Isotherm

The media doesn't usually report on the "truth" because the "truth" is often not exciting, exhilarating, threatening, or intimidating. Marketing fear to induce consumer action is what the media does best, and this is true across a variety of subject fields [climate change inclusive]. Thus, in this case, the media chooses to report on the most extreme scenario pertaining to our future climate. And ironically, even that doesn't seem to faze the majority of citizens. I'm a believer in educating people with the truth in order to get them to act, not lying or exaggerating information to induce a response. The problem is that most people are driven primarily by short term concerns, and a possibility 30+ years down the road isn't going to be at the top of their to-do list upon awakening every morning.

Not true. This is very debatable. There's plenty of uncertainty throughout the ECS range, and I think many here would be surprised at the number of peer reviewed studies asserting fairly low equilibrium climate sensitivities and TCR's.

*Couldn't care less.

89.5, so 90F here today for my 8th day of the year. Same as TTN's numbers.

PHL really starting to pull away from the pack on these borderline days. As for TEB, it shouldn't even be looked at. PHL's in the lead right now.

I knew EWR would have no problem catching up to me. I was ahead of them by 1 prior to today, but today's 88F high kept me at 7 days of 90F+. Just missed heat wave as did most. I had a heat wave last week though.

92F here for my 6th day of the season.

Wow, 1962 was frigid. Cold winter, cold summer. If NYC had 8, I probably would have had 0 nights above 70 here.

It was the only year that really matched up in terms of other global indicators like the PDO and EPO. 1957, 1986, 1994, and 2004 all had fairly robust +PDO signals in conjunction with a negative -EPO pattern that I expect will continue for the summer. Other cold phase oncoming Nino's such as 1965 and 1972 for example, had solidly negative PDO's. Much different SSTA profile in the Pacific as well among other atmospheric factors.

Tony, this will be my call for 90F days: Going with an average of the 1986/1957/2004/1994 90F day analogs. NYC: 13 LGA: 15 EWR: 19 JFK: 8 Slightly below average season 90F wise. Think we'll see a lot of elevated night time lows again with countless days in the 85-90 degree range.

Yeah 2007 was very warm - green leaves until early November. Looks like the 90s are in the coffin. I'm finishing with 16 days here, basically normal.

I always get a kick out of images like the above. You're taking the period 1990-2000s and comparing it to the notorious cold cycle -PDO/-AMO of the 1950-1970, thereby skewing the anomalies much warmer than they should be. The comparison time frame should have more years inclusive of a warm cycle (or at least partially - maybe 1950 to 1990) if one is looking to achieve accurate anomalies, but that is not the case.

I have a different categorization and think you can create more groups. Extreme alarmist: 100% human induced Alarmist: > 75% human induced, < 25% natural Denier: 100% Natural Skeptic: > 75% natural, < 25% human induced Middle of the road can be broken down IMO. High end Middle of the roader: 25-50% naturally induced, 50-75% human induced Central Middle of roader: Around a 50/50 split for natural and human factors Low end Middle of roader: 25-50% human induced, 50-75% naturally induced So 7 categories total.

A couple days too high on JFK, couple too low for EWR and LGA, NYC very close. For my backyard I'm at 16, so I'll need 1 more to hit my call dead on. Not bad if I say so myself (somebody's gotta do the patting). I know Sacrus made a very good call for NYC and EWR as well.

Day 16 for me yesterday, and I'd wager probably the last until next year. So a finish right around normal for 90F days.

NYC's pretty much been on par with EWR and LGA highs recently since the dry period began a few weeks ago. Like TTN, I'm also stuck at 15. No 90s for August so far. Let's see how long it'll be. I'm pretty confident we'll see at least one or two more days through mid September.

Peak of averages is this week William. It's all downhill from right now.

Assuming Saturday's 90+, that will make 15 days of 90F for me. High thus far was 96.4 today.

Today was number 9 for me. Could have 7 consecutive, from today through Saturday, which would put me at 15 on the season.

This is the type of regime where EWR and LGA will break away from the pack in terms of 90F days. I had 3 from 7/5-7/7 and the past two days have been mid/upper 80s. Tomorrow looks like another borderline day.

Agreed. Looks like today blowtorched right to the coast. JFK put up an impressive 93. Also hit 93.2F here. 84.0 right now! We'll see how high we can keep temps tonight. Pool's at 87 now with these warm minima.

First official heat wave of the summer for most will be 7/5-7/7.

I've got a feeling (that tonight's going to be a good night) Central Park will be pulling some 89F highs in the next several days given the enormous amount of rain lately. We may see a few days where EWR tops out at 92-93F and NYC is 89F. Going to be close.

Eeesh, TEB is ridiculous; starting to become the new EWR, hitting 90F with such ease. I hit 86F early on then fell into the low/mid 80s by late afternoon.

I hate when I'm this close and don't make it. 89.4F so far today. All I needed was 0.1F more for the official heat wave. 91 Monday, 91 yesterday. I was 87 Sunday.