WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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I think we are going to get some solid blowing snow. Not into drifts but the ground up to 10 feet should be swirly whirly
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I had a green one that looked like a Borg ship cube
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I’m getting a “ Delayed but….” Feeling for the onset of rain to snow
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Snow covered when it was so cold?
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These that start out drizzly and light rain , when they mix and changeover there is usually good energy following Plus when snow ends Sunday and it’s very windy 20-30 gusting to 40; 2” would be enough to blow around well
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Phase jobs mostly don’t work for DC but can for Balt and northeast. What happened to this being a fairly narrow strip of precip to now to a B style coastal transfer ?
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So we had a good projection but the problem is in 6 hours the examples will be very different. Won’t build on this run, won’t increase, and will revert back to 0-2. Thus , come verification time (if this is even employed anymore) the range of 0-4” will be confirmed
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Now model forecasting is not in this mechanical vein although models in general do not make predictions nor forecasts but rather examples. They “guide” us. Where they guide us to is unknown. Whether it’s mechanical or poor information distribution, all those paying for models should be up in arms and in stern contact with the providers
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Good work January and Feb 61 and 62 were cold. Probably gotta add +3/4 to equate to now but still below average. Muddled models be damned, observations and analogs Continue to show real cold for Jan and definitely not mild for Feb
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31.5 for a high after a 14 low, both if which are seasonal cold records.
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14 for my low and wonder if any records got set. i think ive had some winters where i never got to 14 for the entire winter
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Both years still showing up and idea I shared earlier in this thread if a 30-45 day pronounced cold run is still in play and underway. By the end of Dec (29-31) we will be at 30 days and will see if it extends further Don’t worry about model confusions, Christmas 20-27 will not be a torch
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Yeah we are not here for repeated torchmas shit from you
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This is the one I have been referencing analog wise although I did initially say two weeks ago that it’s 12/20 time frame but this is the next good shot
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Yes . I should have said I was talking about Jan only
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2011 Jan 2nd coldest in last 15 years
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2010-11 was one of my analogs
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If this is 9 consecutive below average I wonder when last times we had 10 in December was and especially pre 12/15 .?
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Early morning high of 35 then down to 32/33 for rest of day . Coldest high of year and my midnight low of 28 likely gets beaten.
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CAB
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From 1958 thru 1971, the core of most of my childhood, the ponds froze most every winter, we skated and sledded plenty. I can remember only two winters that did not deliver like that.
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When that blasts thru Monday dropping temps there will be snow with it
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That was a crazy intense squall
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You young people and your great photography !! Now lemme tell ye how it was during blizzard of.66. We took the grainy black and white pictures then mailed a roll of film in and got it back in a week and passed the pictures around
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Got another 0.3” from last nights activities to bring final to 2.1”
