Radtechwxman

They going to do an intermediate advisory or wait till next main one at 5am?

What's the difference between these and the extrapolated pressures? How do they derive the extrapolated pressures?

Seems to be pretty steady state despite a very impressive IR appearance

Pressure up on 8pm advisory and winds stayed same. I honestly thought pressure may be down and winds up based on how satellite looked.

Melissa definitely looks to be doing a loop. Might make an abrupt ne turn soon. Only took 85 years.

It's really looking like it could barely clip the west side of Jamaica at this point. Most if not all models had the ne turn by now didn't they? Melissa seems to be doing it's own thing and defying models. Definitely not evolving at all how I expected track wise. Way more west than I ever expected.

It's really been hugging that left edge of nhc track though. Would hate to be forecasting this or chasing this.

Seriously really starting to wonder if this is going to clip far western Jamaica. It's going to need to make a hard right turn

Not even the strongest quadrant. Absolutely insane

Definitely eager to see that data and hopefully they get a good pass through the eye

Is this the plane that will issue the 5am advisory or will another flight follow this?

I really thought this was going to be a cat 5 now especially given the satellite estimates and what data they're getting now. So confused.

Looks like north turn may be in process of happening now

Apparently hurricane hunters are struggling to hit the eye because it's small and turbulence. Hopefully they get a good sample before having to head back.

Seems like pressure has been steadily dropping all day but winds struggling to catch up. Based on these pressures and satellite look I would think this would be cat 5 now but feel like something has been holding back the winds some.