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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. KBHM 272304Z 13010G21KT 1 1/4SM R06/5000VP6000FT +FC TSRA BR FEW037CB BKN046 OVC070 24/22 A2956 RMK TORNADO B02 TORNADO W-N MOV NE AO2 PRESFR OCNL LTGICCCCG ALQDS TS ALQDS P0021
  2. The whole meso just looks like its straight to the ground. Very dangerous.
  3. This is going to stay very dangerous as it keeps going NE as there are a lot of towns between Tuscaloosa and Birmingham.
  4. Btw I don't anyone actually mentioned this, but the PDS watch for Alabama, the probabilities are all >95%. I believe this is the first watch to ever have all >95%.
  5. Very fast motion too not to mention the individual vortices
  6. Impressive looking tornado on the ground to the North of Birmingham. Multiple Vortex, with powerflashes.
  7. No I would agree, I was just stating if there was anything that would cause them not to go High, it would be that. I personally would go high for S. KY south into MS/AL.
  8. It's these differences that will probably cause them to not pull the trigger on a high until the 2nd outlook at 1300Z if they dont at 0600Z
  9. Yeah I would have to agree with all of this, I think saying tomorrow will underperform is a bit premature. If we have issues with the setup by say noon tomorrow then we can talk about the potential underperforming.
  10. Yeah I agree, I think we need to keep this thread to serious discussion as a good amount of the country is going to be affected tomorrow.
  11. I'm not writing off anything, I just think that you don't realize just how epic 30 F4 and 6 F5 tornadoes are.
  12. The odds of this being another 'super outbreak' with 30 F4s and 6 F5s is about 1 in 1 million. Sure there will be a great number of tornadoes tomorrow, but to even put this outbreak in the same breath as the Super Outbreak is just foolish.
  13. Yeah Tennessee is going to have a long day today and tomorrow, and its already been a busy time in the past 36 hours.
  14. There is certainly a potential of a High, of all 3 days Wednesday would be the one that has the highest potential get the High Risk designation.
  15. Wow not often do you see such amazing shear coinciding with large instability like this.
  16. Yeah Wednesday is starting to get that scary potential to it. Especially with the models uniformly trending left each run.
  17. I'd certainly argue there is a growing potential further North on Wednesday per the latest model runs, SREF showing higher numbers much further North than previous runs too.
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