tdp146

Started as all rain here in Seaford. 37. What happened to the rain observation/whine thread? I was all excited to post there. 

16 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

deep thunder much like the ukmet is even more supressed on the 12z run; jackpots the city w/ 12-18" and is an all snow event.

A bit off topic- but what does IBM intend to do with 'deep thunder'?  Will it become 'operational' or is it still experimental? I know it's been around for more than year at least  Do they intend to sell the data to governments/private users through a weather consulting business? 

5 minutes ago, North and West said:

Yea... the driving seems a bit white-knuckled, with the lack of guide rails. 

The weather up there truly is as advertised. I hiked up a few years ago, it was in the 60s when we submitted. Like clockwork, a wall of clouds came in like a train and the temp dropped as we started back down. Ended up getting hailed on. I watched a bolt of lightning come out of the clouds at a lower altitude from where I was standing. It was surreal, and scary.  The forecast called for just the slightest chance of T-storms, we kind of knew there was a chance we could get into some trouble. But when you drive up 8 hours and only have one chance to make the trek, you kind of feel like you should just go for it. Still glad we did. 

Just finished lighting the tree and see flurries outside. Nice. 

Anyone have the date of the last 90 for the region? Or last 75 or even 70 degree dew point? Wondering what the shortest number of days between those numbers and first measurable snowfall is. 

I’ve kept my ‘cool’ weather vegetables going (lettuce, broccoli) even through the snow on Thursday, but those temps for Thanksgiving will call for final harvest (appropriately) if verified. 

28 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

We live in a new world where November and March are the snowiest months of the year lol.

90s in September, 80s in October, snowstorms in November. 

Outside 7 WTC. What season is it?

1 minute ago, Mitchel Volk said:

First flake here at Beaver St lower Manhattan

beat me to it. 

November beach day. Dogs invited too

Suspensions earlier on the LIRR. Long Beach branch in island park flooded. 

Student driver mistake. Minus 3 points for parking in flood zone. 

Blue- where did you get that surge map?

1 hour ago, sferic said:

Is there a Mt Washington webcam?

https://www.mountwashington.org/premium-content/webcam-videos/

7 hours ago, CIK62 said:

No telling what costume the GFS will be wearing when this baby gets here:

Maybe it comes dressed as its own self.    Oh, then nothing will happen.   lol

Time to start cashing in on the boiling hot Atlantic. This is why I tell people to root for hot summers and get excited when those offshore buoys temps start spiking over 80 degrees.  All that pent up energy to tap into over the next 3-4 months.

2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I never like to be in the bullseye this far out. But another 95/96 wall to wall winter would be shangrala for me.

And I like Bluewaves point. A blizzard of 1888 track with today’s much moister atmosphere would be a 50-60” storm for us. Let’s do it before we eventually cross that threshold of not having enough cold air

I'm in for this.  Then we can grow palm trees around here for all I care. 

Meant to post yesterday. Saw two last night. Oct 10. 

Saw one last night. October 1st.  I admit I was 'looking' pretty hard last night around the neighborhood to see if we really would make it to October.   

Will- should have bet the over. Sept 26. Saw two tonight during a run in a fairly wooded park just before 7:00. 

Saw one Friday night. 21st 

Another amazing day on the beach. Long Beach today. 

29 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Funny, just came back out here. But then again I’m only 3 miles to your west. Today has major erosion issues. A new inlet almost formed during sandy between today and Gilgo where there had been one historically. Robert Moses had 3 inlets filled to create ocean parkway. One at zacks bay one there and one between gilgo and cedar beach. The entire island surrounding the parkway was raised to 14’.

’

I have a bunch of pictures of thre beach at Tobay and gilgo a couple weeks after sandy. It was wild.

acually even today we walked towards gilgo and the West gilgo area took a fairly big hit just from Florence. Almost in the same spot that almost washed over during the march 2010 nor easter.

46 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

The biggest surf was Thursday morning and it has been gradually subsiding since. The wave faces were in the 12 foot range thrusday about 8-10 yesterday and 4-5 today. I was out for hours each day, but I have surfed much bigger waves in Hawaii and have 25 years experience. Definitly not for beginners and yesterday was especially dangerous as the swell was directly south and led to so pretty brutal rip currents. 

Just now we had a pretty serious rescue at Jones beach as a swimmer got caught in rip. The guy would have certainly drowned if we (life guards) weren’t still on duty. 

It’s currently clouded up here and what had been a spectacular September beach day has ended.

Suns back out. Tomorrow should be another great one too. 

21 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Absolutely perfect beach day at Jones beach! Full sunshine with the now onshore flow keeping all the clouds inland. Which beach are you at? Plenty of sand here as always

Tobay. East end. Always gets chewed up down this side. Tunnel had a bit of water in it as usual. Surf is still up but subsiding. Selfishly I was hoping for those GFS solutions that kept the stall just off the outer banks. Would have thrown huge surf up this way for days. 

Absolute perfect beach day. If I could find forkys post form a week ago saying the ridge would squash Florence to south and we would have AN temps I’d bump it. 

Blue sky, light breeze, perfect air and water temp. September really is he unsung hero of beach weather. Everyone also thinks you can’t go to the beach anymore after Labor Day so there are no crowds. Good thing too since the beach is chewed up from Florence.