Isotherm

94F and day 14 for the season here.

5 hours ago, doncat said:

Move your barbecue away from your vantage

I'm tied with Newark (doubt that will last) at 12 90 degree days here.

1 hour ago, doncat said:

28 days here so far...normal for entire season is 21...Record is 44 days in 2010.

Up to 22 days here, above the normal of 17-18 I think. I had 38 in 2010.

We should manage some more days in Sept.

11 hours ago, doncat said:

19  days of 90+ here so far .

Stuck at 12 here, but I've had at least 6 days of near misses at 88-89F over the past few months. If the next two months are very warm/warm as I expect, my backyard should be able to surpass 20 days.

Interior areas and urban locations already near normal for annual 90s. 20 at New Brunswick is impressive. Coastal sites like NYC still need another 7 or so. But we're really only half-way through the summer as far as the heat goes.

4 total here with 3 in May and 1 this month.

Still stuck at 1 here (91.5 on May 28th), with 1 89F and a couple 88s as well. So far my high for June of 88 is less than May, and only 8 degrees warmer than March! Talk about a pattern reversal.

17 90F days here. Tomorrow would make a heat wave and 18. Now at the seasonal normal for this area re 90s.

Up to 13 here. Surpassed last summer's 11, and should attain 2013's 16 I think.

Count here is 8 90+ days and 4 89 days.

Same here.

8 90F+ days (highest 93.8F), and 4 89F days.

About as normal a summer as you can get so far. -0.1 temp departure June, and +0.2 for July through today.

Here's my guesses for the summer:

First 90F

NYC: 5/27

EWR: 5/26

Seasonal Totals:

NYC: 13

EWR: 19

LGA: 14

NBW: 19

TTN: 16

PHL: 22

IMBY: 13

Going for another low impact 90F year.

Last year I had 11 days IMBY. My guess is I'll end up fairly similar or slightly more, but still below the average which is 16-18 or so.

89.5, so 90F here today for my 8th day of the year. Same as TTN's numbers.

PHL really starting to pull away from the pack on these borderline days. As for TEB, it shouldn't even be looked at. PHL's in the lead right now.

I knew EWR would have no problem catching up to me. I was ahead of them by 1 prior to today, but today's 88F high kept me at 7 days of 90F+.

Just missed heat wave as did most. I had a heat wave last week though.

92F here for my 6th day of the season.

today was the first day with a minimum of 70 or higher in KNYC...for the record...last year had 51...

year.. total min 70+ consecutive 70+

1930..........26............8

1931..........34............7

1932..........25............6

1933..........33............6

1934..........26............4

1935..........29..........11

1936..........20............4

1937..........28............6

1938..........34..........12

1939..........44..........13

1940..........24............8

1941..........27............6

1942..........20............4

1943..........30............4

1944..........41..........14

1945..........29............4

1946..........11............3

1947..........30............5

1948..........29............6

1949..........43..........10

1950..........13............5

1951..........23............7

1952..........38..........12

1953..........34..........10

1954..........18............5

1955..........45..........13

1956..........20............5

1957..........31............5

1958..........26............4

1959..........46..........10

1960..........20............5

1961..........42............9

1962............8............2

1963..........14............5

1964..........19............4

1965..........17............4

1966..........40..........11

1967..........17............5

1968..........29............6

1969..........33............6

1970..........37..........10

1971..........45............9

1972..........30..........15

1973..........37..........11

1974..........26............3

1975..........23..........12

1976..........24............4

1977..........37............9

1978..........31..........13

1979..........42..........17

1980..........52..........22

1981..........39............8

1982..........30..........12

1983..........45..........13

1984..........40..........16

1985..........34............6

1986..........31............4

1987..........32............7

1988..........42..........21

1989..........28............5

1990..........32............8

1991..........31............7

1992..........14............4

1993..........35..........10

1994..........35............9

1995..........39..........18

1996..........22............5

1997..........27............8

1998..........39..........11

1999..........45..........13

2000..........22............4

2001..........30............9

2002..........43............9

2003..........33..........15

2004..........28............6

2005..........60..........14

2006..........41..........15

2007..........35............8

2008..........35............8

2009..........18............5

2010..........54..........22

2011..........40...........9

2012..........47..........10

2013..........51..........19

1876..........46..........14

1902..........16............8

1903..........18............5

1906..........61..........17

1908..........54..........16

1888..........17............6

............................

Wow, 1962 was frigid. Cold winter, cold summer. If NYC had 8, I probably would have had 0 nights above 70 here.

Why only one cold-phase analog, 1957?

It was the only year that really matched up in terms of other global indicators like the PDO and EPO. 1957, 1986, 1994, and 2004 all had fairly robust +PDO signals in conjunction with a negative -EPO pattern that I expect will continue for the summer. Other cold phase oncoming Nino's such as 1965 and 1972 for example, had solidly negative PDO's. Much different SSTA profile in the Pacific as well among other atmospheric factors.

Time to start tracking the 90 degree days.    Will post a summer thread to track any heat as well.

 

 

This year Im going a bit above avg and on par with last year with  1982/2002/2006/1986 the strongest analogs

 

EWR: 23

NYC: 16

LGA: 20

JFK: 11

Tony, this will be my call for 90F days:

Going with an average of the 1986/1957/2004/1994 90F day analogs.

NYC: 13

LGA: 15

EWR: 19

JFK: 8

Slightly below average season 90F wise. Think we'll see a lot of elevated night time lows again with countless days in the 85-90 degree range.

since 1941 NYC has seen 88 degrees a few times...One as late as the 19th in 1979 after the earliest snowfall on record...The most 80 degree days in October is eight set in 1954...

1954...8

1963...7

1946...6

1990...6

1931...5

1949...5

1961...5

1968...5

1995...5

2007...5

Yeah 2007 was very warm - green leaves until early November.

Looks like the 90s are in the coffin. I'm finishing with 16 days here, basically normal.

Day 3 of 90F+ here.

 

Most sites fairly close thus far. NYC pencils in 3 consecutive 90s. We'll see if they keep neck and neck with EWR this year.

 

I'm thinking an average summer temp wise, my guess for 90F days would be the following.

 

NYC: 15

EWR: 22

LGA: 19

JFK: 11

 

IMBY I'll go 17, which would be lower than the past 3 summers.

A couple days too high on JFK, couple too low for EWR and LGA, NYC very close.

For my backyard I'm at 16, so I'll need 1 more to hit my call dead on. Not bad if I say so myself (somebody's gotta do the patting). I know Sacrus made a very good call for NYC and EWR as well.

Day 16 for me yesterday, and I'd wager probably the last until next year. So a finish right around normal for 90F days.

NYC's pretty much been on par with EWR and LGA highs recently since the dry period began a few weeks ago.

Like TTN, I'm also stuck at 15. No 90s for August so far. Let's see how long it'll be. I'm pretty confident we'll see at least one or two more days through mid September.

About another 4 weeks of this and it is all downhill thereafter...after 20 August, 95 F and above become pretty hard to reach in the City / 90 F and above in the countryside. 

Peak of averages is this week William. It's all downhill from right now.

Assuming Saturday's 90+, that will make 15 days of 90F for me. High thus far was 96.4 today.

Today was number 9 for me. Could have 7 consecutive, from today through Saturday, which would put me at 15 on the season.