all at once.  If that decent snowpack would have remained in place across most of the Midwest, it may have displaced the baroclinic zone/storm track a bit further south...and it could be an entirely different ballgame.

I guess it's more understandable in March...but in DJF, you shouldn't have to worry about exactly where a storm tracks.  If there is precip, it should be snow.

Not only that but the models have honed in on them far out. How many times have we had a storm show up day 7-10 and hold steady on the models? It is beyond maddening! Time for it to end!

The lake has saved the day here but that is not saying much either.

6 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

If only Lk. Michigan were another 80 miles wider, what a difference it would make for the LES. You're right about that!

Another 80 would help for sure. I would also extend it another 80 south as well. Still as is has helped us a bit especially in winters like this.

5 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

 

Must pay for our December to remember 

Back here to say no more of this bs storm track nw of or into Michigan!

I think i need to post here more to get rid of this disgusting storm track we have had to endure this winter!

Hi all!

Killing the records here..

KBTL

For today. 1-30-19

Coldest high temp is 8 set in 1951. Record low is -13 in 1951

For tomorrow. 1-31-19

Coldest high temp is 10 set in 1900. Record low is -10 set in 1899

_____________________________________________________________________________________________

Battle Creek 5NW.

For today. 1-30-19

Coldest high temp is 12 set in 1977. Record low is -2 in 1977

For tomorrow. 1-31-19

Coldest high temp is 8 set in 1971. Record low is -7 set in 1996

______________________________________________________________________________________________

So far today the high is -1 and the low is -12 at KBTL.. Coldest wind chill has been -40. Wont know about the other station Battle Creek 5nw till after midnight.

Currently -12 at KBTL.. Brrrr

what was forecasted at the coast for 93 and what did you get?  AFAIK, that storm was always expected to go inland from the coast.

Was expected to go off of Hattaras and keep it mostly snow from about the DE/MD line north on the Delmarva. Even had blizzard watches and warnings ( expectations was for around 2 feet with some calls as high as 3 feet ) up till it arrived but were quickly replaced/downgraded to winter storm warnings and even winter weather advisories at the beaches. Got a couple on the front end and about 6 on the back side. Temps cracked 60 and if i recall right we even ended up with a tornado watch? Surface low tracked right across the mid part of the Delmarva and off the DE coast i do believe?