Radtechwxman

Yeah looks like its downfall could happen fast and it being a small storm make it even more susceptible

Nhc has it hitting 115 now. Not surprising based on structure improvement. 105 mph now and 969 mb.

0z hrrr and nam absolutely shred this just before landfall. Halficane

Going to pass over that warm eddy to with much improved structure now. Shear shouldn't be too bad overnight. I could see a cat 3 peak potentially. By afternoon tomorrow it will start feeling effects of much higher shear and eventually drier air towards coast.

I was not expecting 100 mph at this advisory especially with little to no change in pressure. Isaias is looking better on satellite now. Tonight probably best chance to overperform with that warm eddy and diurnal favorable timing for intensification before shear starts to offset everything.

Definitely has the feel of an underperformer today. Seems like stuff already popping for 2nd round. We need more time to recover. But shear is stupid so something will probably happen on boundary.

Hrrr has terrible hand on current trends. Can't really trust it. Cams may not be reliable today. Will be a watch sfc obs and satellite day. I think best threat will be between I74 and I72 today. I think I80 done.

Agreed. Not sure what SPC is seeing. That cf really surges south fast.

Shouldn't this say 3/26/26 because it's tomorrow?

Rooting for you man! I know you're long overdue. You had a nice weenie band earlier. Pivoting bands look to be setting up over your area.

Was just thinking same thing. Heart of metro may miss out on heaviest totals

I do think cams particularly hrrr are underdone with snow. 1-2in I think is a good bet here. Hrrr barely had half inch.

0z gfs drastically different than cams for areas further south

After 80s on Tues and storm chasing I'm good. Lol. Im so over cold. But would of been cool to get a historical blizzard like this.

Yeah 0z not kind to IL. Lol. Another non event. Ready for spring to stick around