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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. That warm nose is becoming more pronounced with the NAM. We get a step forward with more QPF and then 2 steps back with a stubborn warm nose on this model.
  2. It's bleak troops. But no time to give up. Just like things appear to be going to shit so quickly, they can turn around just as quickly. We know this. It's happened. I'm an eternal optimist. Let's hold the line for Wave 1 and at least wait until 0z tomorrow night for Wave 2. Stiffen that backbone and let's see if we can ride it out.
  3. Brutal. May not to adjust ourselves accordingly if the 0z runs don't improve. It ain't over yall. Wasn't over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor.
  4. Depending on temps (I'm guessing marginal to decent?), conservative, 1-2"
  5. Ok, status quo on Wave 1. Let's bring Wave 2 home
  6. What was it at 12z? The most important part is wave 2
  7. Yes. And it probably will. 18z tends to go off the rails like the 6z NAM does.
  8. I guess the 18z Euro could shed some light on this. Or make it more confusing. 18z Euro folks, you know what to do when the time comes
  9. GFS looks a little more norther with Wave 2 vs 12z
  10. It's tainted, but isn't it longer lasting than 12z?
  11. First wave seems healthier on the GFS, no? Nothing extraordinary, but still
  12. Yeah, kinda makes me feel like 10% better No. Nooooooo.
  13. It really is quite bad, and I'm the most optimistic, half glass full person here. I still think it may be doing too much, but the trend south today can't be denied.
  14. Quite frustrating. No verdict yet tho...again 0z is the benchmark
  15. yup. looks like another shove south. I dunno. Trending to less for part 2, more for part 1
  16. Although nothing else has that, it's annoying me and raising an eyebrow. I wish it would get rid of that.
  17. Even starting out back in KY for our second wave looks different, shape and intensity.
  18. yeah Wave 1 is def healthier, at least down here
  19. Wave 1 seems better for our forum than 12z? start sharp cutoff just south of DC, but looks a little better rates?
  20. 12z runs today were kind of a debacle. Every storm, from tomorrow thru next week is becoming unglued.
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