daxx
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Everything posted by daxx
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Yea I'm in Adirondacks until Sunday. I might stay an extra day! Lol
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That's putting it mildly. You guy get nailed!
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We do get some on backside but not buying it.
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Northern pa and upstate ny pummeled. Euro is definitely not the ukie for lsv.
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Thursday night and early Friday still on for snow on the Euro. Precip a little lighter than previous runs.
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Hey I felt the same, it did not look good at the time. Even now is not perfect. I don't think you were totally wrong. We are having more bouts of winter but I think your February call for a much better pattern is still spot on.
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Nut if I were you I would be heading to your cabin. They are going to get nailed up there!
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One way to look at this, two weeks ago we where talking about waiting until February. We just had snow and it's been cold. We are getting more snow this week. This weekend looks crappy but we might end up with more wintry precip in amongst flooding lol. Early next week bitter cold, then another up in the air event for now. After that I think we are in a much better spot.
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The fv3 looks decent for Thursday night and friday.
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Not even worth talking about. Ugly!
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Gfs not looking good at start of weekend storm.
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Yea 540 stayed south of us along with 850. Surface little iffy but it is the gfs, don't trust it 2m temps.
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Yes we will probably rain. We can hope for more front and back end of storm.
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Pay site. Stormvista is very fast
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Stormvista
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12z icon is just not giving up still showing snow and ice for the weekend storm.
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Not liking what I see so far at all for the weekend storm. Hopefully things turn around at 12z. Just looked at the 06z ecmwf eps out to hour 144 and for the lsv is pretty much toast for a good snowfall. As you move north and west it gets better. Upstate NY does great.
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You can really see the follow up showing on gefs.
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Gefs mean is definitely colder than the op. Have to wait for individuals.
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Agree back side of storms are usually a flop. I
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The models might be on to something with backside. Euro has it, gfs has it and now fv3.
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Fv3 look decent for Thursday.
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Trust me there is a good amount of rain on this run. The backside is giving you those numbers. Take the backside out and it's not close to that.
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18z gfs is some snow to ice then to a lot of rain for lsv. It has trailing energy which gives us snow on backside. We all know how that goes. Overall a more amped run than 12z.
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18z gfs still look good for 2 to 4 Thursday.
