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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    I just looked at 850 and this means we are definitely not staying all snow (this depiction, not a forecast. Hate to have to say that but apparently I need to) but its not out of the world crazy that its over blown/amped a bit.
  2. Bubbler86
    New Nam is in. SLP is quite a bit south of where I expected to see it but ULL is still looking like it would give us problems later on. Here is the surface at 84. Surface is south of the Gem and the whole state of Alabama south of GFS.
  3. Bubbler86
    The HRRR nailed it.
  4. Bubbler86
    I do not think so. Its pretty typical when warmer air is coming in from the S/W. A thicker cloud deck has moved in and its down to 43. HGR at 42.
  5. Bubbler86
    Those maps are indeed not good for people here but its part of weather. On some depictions, this system has gone from slipping along the Gulf then sweeping up the S/E to threatening to keep some UL components not all that far south of our latitude. . The big dream of a low sweeping up from the deep south is turning in a much more convoluted Miller situation. Much more difficult to forecast precip types. NC has gone from mention of Jan 2000 to a front end ice storm transitioning to heavy rain storm.
  6. Bubbler86
    Miss @paweather
  7. Bubbler86
    Gonna start trouble, Mag! :-). Everyone is Miller A or go home right now.
  8. Bubbler86
    Most of us do have jobs despite seemingly being here all day so the QPF and snow maps is the limit sometimes. Ha.
  9. Bubbler86
    46 at 2:30 here.
  10. Bubbler86
    Snagged from the MA. Jumped West a bit but not as far as the Op....though this is a singular time in moment shot of one panel
  11. Bubbler86
    Soon time for the EPS to be farther east.
  12. Bubbler86
    And atomic
  13. Bubbler86
    I read several opinions stating that the slow down is due to a less optimal/slow down of its own progression of the low that forms on the coast a few days earlier. The slow down and change in conditions is making the trough a bit less optimal in its alignment. The word last year was tuck...well this is too much tuck.
  14. Bubbler86
    10" is fine with my. Actually its plenty unless we are going over 2 feet. Little difference in 10" vs 14" in my book. The slotted part is also key to avoid pack loss. Temps for us max out in the mid 30's post storm. Low to mid 40's for those a bit east so have to watch that potential for a torch even in our area.
  15. Bubbler86
    Yes you did. Pitt stole our deform. The TimB Blizzard of 22.
  16. Bubbler86
    For us, thump then dry slot. But not a classic Miller A
  17. Bubbler86
    It still makes me smile to see someone else excited about a model starting (I am as well when I have time).
  18. Bubbler86
    The farther east one goes, the less heat up today per the short term models I looked at. You may stay in the mid to upper 30's.
  19. Bubbler86
    Just hit 40 slightly before my nooner.
  20. Bubbler86
    @Cashtown_Coop, we are not holding on to just snow long once that 850 low moves from Kentucky to Ohio. The primary is not giving up fast enough regardless of where the new Surface low goes once it forms to our South. Need the 850's to collapse which means a much sooner transfer.
  21. Bubbler86
    Thanks for adding that. Great to put a reason to the results on the models.
  22. Bubbler86
    That seems to be a consensus opinion among many.
  23. Bubbler86
    Being discussed on the MA board but here is a panel showing an area we really need improvement for a mostly snow event (LSV). It's really not even close for the LSV with the 850 low in Ohio.
  24. Bubbler86
    Here is a more smoothed over look I saw from Wxbell/MA. Makes is seem less bad,
  25. Bubbler86
    The Kuch for the 12Z GFS
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