ryanconway63

NAM at 60 weaker and further South

This storm would Juice up qpf totals as we get within 48 hours..... the totals seem really low for a storm that lasts sunday morning through mid day tuesday.   Somebody between NYC and Norfolk will score big in this setup.

Chance we see some Blizzard Warnings with this storm??

Faster transfer....this is hopefully good news

CMC is very nice.....really nice snows Monday PM through Tuesday Morning

I found this interesting.   GFS 2m temps Sunday morning   vs RGEM 2m temps same time.

baby steps..... loving the Cave to the Euro Mon/Tues

Definite Cave to the Euro as far as the progression of the coastal on Monday afternoon.  Would love to see that primary pushed down around Kentucky.   I think the CMC run will be nice....

The primary looks in the same position to me at 84 that is was in the 6z run...maybe even 20 miles northwest.  If you look at the previous 6 runs of the gfs at hour 90 there are improvements but still nowhere near the EURO solution.

not going to be any changes to the GFS.....Cant believe it hasnt started to buckle to the Euro yet.....

Just now, psuhoffman said:

RGEM is even further south of the NAM but it is a little slower getting the secondary...but you can see it's going to jump to NC but it has not started to develop a closed circulation YET.  But given the look at 84 the RGEM looks like it will go more the euro/nam route also.  

RGEM was a nice look

No improvements on the ICON from what I can tell

Any thoughts on why the Euro Op has been consistently west of the  Euro Ensem the past several Runs

seems to be some slight tics East since the 12z runs.....  starting with the 12z Euro Ens, now the 18z Euro Ens and the NavGEM for what its worth.......all just noise at this point

anybody have the control ?

looks like an ideal track

Just now, LP08 said:

ILM, obx, then off va beach on the mean.

how does it compare to the 12z run?  any slight changes?

What does this mean?

looks about the same to me

thanks!

1 hour ago, Cobalt said:

Cluster seems slightly SE of 6z, but I think that's because it dropped the outliers that take the lp all the way through the bay. 

Do you have the 18z Monday map.  Was curious at how the clusters tracked.....Looks near ideal.....

its a northwest bump from the 00z

looks good so far, no major changes i can tell

looks the same through 78

FWIW  I know most in this forum don't care about tomorrows event but it did do its typical jog north in the last 24 hours with the precipitation field.   Something to watch if you think you are fringed this go round....