zenmsav6810

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Check this out

 

Thats a nice look for round 2.

light snow showers for the last 20 minutes here in Pottstown. Picking up now. Storm says lets get down to business! 

8 minutes ago, Animal said:

Watch the NAM be right!! 

The NAM giveth the NAM taketh away!

Lol I've seen we've digressed into talking about '58 here. Just take your 16" inches and be happy. .... clearly too many weenies for breakfast. Nothing about this says Hecs, this is modeled as a reasonable Mecs. I dont think the low is deep enough. No wonder these storms always fall short of expectations when the expectations rise of the granddaddy of all PA blizzards-- what do you expect. 

I think the Para shows a nice solution however I think the gradient will be further south and tighter. Realistically there will be some dry slotting and probably a crust of sleet at some point. Somebody will probably see 20 to 22" out of this but you'd have to be color blind to see 50" on any of these maps!! 

1 minute ago, hazwoper said:

yu need sustained winds of over 35 mph for an extended period for bliz warning I believe.  Possible, but not likely

To declare its a blizzard you need rates of 2" per hour for at least 4 hours, I think there has to be at least 2hours of 2" per hour that are consecutive as well. To declare a warning I think it has to be in cards along with the wind requirement but i'm not positive about that.  

Looks like a solid storm by all accounts. Pattern shaping up okay too. Still some time left but its encouraging. 

If my name isn't Pottstown Potts! 

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Big shift to the euro here

Bullseyes Monmouth.... must be right...has to be right.

1 minute ago, ChescoWx said:

Lock it up per the attached - as the old weather proverb states "snow in Spain equals snow on the coastal plain bringing much travel pain including places like Wayne"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/01/09/madrid-spain-snow-blizzard/

If there was a two weenie button I would use it.

Too early to Weenie jump. All the ingredients are in place. The only thing that worries me is the persistent warm day time temps and the above normal rainfall. We're already ahead compared to a few of the last winters.

44 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Woke up to a dusting outside. Anyone else? Nice surprise.

17 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

Real bad out here around the Fleetwood, Lyons area White out conditions traffic at a stand still 

 

Believe it or not it was actually on the NWS forecast for my area for 20% chance of flurries/showers. In hindsight they probably should have issued a snow squall warning.

Probably about 7-8" in Pottstown. New blower (two stage rider) from two seasons ago worked like a champ. Wrap around was a nada here. Roads were still pretty rough near Pottstown on my way over to East Earl at 9:30 am this morning. A little overforecasted but the deep interior made out. Not bad for December.    

3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Shades of March 2017. Slept for a few hours and had a wicked dream that I was physically encased in a tomb of sleet and ice. Woke up in a cold sweat....stepped out of bed and slipped on what felt like ice on my bedroom floor. Dog pissed. Jumped in shower, turned water on and ice sprayed out of the shower head. Woke up and realized I was having a dream inside of a dream. Weird stuff. Now I'm not sure if this is real or a dream. 

I'm dreaming of a white Christmas! 

On 11/26/2020 at 11:11 PM, Albedoman said:

I wonder if anyone from Mt Holly has done a study on how warm it has been since late May during the overnight hours compared to normal years? To have nighttime hours 10-15 degrees above normal constantly  and sometimes even 20 degrees has been a real son of gun for sleeping with the windows open. The grass continues to grow, the green mold growing on everything outside from the decomposition of fallen leaves/ light rain, mold counts still high and continuing cloud cover. Yes the heater has not run much but really, I do like to see frosty mornings during the fall. This year's constant stratus cloud cover at night has been just plain unbearable

 

I'm starting to get worried about ski season. Natural snow prospects look bleak... not even weenie runs, and I am sure the virus will change the economic calculus on making snow...

5 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Still in the dark. Asplundh trucks are on the street behind me, they have their work cut out for them.

Picked up .8" overnight.

Indeed, we've been out since noon on Wednesday. Not estimates for restoration range betweentonight at 11pm to sunday at 11pm. Don't have batteries in my wetherlink live so I missed out on data from that time period ...

6 minutes ago, BBasile said:

I'm not sure that they're any more severe than other storms, but when the storms ride out ahead of cold fronts with the type of bulk shear and unidirectional flow that we have today, they can be longer lived and more widespread.  

I've often wondered if localized cold fronts (like those in CAD events) played more of a role in this.

57 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

Im no Expert but it seems when the storms have that trajectory South east I guess you call it? we seems to get the very severe storms  around here, when they move East or Northeast they seem to fizzle then re fire up to the East. Is there any validation to that? 

Indeed I've noticed the same thing. The lines charge West to East are typically disappointments. 

Pea sized hail in Green Lane

NPR said there is a group of geoscience researchers saying that the reduction in atmospheric NOx is highly remarkable and demonstrably provable using sat imagery.  Going as far to say its statistically saved the lives of 4000 chinese children alone since this all started. 

31 minutes ago, J.P. said:

I hear you but it is setting a good example. I think thats a big reason they are doing it as well as maybe trying to avoid criticism for being hypocrites. 

I agree. I think a bit of grace is required here. Its completely unknown what will happen or what to do about it. 

On 2/25/2020 at 5:57 PM, MJO812 said:

Jealous 

Meanwhile I go in clinic in Okemo and miss out on three 1.5'  powder days by less than 40 miles as the crow flies 

On 2/22/2020 at 2:22 PM, Ralph Wiggum said:

I'm considering a family relocation to either VT or ME. 

If you get a telecommuting job outside of Vermont and then move to Vermont with that job, the state has a program to pay such individuals $10k a year. 

20 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

It was a research paper, not a book lol.

What I meant to say is how can I find it to read. 

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Ask the regulars here. I did a paper on this a few years ago. It is a real thing and rarely (6%) fails. I see no reason we wont see some flakes at some point over the next 5 days. Whether it amounts to anything is tbd.

 

Did it get published? What is the DOI#