Bostonseminole

early 0Z models..

looks like 951mb

225600 2521N 07101W 6958 02958 9788 +117 +107 037098 104 097 008 00 225630 2520N 07059W 6963 02893 9717 +119 //// 035111 116 104 008 01 225700 2519N 07057W 6938 02842 9615 +135 +129 037090 104 112 009 00 225730 2518N 07055W 6933 02811 9535 +170 +111 054050 059 111 029 03 225800 2516N 07054W 6937 02786 9489 +196 +085 069029 033 046 002 03 225830 2514N 07053W 6922 02792 9461 +213 +069 079015 022 038 001 03 225900 2513N 07052W 6949 02758 9473 +203 +080 242011 024 035 001 00 225930 2512N 07050W 7000 02717 9507 +193 +094 239033 036 055 000 03 230000 2512N 07048W 6923 02832 9552 +169 +083 229054 071 083 009 03 230030 2511N 07045W 6951 02861 9650 +128 +121 226098 108 101 015 00 230100 2510N 07043W 6963 02919 9747 +117 //// 218101 104 099 014 01 230130 2509N 07041W 6981 02957 9810 +115 //// 216097 103 091 020 01

yeap, you guys were right.. that's insane deepening.

maybe, but my 20 years of tracking these things, they sometimes look better than recon finds.. but I agree, it's one of the better looking ones.

not sure i wold got that far maybe 125 -130.. but looks great.

man, what a beast.. i lived in FL, seeing a storm that looks like that coming your way is a scary sight. It's fun to watch out in the Atlantic but if it makes LF it will be bad.

Big drop in pressure tonight Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

love it

Yessir...I stayed on campus for a couple days, then they closed it and encouraged everyone to go home for a couple weeks. I had to get a ride to FLT airport at 5:00 am thru a curfew. Fun stuff Classes didn't started until later in Sept. I was south of the curfew/limited access area. Had to go through military checkpoints to get home I lived at the Crossing which is at 112st..lots of destruction being in the northern eyewall

I was 5 miles from country walk in Kendall, Andrew was amazing but the after effects horrific. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

yeap, it took the perfect tract to avoid any disruption, only hope is the environment is not as good as forecasted as it nears FL.. I also agree this might jog WSW at some point, I think anywhere from Daytona Beach to Key West is still fair game.

Michael Ventrice @MJVentrice Latest SHIPS diagnostic message on Tropical Storm #Dorian: There's an abnormally high (44%) chance of rapid intensification of 45kt in 36 hours. This is 10 times higher than the climatological mean. Bold stance.

Dorian looking heathier.. 65knots winds on latest pass.. wonder if it misses PR also.. seems further east than models

& OTS

0z gfs has Dorian missing florida and heading for moorehead city NC

rainy wed everning commute and everning incoming

lol, but I do think they upgrade it to Erin at 11

JMA for tropical forecasting? Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

never too early to start tracking lol

funny how the next run has nothing.. i'm sure it will be a CAT5 on the next one

No wonder it's retired..

Canadian also has something there at 240.. at this point something there is all we can ask for.. wait and see EURO.

First time something has shown up in a few weeks, so hopefully something to start tracking over the next 10 days and leave the other folks to talk about Dews in the main thread

Greg Postel @GregPostel 3m It's worth monitoring what the models say about the large-scale circulation ("jet stream") over the eastern U.S. in the next 1-2 weeks (if, for nothing else, its potential steering of any incoming tropical systems lurking out there