Great Snow 1717

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

That Texas Ok game yesterday was lit. Jerry you are missing a lot

I think Texas moves into the top 10 with that win. Great Game in a great rivalry. 

1 hour ago, Dan76 said:

NFL=watching paint dry (Oh no he touched the quarterback omg)

 Last week Richard Sherman said it best....just put flags on the QB. And he also added that the NFL has made near impossible to play defense. A couple of weeks ago I went to the North Andover - Central Catholic game and it was a good hard hitting football game. Far more enjoyable than watching the NFL

You did not deny 1 thing that I wrote lol

On ‎8‎/‎2‎/‎2018 at 1:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Expected 

Once again, please produce 1 credible source who was referencing 1816 prior to the start of the summer of 2017. You made it up and you know you made it up. 

#BS

4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just bad post after bad post from the grandfather 

 Yeah and your constant posting about installing and uninstalling window AC units, the thousands of TORCH posts, the use of "high dews", your odd fascination with having trees come down(by the way those trees cause damage to property)….the childish meltdowns that you have had....the making up of people(do you also have make believe friends????) on twitter referencing 1816 during the springs of 2017 and 2018. … numerous photos of gypsy moths...yeah all of those posts are soooooooooooo interesting. 

#DAILYDRIVEL

5 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

Quite the changes, Steve.  Focus on the positive: every 6 hours being able to pour through a new set of model runs.  We expect in-depth assessment and accurate forecasts for each event.!

What a beautiful storm that was for Mitch, Pete and myself.  24-30+", powder from start to finish.  I remember I posted soundings for the Pit, and Gynx saying "man, that's showing you snow big time".  We did wait quite a while for the next event that winter--long after that one had melted away.

This.  The NFL blows now.

Exactly!! 

10 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Texas Oklahoma game is lit

College football is so much better to watch than the NFL,  

31 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

No I'm just starting there are valid reasons to find fault with any supposed analog year. Theres always going to be differences. You can throw out 94-95 and the neither thr 500mb height anomalies nor the surface temperature anomalies change much. I feel pretty confident on a DJFM positive NAO in the means...we've been in a 6 year impressive cycle with that as the CPC graph shows above. The main reason I didn't use the 60s and 70s is being I don't think there will be negative nao like then. I didnt go looking for an argument. I'm not any sort of long range expert. I'm just posting my thoughts, if you don't like them then so be it. 

Do you factor in GW when deciding not to use analog years from the 60's and 70's?

5 hours ago, weatherbo said:

Third time seeing flakes this season, and the first measurable snow here in the UP.  Around 2" so far.  

 

Congrats. 

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Waiting on a Ventrice and Noll tweet

You can bet your last penny that he has been searching the net all day to find  tweets or posts that semi supports his "thoughts" on next week. Maybe he will even find one that supports his 1816 claims.....

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Didn’t Will scold these ACATT posters the other day about keeping their banter in banter threads? 

Looks very warm next week 

Does that include your "TORCH" posts????…..or do you consider all of your posts to be above the level of banter????

We all know he's going to keep posting until all of us agree with him. 

#FAKEINFERNO

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Records for tornadoes are tough since everything these days is caught on camera or reported. You can say most since so and so year or most ever, but can get an asterisk too.

When did the NWS first start sending out teams to investigate? 

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I warned everyone it would be , too - 

It's also why I'm not completely sold on the 'extremeness' of the warm up for next week - warm up?  mmm, okay. 

The difference here is that there ridge is more coherent in the runs.  Agreed.   Also, there are cycles of model runs, ...sort of like last night's 00z, that show a bit more N placement of the front and less lower level invasion of high pressure undercutting said ridge.   Other cycles have shown more of that undercut.  ..back and forth.  But, back and forth is more of a warm signal than that which led this week, which showed warm heights, but the actual surface pressure pattern was clearly draping early season polar highs immediately adjacent our latitudes to the N. It wasn't being considered enough by anyone.

So, there's some plausibility there for next week's warm up that cannot be denied.  However, I wouldn't be surprised either if there are N and/or BD type fronts persecuting SNE with cold seclusion while the 'pattern' around is way above normal looking.  

 

I do recall the posts that you made. As things stand right now it looks like a front may waver back and forth during next week. 

I think it is going to be interesting to see how things go next week for temps. Clearly this week has been cooler than what the models predicted it was going to be.

7 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

The Banff webcam is ridiculous for Early October. Snow covered streets closing in on noon. Look at all the green trees.

 

 

Gorgeous scenery!

3 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Nobody is a stalker Kev.  You're just a #BS'er that's all.

Someone should have long ago given him a timeout.

2 hours ago, MetHerb said:

It's really AEAOTT (All Extreme All Of The Time).

Exactly....somehow he's convinced himself that So New England is suppose to have hot and humid summers each year and cold and snowy winters each year.  A combination of Huntsville and Houghton.

2 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

Interesting. Guy says he hydroseeded his house last Nov and it came in fine. I'm actually ok with it not being spread as we're supposed to get hvy showers last night. Unless they can hydroseed same day as loam is spread I'd like to avoid a bunch of runoff. They're supposed to install some erosion netting on the slopes to avoid this. They guarantee the grass to come in and if it doesn't they will spray again in spring. I'm not sure how they define "come in".

Just make sure you get that in writing. Is the guy the landscaper?

51 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Landscape guys say they have to wait for loam to dry out before spreading it. Really? do they plan on shoveling all of it? I'm just a bit annoyed with these guys and their delays. Looks pretty warm coming up, so not too worried about establishment. Hoping to hydroseed end of the week.

Sounds like you have some idiot landscapers. The loam should have been spread. And I would not hydroseed at this time of year. I know a few people who had their  lawns hydroseeded this time of year and it did not go well. And I know a few people who had their lawns hydroseeded in June and July and they had much better results. 

As opposed to the leader of AHHATT????

19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Great Snow,  we go through this almost every year with you guys fretting over it not cooling off..... Relax, it's gonna cool off..it has this whole week pretty much.  So it warms up towards the end of next week...it's only early October after all.  

 

You can worry about the pattern not changing...in my opinion it has changed already....we've been comfortable for the last two weeks already since the blazing heat of a couple weeks ago.  So what if it averages a lil above normal for the months of October and November...there will be cool days mixed in..just like these last couple weeks...and every day that we move forward, climo is getting stronger on our side.  We're stepping down slowly...

Please point out where in my post that it seems like I am concerned, worried or fretting over the pattern. Why would I fret over the pattern?? I have no control over the pattern/weather so why would I fret over it???  I accept the  weather for what it is. To be honest I have more important things to be concerned about. My post merely stated the obvious, that the pattern has been a warm/hot one and that the pattern looks to continue..

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Next week is potentially furnaced.

No one should be the least bit surprised.

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I certainly do not know where all this torch Autumn and Winter talk is coming from?

 

Last September Was very Warm....and I don not remember it having these cool days(like today, and Saturday and Sunday and Monday and Tuesday this week...and the nice cool weekend last week as well) mixed in with the warmth.  It's for sure been a Blazing Hot summer and incredibly Humid....but it was Summer after all.  And Autumn just arrived on Saturday night, and right on cue it cooled off very nicely.  Sure we're gonna have some more warm days, but prolonged extreme heat....right through the Autumn, I'd be skeptical on that one.  

 

I'm not worrying about a torch for the entire Autumn and into the winter.   Sure anything can happen for the winter season and we get skunked, but the signs are encouraging for at least an average winter at this juncture.  

Currently Sept is 2nd warmest on record for Boston. Think of what the trend has been for the last several months. Are there any sings of the pattern flipping to a cool/cold pattern for this time of year?

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Autumn and winter will likely be extremely warm, this pattern is locked into place and there's no escape.

He got the TORCH pattern that he desired but now he's starting to realize that the pattern is likely going to linger for much of the fall and perhaps the winter.