Fair enough. This goes back to our argument about PIOMAS vs HYCOM. Clearly 2014 was not the game-changer everyone thought it was, just like 2012. The coming el nino heatwave will surely make the Arctic warmer next year. The overall big picture is down.
I have no compassion for those who cannot see it, this subject deals with some every important issues in how we run our lives and how we adapt/mitigate AGW. Please take care, this is like political correctness on steroids.
All of the papers about polar amplification are irrelevant to you it seems. We don't have enough meltwater injection to overcome that signal. If global temperatures warm, Arctic temperatures will warm much faster, albeit with a 1-2 year delay at times in either the warm or cold direction. We can say with confidence that the latter portions of this decade will be warmer than 2012 in the Arctic because the hiatus has ended.
Tiestche el al 2011 was not a hollistic paper, and thus is not useful in projecting future conditions.
The 0.1C+ warming was just hypothetical FWIW. I don't know the exact values going forward.