Allsnow

48 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Models seeing the stronger Southeast ridge next week than in earlier runs. So this means that the stalled front to the south will come back north. This is when the chances for more widespread heavy convection will return. 70s dew points and 2.00”+ PWATS have been the norm this summer. 

New run

Old run

 

 

Yes!!!!

56 minutes ago, psv88 said:

82/67 now, still muggy. 

Agreed. It was more humid then I thought it would be today 

Over a inch of rain today 

1 minute ago, SI Mailman said:

Currently in Metuchen for round 2 watching from inside the restaurant

Enjoy. North side of town is a war zone 

Another storm!!! This is crazy 

22 minutes ago, mgerb said:

Definitely straight. Microburst no doubt. 

Wish I could post pics but it’s keeps saying the image is to large. The damage is incredible 

We either had a tornado or straight line winds. 911 is backed up 

2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Congrats! This has been happening lately where a storm misses me just to the south and hits you hard. I've been having bad luck with the strong storms missing me just to the south here in the extreme northern part of the County, but at least I got enough rain in recent days. 

Strongest wind I have ever experienced in a thunderstorm 

Numerous trees down 

Just as some wicked winds 

Down burst!!!

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

More storms back in PA

Yes!!!

Very windy as the storm approaches 

Just now, Rtd208 said:

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued here.

Let’s go!!!

Storms looks like it’s coming directly for my are a

22 hours ago, Allsnow said:

 

Looks like it will make it to 12 years 

very few areas hit 100 down there 

Radar looks good southeast of us 

Mesoscale Discussion 1653
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Areas affected...Eastern Pennsylvania into Northern Maryland...New Jersey...and far Southern New York

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 161835Z - 162030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch may be needed later this afternoon for storms capable of 60-70 MPH wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Visible satellite trends and short-term WoFS guidance suggests that thunderstorm activity should increase over Central and Eastern Pennsylvania this afternoon, bringing a threat primarily for damaging straight-line winds. These storms are expected to progress eastward into New Jersey and far southern New York.

Surface observations show a hot, dry boundary-layer in place over the highlight area, with surface temperatures in the upper 90s F to low 100s F and dewpoints in the upper 60s F to low 70s F. These conditions have resulted in MLLCL heights of around 2-3 km and low-level lapse rates that are dry adiabatic beneath the LCL. Additionally, the better deep-layer wind shear supportive of organized convection is confined to northern and central PA, suggesting that the primary threat is for damaging winds from disorganized to weakly-organized multi-cell clusters. Weather watch issuance may be needed later this afternoon.
 

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No hyperbole, but likely 70+ dews into September. Just stand out there with open arms in the air..letting the dews take you away. 

So not looking forward to 4 months of fall starting in December