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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. This is true. Miller As which used to occur 50% of the time and models did well with are about 15% now and models always were mostly helpless with Bs for DC area. Bs have 12 hour prediction of off Hatteras and next presentation over Pittsburgh and repeat cycle everywhere in between. They never have really gotten the idea that most Bs have precip shield too far NE of DC. So we continue to get a lot of sample and example but zero consistency for any predictions
  2. CAB is very much alive and well despite protests over saying so
  3. End up 16 consecutive hours 35+
  4. 57 at 12 noon and 32 11 hours later so 12 hour 25+ degree drop mega front i may have a 20 year furniture toss on back patio . Something big sustained as one is upright stil but moved 6 feet and another tossed about 10 and more scatter
  5. BWI 10 consecutive hours gusts 35*. Rough drive down 95 south last hour
  6. Yep as I suggested. First it was the 7th, now 14th, next up 21 then Guaranteed Rockin Feb. Thats simply how it works now.
  7. Just gotta avoid the infamous delay pattern onset . Right now it looks like 1/7-1/10. If that starts to become 1/15 then 1/20 then we are underway with a problem once again
  8. Sleet in Kemp Mill and 31.5 and sleet in Frederick and 30
  9. Looks like you all do good with this so that’s great for Holiday time. My grand children are old enough to sled finally and Santa delivered, You all have fun with yours!
  10. That 1033 high is now right on the nipple of Hudson/James Bay.
  11. Surface shows a strong high that just does not want to move much from south of Hudson Bay that might help us out?
  12. Truth telling does sting Mr Huffy Plus you devolved my comments about a government agency into a personal, name calling attack
  13. Half inch of sleet first can keep it granular instead of slick ice disaster
  14. Friday discussion High pressure 1030 moves from currently well nw of North Dakota to along NY State/VT border Friday morning. A low ends up almost stalled along TN/KY/WV/VA intersections throwing precip our way. Don’t think high will be east of Maine at that time . i won’t be changing this idea a half dozen times and let’s see how close it is come 12 noon Friday
  15. Rapid drop from 53 at 3:45 to 43 at 5:45
  16. What screen name do you usually use ?
  17. The individual Mets do what they are instructed to and it’s not them causing the problems. The institution of NOAA has created model systems with 300 different panels over a 2 day period it’s a self preserving methodology where they can’t be incorrect The noble government worker thing is debatable. Been through it before here with the defend the dealer sort of thing
  18. Man and just 5 days ago our science tools had DC near 70 Let’s face it. NOAA is No Different than any other government organization-seeking to preserve itself with actual outcome of services secondary at best Cover all bases and claim verification come crunch time .. One prominent poster here recently stated he has drastically changed his involvement with models . We all should and apply whatever pressures you can
  19. Yeah this is our torch day of low to mid 50’s totaling one in what was projected as a string of 60’s+. So far in torch week I’m at -0.5 average before today . The myopia and false torch declarations is part of why our viewership is 1/10th of what it once was
  20. Not one flake nor sleet pellet. Instant rain and 22F at the start
  21. This will gradually evolve toward more snow. That nw to se alignment is indicative of a high being east of Maine like the other moderate snow maker we had. I’m thinking that high will be more over Maine. The low then is more along TN/KY line and further enough south to not let warm air override us so much
  22. As I mentioned in your excellent post yesterday, the models are catching up to what the analogs say Must happen
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