WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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Yeah this is our torch day of low to mid 50’s totaling one in what was projected as a string of 60’s+. So far in torch week I’m at -0.5 average before today . The myopia and false torch declarations is part of why our viewership is 1/10th of what it once was
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Not one flake nor sleet pellet. Instant rain and 22F at the start
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This will gradually evolve toward more snow. That nw to se alignment is indicative of a high being east of Maine like the other moderate snow maker we had. I’m thinking that high will be more over Maine. The low then is more along TN/KY line and further enough south to not let warm air override us so much
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As I mentioned in your excellent post yesterday, the models are catching up to what the analogs say Must happen
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May be the beginning of models moving toward analogs
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26 for the low
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Alphabets say warm and analogs say not and what is undetermined is what will happen
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54 for a high. Warmest since 11/28
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1977 did it about 30 or so
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My shaded ground is frozen solid and full sun is hazardous as too 1/4” is melted clay much but still frozen right underneath. Fast drop down to 35 now
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Cold down here in the holler at head of the crick with high of 49 and low of 21. Not a big departure but another consecutive negative 2” remaining snow over at Frederuck house doing its job, 42 max so far there
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And it begins . More fun as analog agrees. We got good benefit out of this last one. That night in teens and sustained 20 gusting 35 just after dark was real wind chill. Wakes one up
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Analogs > Models
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If you are stating that is the average of any record setting daily highs then that is probably correct. However the mean or average max daily high is no where near that
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Thats not what he said and I don’t think and have never seen any calculation of what is the average of the highest temps for the second half of the month
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This torch clamour is silly
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That’s incorrect DCA normal high temp for 2nd half of December is no where near 64 , more like 49
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I’ve cleared so after being steady at 25.5 for hours I’m down to 24
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-22 on the daily high is rare air around here and they likely mean since a starting point of 1950
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What year did it tie ? Thanks
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DCA stayed below 20 for 15 consecutive hours. It does that infrequently and not even annually
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Looks like my high was 26.7 and Frederick house 22.5
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In the last 30 years at DCA there have been 12 below average Dec. In last 30 there have been four at -5 or colder:1995, 2000, 2005 2010. Notice how in blocks of five and perhaps again this year
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After today DCA will be -10 for December with 16 consecutive below average days including Nov.
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Since Thanksgiving I discussed 12/5 and then 12/21 showing up analog wise. Also stated no true and lengthy warm up until 12/27 at earliest. For sure we won’t stay in 20’s and 30’s every day but Christmas 60’s that were egregiously model indicated won’t happen although 40’s into 50’s might for 2-4 days
