Snowlover11
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Everything posted by Snowlover11
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trend is definitely not our friend here. -
GFS is a crapshoot model. moves 100 miles north but cant deny the northern shift.
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RGEM is NW.
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While that nam run was down right depressing(south and east of the tappen zee) the nam DOES tend to over do things so’ll we will have to see other data come in. If the gfs/euro holds about the same we all should do pretty well.
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honestly the last day everything has been pushing NW. so its really not one run.
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nam mixes all the way to lower westchester county, this storm is fading faster than the mets chance at a world series
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gfs wont catch up till tomorrow afternoon(if it even does)
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6-12” snowstorm is nothing to sneeze at honestly, if your in central/southern nj and or eastern tip of li, yeah you have issues, but thats always the case.
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tight gradient once you go south and east of nyc verbatim.
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ukie is about 15” for nyc.
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gfs sucks, the cmc dryslots nyc.....
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RGEM actually ticked south, not by much though.
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well honestly it looks like it chases the convection but we all know northern areas(I-84) and above where in question. euro is stilk a very good storm for most.
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Euro keeps areas south of I-84 in the double digit snow totals. while north of I-84 still sees decent totals of 5-9”
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euro chases the convection just like the gfs. cuts northern areas down (I-84) is the cut off line from heavier totals.
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18z euro rolling.
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typical gfs bs though it chases the convection offshore.
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models starting to pick up on that High, GFS did tick north though.
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philly gets dryslotted.
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nam is colder and a tick south. precip field looks weird tho.
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euro is a massive hit
