wx2fish

6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Got 6” in Nashua now . That is with one clearing around 7am off the ole car top.

roads are accumulating again , looks like metro NW is actually pounding and again up by Amesbury last two hours 

Just hit 6" here too on deck without clearing 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think many questioned the CCB as the gfs was the only one to really show it. That said, it’s about what I thought in NE Ma and SNH. 

This round is ending up better than I thought here. Pounding 

Over 5.5" now. Band is definitely adding up, albeit slower than these rates should if it was a degree colder 

Radar definitely blossoming a bit along 495/NH border region 

5.0". Probably mod now with icy flakes 

Rate is back up in this MA border band. Flakes are still pretty icy though 

14 minutes ago, 512high said:

Nice......so we are on the same page, i measured 4.5", wonder if we can grab a bit more, Davis at shop @ 33F

I think we can still add a little  but itll become mroe rate dependent.  Those echoes to southwest are the ones to watch as they build ENE. Hrrr/Rap both still enhance those across southern NH for a few hours later this morning. 

A little over 4.5" so far

Looks like the 18z euro juiced it up a little more 

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I like Noyes' map...similar to mine.

Don't hate it either. If tomorrow's ccb stuff actually pans out I could see higher totals, but Ive been thinking 6-9" here. 

12km went pretty wild for SNH, 3km more tame though 

Nam juiced up the thump a bit in SNH 

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Still going wild with the thump in CT up into ORH region. 

Pretty wild tomorrow with the ccb too. Still hard to buy, but that would be a wild couple hour ending

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m sure someone has the FV3 to post. Prob gives you warning criteria. 

Nam is pretty good tomorrow in eastern Rockingham into SW ME

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Agreed...this has been a bit problem is a quite a bit of dry air to contend with. I think the airmass is even drier then Monday's. It's going to take some time to really saturate I think. 

Also, the storm ingests a ton of dry air from the southwest. Looping RH at 500/700 is pretty uneasy looking. Sure, where you're lift is stronger and ulvl divergence is greater you'll offset this some, but we're playing with time here.

Soundings for SNH are well below freezing through the column on the hrrr. My guess is the sleet coloring on the maps is showing up from a dry dgz with lower level lift. Could just end up crap flakes vs sleet, but there is a ton of dry air aloft. 

That's a pretty violent finish for SNH on the hrrr. Well see what the other mesos look like 

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I think monads are doing better thou . My guess is 55-60 there , they did better in the late January stretch and the December nor easter but I don’t know if we have anyone that measures as meticulously as Dave there

Looks like the AFN coop is at 52"

15 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Still have a hard time believing we’ll see any meaningful accumulation after 15z or so. Hard sell on the 8-12’’ maps. 

Unless we get a full gfs look, the dgz dries right out after 15z. So, I'd agree there 

Still pretty ugly, but south and better for SNH and NE MA. 

Just now, weatherwiz said:

0z NAM early on and its so much slower with everything so far.Barely has the line getting into Memphis by 12z now

Even if sniffed something out here, loop the last 3-5 runs for around ORD. Absolutely brutal performance 

Meanwhile, 3k looks a little snowier here than 12z

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don't see how you can't toss it. It's not even close to other guidance. I'm not sure what it's doing when it gets closer to the lakes....but it was significantly less amped in the first 18 hours or so of that run and then it just goes crazy with the neg tilt and sets off a nuke near Detroit.

Differences for ORD have been comical. Most everything else trended toward a meh event and the nam still hammers them. It was a trend south out there tho. 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS may be south lol.

Kraft gone wild there sat. 

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Another system with temps 32/33 as meat of precip hits Merrimack valley . I’m feeling confident Elevations are going to win in that area and esp as you transitions to hilltowns. 

Atleast the meat of the thump is night/early. I could see it struggling more on Sat if the CCB is more meh. Unlike the other day, this one will atleast have some northerly drain, albeit a crappy airmass.