That warm nose is becoming more pronounced with the NAM. We get a step forward with more QPF and then 2 steps back with a stubborn warm nose on this model.
It's bleak troops. But no time to give up. Just like things appear to be going to shit so quickly, they can turn around just as quickly. We know this. It's happened. I'm an eternal optimist. Let's hold the line for Wave 1 and at least wait until 0z tomorrow night for Wave 2. Stiffen that backbone and let's see if we can ride it out.
It really is quite bad, and I'm the most optimistic, half glass full person here. I still think it may be doing too much, but the trend south today can't be denied.