Met1985

The models continue to show a very cool and unsettling pattern this week. Enjoy the well below normal temps with periods of rainfall. We are seeing rainfall this morning already with a low of 48 degrees. 

5 hours ago, Sw NC weather said:

Looks like we’re heading towards a cooler and wet pattern next week.

3 hours ago, Moonhowl said:

I believe this is what Met1985 was alluding to in is comment about the Euro 10 days ago.  The models have accurately sniffed out the cut-off lows well in advance in recent months.

Yeah fellas enjoy this current weather! The past few days have been amazing.  Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s with a low of 45 this morning! Tomorrow we start seeing better chances of rain and cooler temps will prevail through the week.

The solution the euro is spitting out towards the middle of June is impressive. Storms coming tomorrow. 

24 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

The weather has been picture perfect the past few days. Drying out has been really nice.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Yeah the past three day have been absolutely beautiful! Highs 65 to 75 and lows in the 40s. I see no real heat wave and a pattern that will keep the gardens watered. 

1 hour ago, nrgjeff said:

The wet has been nuts. A THIRD in a row record rainfall year is within reach in some spots. Rainfall needs to be .4" above normal each of the months the rest of the year. That is not yet a high probability outcome. However a tropical cyclone could nearly clinch it - barring a severe flash drought. NUTS!

 

Yeah it has been an amazing year so far. Many over here in WNC are almost 15 inches above normal this year already.  We are on another record setting year for precipitation. 

Looks like this weekend we will once again be well below average with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s.

A cool rainy day today. Lot more of that coming.

21 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

This week is looking more and more like last week here minus the heavy rain. I doubt we see the sun until Thursday..

Yeah things look very unsettled for this week at least.  It will be much warmer though.

Looking at the EURO and the GFS, it looks unsettled and another decent cool shot down the road.

1 hour ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Just curious, do you mountain guys ever use, or even have a/c? I have a shaded house, do the windows open at night/closed in the day dance and usually make it to about this time to ever turn mine on. I didn't turn it on last year until that hot last week of May and haven't used it yet this year, and it doesn't look like ill need it through mid June at least. Most years I wait until June or later. You mtn peeps are usually anywhere from 5- 20 degrees cooler than me so...  

We have a heating and cooling system but its more to help with the humidity than anything.  

3 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Robert really harped on drought coming this summer for many areas but it just isn't happening. We already had almost 3 months worth of rain the past week and probably another inch or two this week coming up. 

I'm also seeing signs of another tropical disturbance near Florida/Gulf of Mexico later in the week which could really create some issues 

Yeah a lot of places are literally over 12 inches in surplus for precipitation already this year. That's not counting the huge surplus from last year. 

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Doesn't look like we will be drying out anytime soon.

No, looks like we will have a great chance of rain for the next week.  Nothing new really. Rinse and repeat. 

On 5/20/2020 at 9:15 PM, Carvers Gap said:

Still like this overall call, but would move the overall temps for winter to AN (and not slightly)...still with some extreme cold embedded in an overall warmer pattern.   I think we do see some blocking, but we likely better score on the front end of winter.  A strong Nina would likely be a warm and dry winter in NE TN.  Moderate has a strong lean warm IMBY.  However, there are some cold winters embedded within modern Nina climatology.  That said, right now climatology has not been a great predictor of late IMHO.  

Really with blocking we cannot get no worse than what we just went through.  We had zero blocking in winter and we were wll above average.

We have been absolutely hammered the past several hours with moderate to heavy rainfall with embedded storms.

This afternoon will be active for some storms firing up.

Very impressive totals from around the region. 

The sun is actually coming out here and boy is it nice!

1 minute ago, Moonhowl said:

Mother nature has issued a stay inside order

Yeah this has been some crazy spring weather. We had a low of 45 this morning.  Beautiful!!!

What a raw and nasty morning.  Reminds me of early November. 

Rainy and cold for May. Current temp is 47 degrees.

39 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Tuesday was the  Triad’s 12th day of the month below 70°.

That’s the most “cool days” it has had in May on record, going back to 1903. 

 

Very impressive. 

Yeah big flooding concerns around the mountains today with the orientation of the precipitation this morning.  

A cold rainy morning.  Current temp is 45 degrees.

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Catawba river rose 6 feet here in less than 4 hours. 

That is impressive! The precipitation has pretty much been training all day over the same areas.

We are getting one of those tropical downpours currently.  Impressive....