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Posts posted by AppsRunner
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Euro ensembles are definitely a bit south of previous runs, but split fairly distinctly. Won’t be surprised to see shifts back NW though as this seems to be the time (~48-96hrs) where models play shenanigans before coming to consensus
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It's worth noting that not only did Tyndall AFB gust to 130mph, but a couple UF/WeatherFlow stations also recorded winds of that caliber for getting tossed around. The one that hit the eye (after the wind sensor died) recorded an 86/G129. The one station just SE of Mexico beach recorded 96/G126. Not to mention the FSU/Panama City station that hit 100/G116 before it also died (on an offshore wind). Given that there was a recorded 16.5mb pressure difference over 3.7 nmi and multiple datasets of ~920mb pressure, it's laughable that people are even considering this to be Cat1/Cat2.
Hopefully the NHC appreciates your email though!
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On mobile so the link may not work, but here’s a video from the Rantoul tornado from ILX’s warning:
https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinLighty/status/1011802095719198721
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Two very brief tornadoes on the SW side of Champaign yesterday. Also not included was a roughly 1 mile by 800 yard wide microburst, primarily on the U of I golf course, with roughly 80mph winds.
Quote000 NOUS43 KILX 112020 PNSILX ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-120830- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Lincoln IL 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/10/18 TORNADO EVENT... .OVERVIEW... A line of severe thunderstorms moving from northwest to southeast, advanced into Champaign County between 1:45 pm CDT and 3:00 pm CDT. Two very brief, weak tornadoes spun up on the leading edge of the line of storms on the southwest outskirts of the city of Champaign. The line of storms was also responsible for widespread wind damage, with estimated peak gusts of 60 to 80 mph, from Mahomet through Champaign/Urbana to Broadlands. .TORNADO #1 Champaign/Copper Ridge Road... Rating: EF-0 Estimated peak wind: 80-85 mph Path length /Statute/: 0.1 mile Path width /Maximum/: 30 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: Jun 10 2018 Start time: 2:16 pm CDT Start location: 4.5 miles SW downtown Champaign, IL Start Lat/Lon: 40.0844 / -88.3192 End date: Jun 10 2018 End time: 2:17 pm CDT End Location: 4.4 miles SW downtown Champaign, IL End lat/lon: 40.0842 / -88.3181 SURVEY SUMMARY: At 2:16 pm CDT a weak tornado briefly touched down in the backyward of a residence on Copper Ridge Road. The tornado damaged the roofs of two homes, damaged a shed, fencing, and trees. Eyewitnesses stated the tornado dissipated in about 30 seconds or less, about one-tenth of a mile to the east-southeast of where it formed. .TORNADO 2 Champaign/Rolling Acres Drive... Rating: EF-0 Estimated peak wind: 75-80 mph Path length /Statute/: 0.1 mile Path width /Maximum/: 20 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: Jun 10 2018 Start time: 2:19 pm CDT Start location: 4.2 miles SSW downtown Champaign, IL Start Lat/Lon: 40.0677 / -88.2952 End date: Jun 10 2018 End time: 2:20 pm CDT End Location: 4.3 miles SSW downtown Champaign, IL End lat/lon: 40.0670 / -88.2944 SURVEY SUMMARY: After the tornado near Copper Ridge Road dissipated, the line of thunderstorms produced wind damage to trees in Zahnd Park. The storm crossed I-57, and then shortly thereafter, a second brief tornado developed near Duncan Road and Rolling Acres Drive. This tornado snapped off the tops of trees and did minor damage to two properties. Similar to the first tornado, this tornado dissipated in less than a minute, about one-tenth of a mile to the southeast of where it developed.
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Possible tornado in Champaign/Urbana area today. Headed out to my first survey with ILX tomorrow morning.
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I'm living about a mile south of KBMI, and was fairly close to the couplet as it tracked through Bloomington. I didn't have a great view from my location, but I was able to see some decent low level rotation/wall cloud as the storm came through. A few tree limbs down here, but it seems the winds really got going about a county to my southeast.
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Haven’t been around in a while, but it feels like I haven’t missed a whole lot around OH lately. Hoping to get some rumbles today at least
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Visibility is dropping but there's just not much sticking/falling from the sky. The radar (at least for the lakeshore) is extremely overdone.
Even the latest METAR from CLE shows this with 1/4 mile visibility but only 0.01" liquid the past hour.
I think we can file this event under bust. What a disaster winter this has been for snow.
METAR obs. don't show much all the time, especially if it's windy like it is now.
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Don't believe that is free. Best you can get is 850 temps. I like using Chinooks page (AMWX poster) for the Euro since he did a nice job choosing colors/contours.
You should be able to get ECMWF 850mb DP's on Plymouth's site as well.
Nov. 25th-26th Midwest Snowstorm Potential
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
In Ames for this storm, it’s fun watching the northern edge slide completely out of play for us. I think DSM has gone several years without a 6” storm... that looks to continue here