Cashtown_Coop

48

You even stole my snow last year. It truly was a Mason Dixon express last year

Warmup for winter

Some high dbz heading for bubbler

I think it does well most of the time. It is however the only model I have saved on my phone.

Just checked radar. Small moving cells in Bedford Fulton areas. Was a little surprised

Best lightning of the year for me. Round 2 inbound

81 here currently @ 1:45

Flash Flood Emergency for eastern Adams and western York

Band from Frederick to Taneytown, to Hanover to York is crazy. Could be a 10” in there

You’ll add another 2” yet

This area is going to smoke us. 4-6” seems a lock. My numbers yesterday were low. Oh well

York County course.

I83 special. Heavy cells driving north

Let’s see where it sets up across the state

I was hoping you’d post this

Yes thanks for pointing that out. Your band is sinking south as the band around Morgantown is still pushing north. That’s the zone

Hrrr depicts what I’d call a pivot zone or deform like area you’d see in winter storms. Whoever gets caught in that zone floods looks to be close to Garrett County now

Agreed. Outside the cells it’s a light rain maybe .20”/hr stuff.

Strong wording for CTP e post-tropical transition of Ida (interaction with the mid- latitude westerlies and quasi-stationary front draped near the MD/PA line) will bring extreme rainfall and considerable flooding impacts to south central PA today into early Thursday. Strong signals in the latest hires ensemble guidance leads to high confidence extreme 24-hr rainfall totals of 4 to 6+ inches with local amounts up to 8 inches possible. The 01/00Z HREF probability of 24hr QPF to exceed 100yr ARI is 70-100% which increases confidence in extreme rainfall even more. To put this into a more localized climatological perspective, we are forecasting a top-5 maximum daily rainfall total at Harrisburg.

Bands will set up north of us. Still 24 hours of north trends yet. Like watching our foot of snow turn into 2” of slush to rain

I’m going with 2-4” for us, 4-6” 2nd tier counties and a bullseye 8-10” amount say Perry county northern Dauphin

I believe most lsv is in 5-7”.

WPC not backing down. Keeps axis from MD line north