Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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51 in Rouzerville at 15 before nooners. Parsing over the WU data shows the wedge of cool air trying to hang on for Central and Eastern LSV. Upper 50's just West of Chambersburg.
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She sees fast gains between 12 and 3. Upper 50's so maybe a degree or two below 60.
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Hey Pal, the HRRR say's it is coming. 70's tomorrow as well.
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Thick clouds and a mild 36 here.
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Sounds like two weekends in a row with two Big Ben"s out.
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Randy allows one moniker change ever year or two?
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The LosetoaMagof93 storm? MagBlizztoa Storm?
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I should have said MagLosatoa 2021 storm as I now remember you did throw out that GFS earlier. Ha.
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The losetoa 2021 Storm https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/16/weather/thanksgiving-travel-weather-forecast-storm/index.html
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Evgeni Malkin, Sidney Crosby, Rafael Devers?????? https://www.espn.com/nhl/story/_/id/32646194/fenway-sports-group-advanced-talks-purchase-pittsburgh-penguins-source-says
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LOL, I saw that. 3 ob's in so far.
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Thanks goodness. When I saw I was only at 32 and MDT was at 30, this AM, I went to see if you were up and when I saw not, I started shaking as its not normal for me to beat out/come in higher the HIA gang. I wanted some confirmation.
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We can roll the dice again in 4 hours.
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I just looked at the event for a week from now. But scanning the entire GFS, the temps are seasonal. No 60's and frankly maybe even low 50's for highs at the peak. Just no interesting weather until the weekend after Turkey Day when a low goes through Western PA. Mostly rain here.
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A trough swings through but nothing amplifies like it did on the EC 24 hours ago...and in fact today's EC is also more progressive than it's 24 hour past version. Nooners is snoozers.
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The EC was showing the amped up trough. Was looking for the GFS to show any sign of it as well.
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I actually had not looked but I was mostly refencing the potential for negative titled amplification early next week. Just looked at the GFS and its fairly progressive right now.
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Yep. HRRR did not go out that far but the GFS, CMC, NAM and Icon all have it. If the normal summer HIA thing plays out, some will be making a run for Mid 70's. Record is 76 in 1928.
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12Z GFS...Crickets cannot be a good sign. Did see the 12Z HRRR is going for 60ish tomorrow still (LSV)
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32 here. Only 8 degree spread from yesterday high.
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Lots of rolling clouds and occasional drops. Sun came out for maybe 10 min around lunch.
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The Eskimo Joe snow of 2018.
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The sun never came out here which was probably part of the reason. I just came in from outside and its winter brutal out. Low 20's wind chill is a bit of a shock.
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Coldest day of the season by far over here....topped out at 40 but now down to 34 with a wind chill of 22
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I agree with you in that the way NCEP measures the various suites, the EC is probably still superior in front placement and timing but for the every day "what is the weather going to be like 3 days from now", the EC really has turned into the model that keeps caving. Not sure if we are in an overall atmospheric period that is problematic for the EC's routines or if changes have made it less effective. I noticed it starting last winter and then with all the ridge's and trough talk here this year.
