wolfie09

I would be lying if I said I wasn't tempted haha Probably take a look at it for the hell of it..

Not sure what"interesting" means lol Low to mid 70s? Because that's the forecast for lower elevations..

The Winter is coming, apparently with a vengeance. The Farmers’ Almanac recently released its extended forecast for the 2020-2021 season, which shows this upcoming winter could be brutally cold and snowy for much of the country. “Based on our time-tested weather formula, the forecast for the upcoming winter looks a lot different from last year, quite divided with some very intense cold snaps and snowfall,” editor Peter Geiger said in a statement. According to the forecast, those who live in the northern half of the country should get ready for extended bouts of cold. Long-range forecasts from the periodical are calling for normal to below-normal temperatures in areas from the Great Lakes and Midwest stretching westward over the Northern and Central Plains and into the Rockies. Areas around the Great Lakes are also expected to see a "fair share of snow," but above-normal snowfall is also expected farther west from the western Dakotas into northern portions of Colorado and Utah, as well as Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, and central and eastern sections of Washington and Oregon. While the Northeast saw barely any snow last winter, the Farmers' Almanac is predicting something "very different" for this upcoming season The big cities in the Northeast, as well as parts of the Mid-Atlantic, may see a blizzard during the second week of February, with 1 to 2 feet of snow in places from Washington, D.C. to Boston. Another big snowstorm may also target the East Coast during the final week of March, with "significant" late-season snowfall. The forecast outlook also calls for a "significant snowfall" at the start of February for eastern Ohio and Kentucky, while the Southern Plains are also expected to see plenty of wintry precipitation during the same month. While northern and eastern parts of the country deal with the cold and snow, the Desert Southwest is expected to have a dry and mild winter, which could worsen drought conditions. Coastal areas along the West Coast could see a rainy and wet winter ahead, but areas in between have been dubbed by the periodical as the "crazy in-between," with periods of tranquil and stormy weather. Some of the regions that could see the stormiest weather stretch from the Tennessee and lower Ohio River valleys up through New England, where storms could line up and bring wintry mix throughout the season. The Farmers’ Almanac says it bases its long-range forecast "on a mathematical and astronomical formula developed in 1818." It's not to be confused with the rival Old Farmer's Almanac, billed as the oldest periodical in North America, which also issues seasonal weather forecasts. If you're looking for a milder winter ahead, Old Farmer's Almanac is calling for "light winter" for most of the U.S., with warmer-than-normal temperatures for a large part of the country.

Yeah, we fared a little better here with about 1/2" of rain overnight, one last batch to get through..

Finished with 1.32" of rain..

Pouring, about 1/3" liquid so far..

Hurricane Laura forecast to be Category 4 storm as Texas, Louisiana brace for landfall An intensifying Hurricane Laura is growing stronger by the hour Wednesday over the Gulf of Mexico as forecasters warn the powerful system will be a "catastrophic” Category 4 storm before it makes landfall along the Gulf Coast. The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami said Wednesday morning that Laura, now a major hurricane, is forecast to "rapidly strengthen" throughout the day, bringing life-threatening storm surge, extreme winds, and flash flooding over eastern Texas and Louisiana. As of 8 a.m. EDT, the storm is located about 280 miles south-southeast of Lake Charles, La., moving northwest at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. Laura is now a dangerous Category 3 hurricane that continues to intensify in the Gulf of Mexico. Satellite images show that Laura has become “a formidable hurricane" in recent hours, threatening to smash homes and sink entire communities. Laura has undergone a remarkable intensification, growing nearly 70 percent in power in just 24 hours “and there are no signs it will stop soon," the NHC said in a briefing early Wednesday. The 8 a.m. advisory from the NHC has Laura becoming a Category 4 storm before making landfall overnight. Category 4 storms bring "catastrophic damage," with well-built framed homes at risk of losing most of the roof structure and exterior walls. "Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas," the NHC states on an overview of damage from similar-sized storms. "Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months." Laura is becoming a large hurricane as it strengthens by the hour, with hurricane-force winds extending 70 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extending outward of up to 175 miles. Laura is forecast to make landfall as a major hurricane with winds upwards of 115 mph on the border between Texas and Louisiana early Thursday morning, but conditions are going to go downhill through the day on Wednesday. Impacts and hazards from the storm will be widespread – not just where the center of the storm makes landfall. A life-threatening storm surge of 7 to 15 feet will inundate the coast just east of the trajectory. A storm surge warning is in effect from Freeport, Texas to the mouth of the Mississippi River. According to the NHC, the worst of the storm surge will be along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by "large and destructive waves." "This storm surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate coastline in southwestern Louisiana and far southeastern Texas," forecasters said. Hurricane-force winds for several hours will cause damage to homes, businesses, and trees. Power outages are also expected. A hurricane warning is in effect from San Luis Pass, Texas to Intracoastal City in Louisiana Flooding will also be widespread from the hurricane. Anywhere between 5 to 10 inches of rain is expected, with isolated totals of 12-15 inches which will cause dangerous conditions along the coast and well inland. Landfalling tropical systems can spawn tornadoes, and that will be expected over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley from Wednesday night into Thursday morning The storm has forced the evacuation of more than half a million people along the Gulf Coast. More than 385,000 residents were told to flee the Texas cities of Beaumont, Galveston, and Port Arthur, and another 200,000 were ordered to leave low-lying Calcasieu Parish in southwestern Louisiana, where forecasters said as much as 13 feet of storm surge topped by waves could submerge whole communities. "If you decide to stay, you’re staying on your own,” Port Arthur Mayor Thurman Bartie said. Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards said Laura is shaping up to look a lot like Hurricane Rita did 15 years ago when it ravaged southwest Louisiana. “We’re going to have significant flooding in places that don’t normally see it,” he said. Fearing that people would not evacuate in time, Edwards said those in southwest Louisiana need to be where they intend to ride out Laura by noon Wednesday, when the state will start feeling the storm's effects. Officials urged people to stay with relatives or in hotel rooms to avoid spreading coronavirus. Buses were stocked with protective equipment and disinfectant, and they would carry fewer passengers to keep people apart, Texas officials said. Laura passed Cuba after killing nearly two dozen people on the island of Hispaniola, including 20 in Haiti and three in the Dominican Republic, where it knocked out power and caused intense flooding. The deaths reportedly included a 10-year-old girl whose home was hit by a tree and a mother and young son crushed by a collapsing wall. Laura's arrival comes just days before the Aug. 29 anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, which breached the levees in New Orleans, flattened much of the Mississippi coast, and killed as many as 1,800 people in 2005. Less than a month later, Hurricane Rita struck southwest Louisiana as a Category 3 storm.

Current drought monitor..

Well we should see some decent liquid this week/weekend..

Oswego county confirmed cases.. 1-5 confirmed cases: Albion, Amboy, Boylston, Hannibal, Minetto, New Haven, Orwell, Palermo, Parish, Redfield, Sandy Creek, Williamstown 6-10 confirmed cases: Mexico, Oswego Town, West Monroe 11-20 confirmed cases: Constantia, Granby, Richland, Scriba, Volney 21-30 confirmed cases: Hastings, Schroeppel 31-40 confirmed cases: No municipality 41-50 confirmed cases: City of Oswego Over 50 confirmed cases: City of Fulton

After boundary sags southward across region by Friday, a near W-E orientation of this front across the area seems likely to yield a very unsettled and wet interlude for the CWA Friday into Friday night. Model guidance suggests continuous instability along this boundary, low level convergence, and ample moisture feed. Thus, this could finally be an extended period of rainfall potential for the area. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Continuation of tropical rainfall across the area will be present to start the weekend. Moisture associated with the remnants of Laura may be drawn up into the frontal boundary and stronger wave of low pressure that will still be laid out across the area. This would yield a near unabated continuation of solid rainfall across the bulk of the area that looks to extend at least into Saturday. Beyond Saturday, the long wave pattern looks to start to change across the eastern CONUS. What has been a very warm period will gradually be replaced by troughing in the upper levels. This will result in cooler and drier Canadian air slipping into the northeastern US for a few days. As a result, the forecast trends decidedly drier and below normal in the temperature department.

Laura expected to be a major hurricane at landfall..

Looks like potential 60s for highs on wed, Thurs, sat and sun, couple nights in the 40s will feel refreshing for sure..

The "executive order" is till December but FEMA has 44 bill to spend Which will last about 3-4 weeks...

It's basically going to be 1 check backdated 3-4 weeks..Kinda surprised nobody is trying to block it lol Trump was smart here, make the Democrats look bad if they try to take it to court lol Just like he knew it was only for a few weeks but extended it till"December".

It's $300 a week, only $400 if states throw in $100, FEMA only has enough for 3-4 weeks, going to be up to Congress for any extended benefits.. Link to follow, scroll to bottom.. And now it says "pre application" Which was "not paid " earlier. https://www.unemploymentpua.com/articles/lwatracker.html

Looks like Cuomo had a change of heart, obviously better than nothing.. NEW YORK (WHEC) — New York is now applying for the Lost Wages Assistance program. New Yorkers who are unemployed because of the coronavirus pandemic will be eligible for an extra $300 per week, but first, the state has to apply for the program through FEMA, which could take a few weeks. A statement from Budget Director Robert Mujica says the following: "Now that the federal government has blinked and will no longer make states provide funding they do not have, New York State will apply for the Lost Wages Assistance program. As Governor Cuomo has said, politics does not impact policy -- especially during a pandemic -- and if New Yorkers are in need, this administration will do everything we can to support them. But make no mistake, this does not absolve Washington from doing its job, and they must pass a comprehensive aid package that provides a stable extension of unemployment benefits, repeals the SALT cap and supports local and state governments. Anything else would simply be unacceptable."

A group of House Democrats is pushing Speaker Nancy Pelosi to vote on a bill to extend extra unemployment benefits when the chamber convenes this weekend. In a letter dated Tuesday, the lawmakers urged the California Democrat and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer to take up legislation that would reinstate the lapsed $600 per week jobless benefit until the coronavirus public health emergency ends, then phase it out as state unemployment rates fall. The House, which left Washington for its August recess before Congress could pass a pandemic aid package, will return on Saturday to vote on a bill that would fund the U.S. Postal Service and reverse changes Democrats worry will make it harder for Americans to vote by mail in November. "We owe it to people waiting to get back to work across the country not only to extend unemployment benefits to help them pay their bills, but to tie these benefits to economic conditions so workers are not held hostage by another cliff like this one," Democratic Reps. Scott Peters of California, Don Beyer of Virginia and Derek Kilmer of Washington wrote in the letter shared with CNBC. They referenced the expiration of enhanced unemployment insurance at the end of July. It is unclear how many other House Democrats will sign on to the letter. The request to Pelosi underscores the pressure Congress faces to pass more legislation to try to curb an economic crisis as Washington stands at a stalemate on an aid deal. Lifelines such as the jobless benefits, a federal moratorium on evictions and the application window for Paycheck Protection Program small business loans have all expired. Democratic leaders and the Trump administration have not restarted relief talks since they collapsed earlier this month. Pelosi has put forward a more than $3 trillion rescue package, but Republicans have proposed a roughly $1 trillion plan. The sides have failed to find common ground. "We have to try to come to that agreement now," Pelosi told Politico on Tuesday. She said Democrats are "willing to cut our bill in half to meet the needs right now." Her spokesman Drew Hammill clarified to CNBC that she was reiterating her previous stance. She has said she would start discussions again if Republicans doubled their roughly $1 trillion relief offer. NBC News reported Tuesday that the House is considering voting on a reined in version of the more than $3 trillion legislation it passed in May.

Hey Dave My top priority is getting a decent house more so than the average snowfall.. Outside of the tug area most of Oswego county averages 125"-175" of snow, for example I didn't notice much of a difference between Fulton and Altmar except it's a little colder so the snow sticks around longer.. Pulaski always looks like a Rip off zone because it's directly west of the southern tug but in reality they see 150"-175" most years, most would die for that lol I"m looking at houses anywhere from Fulton/Oswego to Pulaski/Altmar, preferably something near 81..I mean right now I'm living in a pretty snowy area(Copenhagen) and am trying to be out before winter lol Shows you how much I actually care.. Around here all we have is cows, corn and windmills haha.. Houses are flying right now with quite a low interest rate, I've already contacted wells Fargo for a pre-approval so we'll see how that goes..Take it easy and thanks ... It always looks worse because of the neighbors to the east but unless I go up in elevation, it's all the same lol

Nice looking week ahead.. Monday Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. South wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Monday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tuesday A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.

Been a bitch of a couple weeks lol I originally had an apartment in Adams NY but some maintenance issues postponed it until mid month which was to late, then I found a nice house for rent on the water in sackets harbor, I go to move in Friday and the place was infested with fleas!! Like WTF lol Luckly I got out of that lease pretty quick..So I was lucky enough to contact the Copenhagen apt complex over the weekend and get the apartment on a SHORT TERM lease...lol I bring that up because that's the bad new here, most likely will be out of here before winter But the good news is the old lady has done a complete 180 on her desire to move out of NY State, could start the loan process within the next month or so..I think we'll be looking around C/N Oswego county between Mexico/parish/Pulaski..So yeah that's the Wolfie update for this week lol Cheers..

Nice little storm moving through with heavy rain, nearing 1/2" liquid..

You are probably familiar with those beautiful tropical waterspouts often photographed off the coast of Florida or in the Bahamas. You might not know, however, that waterspouts are also common on the Great Lakes this time of the year. In fact, this week, there was a multi-day waterspout outbreak on the Great Lakes that culminated Wednesday. According to the International Centre for Waterspout Research (ICWR), 42 waterspouts or funnel clouds were confirmed that day alone – 41 over Lake Erie, and another one over Lake Ontario. The daily record for waterspouts on the Great Lakes at 67 on Oct. 20, 2013. The Glossary of Meteorology defines a waterspout as "an intense columnar vortex – usually containing a funnel cloud – that occurs over a body of water and is connected to a cumuliform cloud." In layman’s terms, that means a column of spinning air occurring over a body of water, connected to puffy cumulus clouds. There are two types of waterspouts: 1. Tornadic: Associated with a rotating, supercell thunderstorm that produces extreme winds and damage. These are quite rare on the Great Lakes. 2. Fair-weather: A common type that occurs in generally fair weather without a connection to a dangerous supercell thunderstorm. Fair-weather waterspouts typically have weak circulations and winds. The bigger ones produce wind gusts that can exceed 50 mph and flip a small boat or damage a dock if they come onshore. Fortunately, these types of waterspouts also move relatively slowly and are most often visible over the flat expanse of the lake waters from a great distance, so there is ample time to get out of their way. It also allows for some spectacular photos and videos. Great Lakes waterspouts are also known as cold-air funnels. As the name implies, they occur when cooler air moves across the warmer waters of the Great Lakes. By late July and early August, the Great Lakes are at their warmest. Water temperatures can rise to 80 degrees in the rather shallow water of Lake Erie. The average air temperature and Lake Erie water temperature at Buffalo, New York, defines the various lake-effect seasons. The waterspout season on the Great Lakes generally matches that time of the year when the water temperature is warmer than the air temperature. In the graph above, it roughly covers the months of August through October, which coincides with the period when lake-effect rain showers occur. There is a waterspout season – a subset of the same lake-effect season that produces those epic snowstorms in the late fall and winter on the Great Lakes. Waterspout season typically ramps up in the latter part of July and lasts into October. August and September are the most common months for Great Lakes waterspouts. Monthly waterspout frequency on the Great Lakes from 1994 through 2010. The season typically begins in late July and extends through October. So what does cold air moving across warm water have to do with waterspouts? When that cool air moves across the warmer water, a steep drop in the air temperature develops from the warm lake surface upward a few thousand feet in altitude through the cooler air. The drop in temperature with height is referred to as the "lapse rate." A steep lapse rate allows warm air near the lake surface to become very buoyant and rise rapidly like a hot air balloon into the colder air above. Soon, rapidly developing cumulus clouds build, and below those clouds, the updrafts in that buoyant air strengthen. If the winds near the surface are relatively weak, it allows for small, organized rotations to develop, which are lifted into a vertical column below those cumulus clouds. That rotating column of air gets stretched with the updraft, resulting in the spin-up of a waterspout. The favorable conditions for waterspout formation (i.e. cold air outbreaks across warm waters of the Great Lakes) can be forecast to some degree. The most common weather pattern to bring those colder temperatures aloft is a closed upper-level low that moves across the Great Lakes. The ICWR issues daily forecasts for the potential for waterspout activity across the Great Lakes. If you live near the Great Lakes, watch for those upper-level lows, head out to the lakeshore and if you’re lucky, you might just see one of these wonders of nature develop right before your eyes. And, as alluded to earlier, it also marks a change of seasons when we begin to see lake-effect precipitation increasingly possible, as the air temperature trends cooler than Great Lakes water temperatures. It’s time to get ready for the lake-effect season as it brings all sorts of interesting weather from now through winter.