WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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To me this configuration is when the high is over central PA/southern NY State and pressing downward north to south. In fact this set up reminds me of one Wes and me analyzed a lot 5-10 years ago where the high was more like over central NJ with a moistening easterly flow and the main area kinda got ground to a halt, after clearing the mountains, by the high and we picked up a very uprising 4-6”!
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This is going to continue to get better as 30.15 baro not suppressive. It’s going to rise some as next 18 hours progresses but I think 30.35 is the peak and that’s closer to perfection than suppression
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Thanks and don’t know how I missed it
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I liked this one for a long time and it’s turning nice but really never went away in my mind. Can one of you get some graphics on where this cold air mass ,for Friday, is and what it looks like ? Ji you called it!! Maybe the Ji53 storm?
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Is that storm total or total at the time and still snowing?
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Hit 27.8 which is coldest of season for midnight or sooner . Some thin clouds now
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10 feet of sand on the main north south road
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If we’ve got a 30.55 crusher tomorrow night at 8pm then we are in suppression trouble Otherwise let’s see how bad ass this cold boy really is
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Ocean City was wrecked
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We did good last year and a lot of it was that we were expressing similar ideas but with different points of referencing. That caused confusion and some bad exchanges but that’s over now I feel
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CAB is very very real and needs to end
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No it did not and I appreciated the response
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Thanks
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Well we rarely get Miller As anymore. We don’t have many clipper underneath of us. The waa overrunning of a Miller B is less impactful Those are the three changes I note from 20+ years ago and the question is Why!?.
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Slanted at that angle is it going to go ese because it’s pointing ene
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Is there another large area of high pressure off the northeast coast preventing this cold highs eastward movement and plunging it almost due south.? Or a 50/50 type low too close to coast and blocking any eastward progression?
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A considerably stronger and closer low would not harm us this time
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The last high ran well east too far and fast so don’t know why this would plunge south. We don’t get many good high pressures centered on the MD line
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CAB in effect as now 2.5 days out. i no longer rely on models for anything nearly specific and just the very general low to our south which may be string or weak and may curl up the coast or go out to sea. All possibilities will be shown so models score well come verification of outcome This last event was a departing high off Maine and that showed early and that’s what happened . Never good for us.
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The low as depicted is somewhat se and we need it more like around Norfolk rather than central outer banks.
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That high is near perfection
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This is the event the analogs had me chirping about since Thanksgiving. After yet Another wobbly model output right up to the last minute(remember the dryness insertion) I’ll just follow analogs. Another good historical opportunity 12/20-12/21 anytime anything goes under us we don’t have the temp issue and it’s only a matter of qpf so this one has and does look real good
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Frederick house had a mix for several hours at 30/31 but no accumulating snow and Kemp Mill rain and 34/35
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They talk back
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I’m higher than most at 34.5 but still low dewpoint at 22. Frederick has radiated crazy to 25/23.
