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AvantHiatus

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  1. AvantHiatus
    Got GFS'd again....what is 16-20" among friends?
  2. AvantHiatus
    First fantasy tropical cyclone on the GFS in the gulf at 324. Seems early for this stuff. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015022806/gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_47.png.
  3. AvantHiatus
    Thanks mang. I'm kind of feeling a gulf stream season and it flows well with 2014. The Atlantic has not changed much but the Pacific is where major evolution is occuring. We are still stuck with this annoying +NAO.
  4. AvantHiatus
    Semi-enthusiastic due to the ENSO. Looks like it is transitioning into central-based, also known as Modoki El Nino. This configuration includes years such as 2003 and 2005. With the 1930's pattern, we may have a strong signal shifted east instead of confined to the gulf. Given the lag between ENSO and atmospheric response, the true red meat season may not come until 2016. Something like 2014 with more landfalls is definitely possible, which would resemble a fairly active season.
  5. AvantHiatus
    Solid proof of increased urbanization or greenhouse warming.
  6. AvantHiatus
    1750+ CH4 is pretty rare in the paleoclimate record. I would surmise that environmental forcings were simply "maxed" out in the 2000's. Looks like we have accelerated slightly in the last few years and especially in 2013. A more appropriate question to ask is if the recent Methane jump is a "glitch" or a real trend. Interesting that the methane trend appears to have followed the rate of global temperature rise.
  7. AvantHiatus
    ^_^
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