Amped

Looks like some decent rates in Albany.

A lot of thunder is better than we normally get with the synaptic system squall lines..  Usually it's indistinguishable from a gardener accidentally hitting the window with the hose for 10 seconds.

Can we get a storm with winds stronger than the synaptic winds behind the coldfront? Thats all I want

So NAMed this run

GFS has a bizarre snowstorm at 318hrs for l PA and NJ.  At least the old GFS fantasy range snowstorms looked somewhat physically possible.

58 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Comparing the 18Z to 12z GEFS clown snow map mean at 6 days it was a marginal improvement.

Still show a horrible H5 pattern after day 7

3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

There is a +PNA at 240 on the 18z GEFS, so there's that.

Appears to be rather transient though. Not liking the Pac look overall.  Going to be an warm period for the foreseeable future.

Imagine  if there was a bulls ass that could talk, and screamed  "Hey everyone look at me" every 2 minutes. You think people would catch on and stop falling for it after 70+ years but apparently sometimes they don't.

I hope a hurricane permanently stalls off the coast so we can hallucinate on which way it's moving 365 days a year.

Somebody smash the HMON and the HWRF now.   Their track outputs are not supposed to be taken seriously.

TV Mets are going to have to start calling "the eye" of the Dorian "The Pupil" so they don't confuse the public.

2 hours ago, LithiaWx said:

Wishcasting a Cat 5 to hit a major city in FL hard.  Storm hitting somewhere with low population and no major buildings to destroy is lame.   

 Freeport,  spends 24hrs in the eye on the Euro. Plenty of buildings to destroy there, I don't know how well built they are, but they are going to need to hold up to CAT 4/5

34 minutes ago, LithiaWx said:

Pulling for a cat 5 to hit a major metro. 

As long as the 3km NAM agrees

16 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said:

After Michael last year I don't think the HWRF can ever be completely tossed out.

After the performance over the past 24hrs, I think every model and every ensemble member should  should be completely tossed.

3 minutes ago, das said:

I can confirm @Ka60‘s 12.5” total. I asked my roommate (who HATES the snow) to go stick my 12” ruler into the snow on the back deck and let me know what the snowdepth was and she flatly said to me, “it disappeared, you’ll have to find it yourself when you get here tomorrow”.  LOL. 

That band just won't quit. Congrats, I only have around 7"

Just hit 7" still snowing

Hopefully the moco deathband makes it here.

Inverted troff FTW. Models still stink at handling these.  If we had wind, it would be almost like 2/10/10.

The HRRR kept saying this band would move south,but it's still drifting north.

3 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

Hvy snow now....very nice fatties!  Did not expect this today.....

Still no fatties here, but flake size has improved

2 minutes ago, Solo2 said:

Even under the darker greens....just can't quite get beyond SN- and small flakage a few miles north of 70 here.  So close!

Annoying, it keeps going all around us, but it is still drifting north.

You can see a dryslot over the Delmarva and offshore. Probably why we have enhanced lift over us and heavier rates than any model showed. It's the opposite of  March 2013.

Snow is picking up, but no fatties yet.

Just now, Solo2 said:

Getting close to 1"/Hr stuff now in FDK.

Hopefully this holds for an hour or two. It's the only way we'll get as much as NVA and DC

Just now, losetoa6 said:

Yea..that band southwest of frederick is getting real nice 

Has some big flakes for sure