nwburbschaser

Maybe some severe prospects on the horizon? Euro looks interesting towards the end of next week

The 18z Euro going south really crushed my hopes for this. Maybe Stebo can reel this one in

GEFS says wagons west as well.

I hope this doesn't keep trending west, but that run was incredible even with 10:1 ratios. Originally I was thinking Michigan would be the jackpot, but if this keep up, congrats Iowa?

I'm all for the blizzard as long as I don't lose power. That GFS run is incredible for my area.

Mask usage is just fine in this area overall, but the same can't be said if you get away from the major metropolitan regions. Also, just like Stebo I see a lot of people at work who have them on, but don't wear them properly. It seems like those are the same people who declined the vaccine at work too. It was an absolute nightmare for me from October to early February and it sucked. I'm vaccinated now, but I'm still going to wear a mask for the foreseeable future. The vaccines will absolutely reduce transmission, but the prevalence is just too high right now to move away from masks.

The reactions seem to be different for everyone. I only had a sore arm from both shots and no fever/chills type stuff at all.(Moderna) Some others from my work had fatigue and headache from the 2nd shot. One person did have a fever around 100 degrees for a few hours. Someone who had covid around Thanksgiving just got his first shot and he only had a sore arm as well. The sore arm improves significantly within 48 hours.

The vaccines do protect against them, but the vast majority of the population isn't vaccinated... Uncontrolled spread is what causes the variants to pop up so why wouldn't we want to have some restrictions in place to keep that from becoming a huge problem while we vaccinate people? Some of us want this to be over

My work has been like that during this pandemic as well. We had a full blown outbreak heading into Thanksgiving, but it has been quiet since late December. A bunch of us have been vaccinated so we might not follow the national trends anymore.

Totally jealous of those closer to the lake. I think I'll be right on the edge of the heavier snow so we'll see how this goes.

I'm probably 30 miles from a sig snow event so I'm really hoping that this can come a bit south. Hopefully convection can do the trick and put N IL into the snow although I have doubts it will happen.

1220 3/21

My power has gone out twice, but came back on quickly both times. The snow falling off trees onto my roof is making a nice thud.

I just heard some thunder here.

It just changed over to snow here. I'm about 6 miles NW of ORD.

I can only hope that run will verify. This is setting up nicely for my area.

The 0z HRRR is a great look for Cyclone. Also, it does seem to push back the onset of precipitation around here which could make for a very bad Monday morning rush hour.

This might be a close call for me. I would be pretty bummed to miss a Sunday snowstorm by a few dozen miles.

12z Euro would be beautiful for my area. I'm not quite sold that this won't end up a bit NW of here, but I like how it looks right now.

I'm not sure that I'd go with ideal at this point. We're still a week out so we have plenty of time before we should get too excited.

This might be key going forward. I'm hoping one of these systems can be a sacrificial lamb and get the moisture flowing without sweeping it back out in its wake.

The upcoming period should be rather active, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a decent event come from it at some point. With that being said, I wouldn't get into too many details with the system next week. It has potential, but it also has moisture concerns written all over it. If we get into a period of somewhat prolonged western troughing then I wouldnt mind having that first system prime the moisture pump for something bigger to follow it.

The GFS and Euro both have a decent look in the day 9-10 range. This one has my attention and it should be something to keep an eye on as we get closer. Quincy mentioned good moisture return a few days ago and it looks like that will still be true for any potential system during the upcoming time period. We'll see how this evolves after the cut off moves through this week.