mackerel_sky

Just now, Extreme NEGA said:

Is that an ATL jackpot, 3”+??

MA peeps be hatin

1 hour ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Might as well bring the discusion from the main thread here. The maps look very pretty and all but I remain very skeptical for the upstate. While we probably see snow fall (which is better than nothing) I think any accumulation is going to be hard to come by. It's really too bad this doesn't get going about 6 hours earlier; NGA by tonight and the upstate by about 4-5am. I love watching snow fall as much as the next guy, but watching it melt as soon as it hits the ground is almost more painful than never seeing it fall to begin with. I (and the kids) would really love to have at least a couple inches to play in, but unless this really overperforms, it's probably one of those teaser type things. If I was in NGA and highest elevations of the upstate I would be very excited for the prospect though. Oconee may do the best (for a change) since the cold profile is in place (rather than having to wait on CAA or a wedge) and moiture gets there the earliest. Outside of that we'll see. I keep dreaming that one day we'll get the total profile cold with a moisture feed like yesterday, but alas... 

Anxiously awaiting the 4 o’clock local met updates! See what the hype/ignoring level is! Can almost guarantee KK elwill be all rain/token flakes, CJ will be in half -weenie mode, they should tread lightly after last weeks suprise/ bust!

Looking like a lot of people in WNC, NGA, and Upstate SC see some snow tomorrow?! The earlier arrival, the better! Obs and discussions,GO!!

25 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

@mackerel_sky all aboard!

Choo Choo!!!

54 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

arw-2 looking juicy for Northern GA/western upstate!

12z GFS looks almost identical to this! Verbatim, the 540 line is running through Savannah, but it’s mostly rain outside high elevations 

I ended up with 5.23 total!

6z GFS juicing for tomorrow! Following the NAMs lead!?

3 hours ago, stormtracker said:

I hope so.  I'm in Greensville SC from Wednesday to Sunday.    I need us to fail during this time.

Welcome!

2 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Consider yourself lucky Mack. Tornadoes are just nasty, and 3 inches of rain is plenty. I came just an eyelash of getting a flooded finished basement,  way too close for comfort. 

Our neighborhood is on the reedy, wife said it was 6-7’ from the road @ W Georgia rd. Said they were watching and a couch came floating by!

Kind of a bust, I only got like 3” of rain at best and no tornadoes!

1 hour ago, burrel2 said:

Hi Res Nam says winter starts on Saturday for us Mack! 

If the NAM is our only hope

12 z GFS says, winter starts on the 13th, with back to back threats! Where the cold is coming from, we will worry about later! Giddy up!

18z GFS with 12-16” of rain total through end of its run, in parts of NEGS, SWNC, NWSC! Just crazy!

I guess were just going to ignore the 2/21 snow/ice storm for N.C.? That’s the money ball!

40 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Robert has been laying down the painful truth on Facebook. Also talks about the flooding threat which I am very concerned 

I’m glad he’s speaking truth now and not hyping phantom , blockbuster cold and snowy patterns

What happened to the thundersnow that was modeled? Guess I can just stay put and see nothing! Save me the trip to the mountains 

11 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said:

If the dark red was snow accumulations, I promise you, it would be a huge bust! But rain, go big or go home! 7” or bust!!

Just now, SnowDawg said:

GSP said in their afternoon disco that they were waiting at least another forecast period before issuing one. Can't say that I see any reason for it though. 

Models are showing 3”-7”+, I’m sure it’s safe to pull the trigger now! Lol

3 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Wow, right on the 0 line for me. The 925 always seems to be a bigger issue than the 850. What elevation is 925 is 925? 

Wouldn't take much to get 85 and North into the game for the upstate. Need this to keep ticking just  bit colder.

I’m chasing to the mountains! When is this clipper supposed to peak? Sat day/ night or what?

30 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said:

Ugh...

Finall, I jackpot!

Yeah, temp down here were 37/38 and it stuck just fine, some places got 2-3” with BL temps in the upper 30s! We got to keep a wary eye out on that high , mid Feb sun angle!

80 in February, the new norm!

March is our snowiest month!!

There a clipper around the 9th on 0z GFS but shocker alert, it’s too warm! 

#BABYNUT