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mackerel_sky

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Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. mackerel_sky
    It’s funny, wave 2 around the 6th, had a lot of potential and the cold would likely be plentiful, so now, our moisture is gone! Fitting end to the last possible “ threat” of winter!
  2. mackerel_sky
    GFS says enjoy your rain with wave 1, and there is no round 2!
  3. mackerel_sky
    I wouldn’t want to be in the bullseye 7 days out! Plenty of time for this to trend North, and be a mid Atlantic special
  4. mackerel_sky
    That cold airmass looks funky!? Can you get a good cold push with the high in Montana??
  5. mackerel_sky
    Temps gonna be sketchy at best, outside of NC. GFS has been horrible at everything 7+ days out, but extremely horrible cold bias, that ends up a lot warmer in reality! Not what you want to hear in March and or when temps are already borderline!
  6. mackerel_sky
    May be by noon today, if GFS trend continues!? It’s way North of yesterday’s runs!
  7. mackerel_sky
    0z GFS right where we want it! Good run
  8. mackerel_sky
    The 18z GFS is so suppressed, nothing shows up during the 4-7th! Winning!
  9. mackerel_sky
    By Tuesday, this will be a Roxboro and N threat!
  10. mackerel_sky
    Remember that cold blast the models were showing a few weeks back, it had highs in the teens for NC!?? And then the actual temps verified at 5-10 degrees below normal!? How do y’all think a 10 day , early March cold snap will work out?
  11. mackerel_sky
    Unless you’re JB
  12. mackerel_sky
    If more than a dusting, then yes!
  13. mackerel_sky
    Vegas, Seattle, Pasadena, and Pebble Beach, have all received more snow in one day, than I have all winter! That’s how you win at winter! I Atleast got a dusting in 11/12, this has been the worst dumpster fire of a winter I can remember!
  14. mackerel_sky
    Our best snows come in March!
  15. mackerel_sky
    Probably not this year!
  16. mackerel_sky
    When you got the NAM and RGEM on your side, it’s as good as the old EE rule! Deadly combo right there! SMDH
  17. mackerel_sky
    GFS says, unless you live in Wilkesboro, or Boone, it’s all rain Tuesday night /Wednesday!!
  18. mackerel_sky
    Think the problem will be DP depression and wetbulb! There is a lot of moisture around, so I just can’t see DP’s getting super low, or even as low as forecasted, IMO
  19. mackerel_sky
    That and a 10 day heatwave, will verify 99% of the time! 7-10 cold outbreaks and or snow/ice storms, this winter especially, 1% chance at best!
  20. mackerel_sky
    This has been the worst winter I can ever remember!!! Even 11/12 had a dusting! The 1/2” of sleet in Dec was crap! All the cold and snowy hype since October, made it even worse! Here come the “ Best snows happen in March “ crowd! Let me know how that works out for ya!
  21. mackerel_sky
    I really feel like we have said “ CAD will trend stronger/ colder” for every system there has been a chance of wintry!? And it simply has not been the case, once! Even Dec event,5 days out models had me at 33/34 and I never went below 33, the last one we had a shot at, I was supposed to hit 32/33 and never made it below 36
  22. mackerel_sky
    I remember the good ole winters of yor, when a good Euro run actually meant something!
  23. mackerel_sky
    Shocker
  24. mackerel_sky
    GFSv3 says NC shuts down for 2 weeks!
  25. mackerel_sky
    Notice this map is in sanitarium! Right where it belongs , or trashcan
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