Kay

5 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Noticed a couple of wife's Crocus bulbs 'peeking' on the south side of house today. Sheesh. 

Iris, here.  Gotta hand it to em I guess for being survivors. Annoying though, way too eager to LIVE

57. Getting some things done outside and it is noice.

3 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

1) January 2025, had snow on the ground nearly the whole month and had a couple “snow on snow” events.

2) October 29, the coastal storm that dumped a decent amount of rain. First rain event since late summer that didn’t have a series of walk backs in the lead up.

It was these two for me. The first was amazing. I absolutely loved the sustained snopamine. Snow cover weenie through and through. The second event was impactful in terms of coastal flooding in the bay.

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

I saw a flock of geese flying north. 

They were coming to mby

21 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Still only 39 today was supposed to hit 50

I don't have stats but feels like mby has struggled to reach forecast highs a lot this season.

41 now. Just noticed forecast high I saw this a.m. of 46 has been shaved back to 44.

42 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I'm not sure which is worse. Complaining about no snow or complaining about the complainers.

A timeless question. Both can be annoying (and I have done both) but are fine, and normal weenie fare, in smaller doses. But. Factoring in post volume? imo the first is worse.

2 minutes ago, high risk said:

 

     I think that recent longer-range forecasting successes, part of the ever-improving state of NWP, have raised our expectations a bit too high.    We're not yet at the point where we can expect the Week 2 period to always be forecasted with skill, even for ensemble systems.

Great post, rational POV. Everyone needs to tattoo this on their brain 

14 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Why be a cliff jumper? There are warm ups every year. You'd be jumping every year as if you have nine lives.

Psychologically, we humans have an ingrained tendency to believe pessimism protects us from pain and disappointment. It doesn't, of course. So it goes here. Endlessly reflecting on our own and each others' psychological status, every season, every week, every day and hour. As much or more discussed than weather, fr. Quite a hobby innit?  Can't forget to add the obvious: most of us are also very ill when it comes to snow.

On 12/30/2025 at 7:54 PM, Kay said:

Folks. I have a dental surgery tomorrow. Yes, on NYE. While some are chasing mind-bending LES, I will be out there chasing..up to .5" if everything breaks right in Harford Co. 

Welp, no snow yesterday. And I'm doing ok today but slept SUPER heavily and missed the squall  and somehow even the warning ?! . Went out at 8 a.m. measured a few spots on the deck, 0.2" as average. Abingdon mesonet snow depth was same at 8 a.m. but had more earlier. Bel Air spotter 0.2" Neither place that close to here idk outta energy again lol 0.2" it is. Happy new year to all!

Folks. I have a dental surgery tomorrow. Yes, on NYE. While some are chasing mind-bending LES, I will be out there chasing..up to .5" if everything breaks right in Harford Co. 

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Got me pegged! Lol

I'm just getting old and crusty.

Don't forget bitter. The trifecta.

Does anyone else routinely have trouble copy/cut/pasting text (e.g., LWX text products) into posts? What's your method oh master @yoda ? It works about half the time for me. Sometimes it helps to paste first into like a gmail, doc etc, sometimes makes no difference. Browser tinkering and sign out/in no difference. My attachments are not over limit. Not really important lol I was going to post the winter commuting hazard for NEMD tomorrow morning but have been wondering and usually give up.

43, gusts into the 30s.

28 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

I see blue in the sky!! 

A little blue now on the western horizon.

50, overcast, light S/SW winds

BUT NOT FOR LONG

14 minutes ago, Kay said:

Who else is tracking tf out of this cold frontal passage? Torch begone. LFG. lol

3 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Down to 44.3/37.0 at 10 am, winds WNW at 14 gusting 31 mph. 

That's what I'm talkin about people. Dude knocked off almost 6 degrees in 2 hours. We can do it, too. It's happening.

Let's do this.

Who else is tracking tf out of this cold frontal passage? Torch begone. LFG. lol

55 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Blackwater. So not THAT local, but there’s one living in Ellicott City that I’ve seen several times but haven’t had my camera with me.

i shot the one above with a 300 mm Nikon lens. @Ian taught me on here to invest in good glass! 

His photos are amazing.

Got you. It's quite a pic. Agreed on Ian's talent (and wish he were still here).

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I agree with the eagle comments. Here’s one that I saw locally.

Whoa! Incredible photo. Where was it?

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

And seeing eagles that frequently is an amazing conservation success story. When I started birdwatching as a teenager in the 90s, you pretty much only saw them around Conowingo dam in Harford county and a few other select spots in central MD with any regularity. Now it's totally normal to just randomly see them around, sometimes far from waterways.  

Facts. I moved here in the 90s and began to see them, and pretty regularly, the "APG" eagle population. Even then Conowingo was the hottest spot I knew of. They are so much more widespread now, it is wonderful. Lucky enough  to see them nearly every day here on the Bush River but to N Balti Zen's comments...no...have never really gotten used to how amazing it is to see them, they take my breath away every time.

It's...precipitating. Freezing rain/rain mix, possibly. Car is encased in a light coating of ice, stepping stones slippery, street seems just wet. 31

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2274.html

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

 

30 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

I don't think it has much to do with his location.  He has a semi-permanent feud with east coast snow weenies and he likes to savor their tears as they torch.  The problem is I have followed him off an on since 2023 and he seems to be extremely knowledgeable.  He dives "under the hood" into the mechanics of the synoptic scale of the atmosphere and doesn't just rip and read from the models.  In 2023-24 he was down on the canonical nino pattern appearing in late Jan/Feb, and he was correct.  Last year he was up on the possibilities for SE snow and he was right about that as well.

Like Bob says if he knew it all he'd be rich as an energy trader, but if he is making bold claims, I would look into his basis before dismissing him off hand.

He was among my wxtwitter follows for quite a while when I was on there and I agree with this assessment. I didn't know it was a thing, but he did sort of seem to relish crushing EC snow weenie dreams  Note, I am not commenting on his or anyone's specific thoughts on this winter.

From 2 pm AFD

Another punch, or perhaps just extension, to the gusty winds occurs heading into early evening as the potent trough axis moves overhead. Guidance was consistent with minimal drop off in winds, especially on the hilltops and ridges. Thus, all wind headlines are in effect until 10 PM. In particular, downslope-favored areas just east of the Alleghenies could see some very high winds given the wind aloft and profiles in BUFKIT; it would not shock me if one or two wind gusts to hurricane force were noted somewhere between US-219 and US-220 this evening. Given the number of power outages in some areas and the very cold temps tonight, this additional wind could prove high impact.

Winds will diminish the second half of the night as high pressure quickly approaches from the west by daybreak.