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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. This map is the most impressive one yet...this would be a total Euro cave
  2. Yes. Relative to the final position, yup. I think you get what I'm saying. Given a choice between the two, with one ending up right...yeah..
  3. Was just about to say the same thing. One of these models is going to be VERY wrong and my money would be on the GFS being that model.
  4. Looks like now it's a bit suppressed, lol. vs 12z...still a good amount of moisture. Nobody here would turn this run down
  5. Nice slug of moisture to our south, 0 line way down south. Like VA Beach south. SFC Fz line cuts through FDK
  6. Ok, up to 189, looks like it's a race again. Second heavier slug of moisture to our SSW down in the Tenn Valley area coming up and cold front pressing S and E
  7. okay, up to 183, basically same so far vs 12z...lot of rain about to hit the area
  8. Well I wouldn't say never too early. Doing pbp on a 312 hour storm might be a little excessive
  9. It's fun. It's never too early as long as people expectations are in check and realistic
  10. I'll take it. In this winter, I'd be happy with freezing rain and sleet.
  11. The unfortunate thing is.....the GFS is alone with this. CMC doesn't have anything close to this.
  12. I think Yoda may have checked soundings and that's snow for DC? @yoda?
  13. 207, moderate to heavy frozen (snow? sleet?) across the area, especially DC south
  14. Heavy precip with 0 line well south of the area, just south of Calvert county. SFC Fz is in western md
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