Bubbler86

74 beautiful degrees in 'Ville West.   The Nam depiction of total rain the next 2-3 days is crazy.  2"+ in western LSV, 1" at MDT.  Something to watch at 18Z.  

8 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

How depressed are temperatures?

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Not too bad.  Most of the rain comes later Monday on the one I looked at.  

Some 12z runs are quite rainy as we go through Monday...even northern Lsv into the evening.  See a lot of no rain posts but still a decent chance as the period comes into better focus of the meso's

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

And being early this year the (lack of rain) should have us all concerned.

The feds seem to think we have a wetter than normal summer on tap.  We shall see.  mdt will be double digit negatives by fall if not.

2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Glorious low of 44 this morning.

Mrs. Blizz & I are enjoying our morning coffee out back on the patio.

Dp? 

LSV Pre-Memorial Split

5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I'm gonna have to set up the pump to pump water out of the creek to irrigate my garden.

As much work as that sounds, you are lucky to have the option.  Its just hoses for me.   I might put in an irrigation system for the yard.  This is getting old and is seemingly like this every year albeit it extremely early this summer.   The lack of rain is on and off through the year, but the sun (and its drying) is more than I ever remember it 10-20 years ago and the wind tacks on to the dry. 

22 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

38 this morning. 

43 here this Am.  Pillow/your area has had quite the lot of 30's recently.   I got up early to water part of the yard hoping it will soak in better than it did yesterday evening.   Looking dire for rain up that far north.   Progs keeping most of it in the southern LSV. 

The air is so dry it is hard to water the grass and not lose most to evap.    Still have high hopes for rain the next 3 days.  I know lesser hopes north of here.   Windows open LSV with lower 40's in colder spots tonight. 

Could see some drastic temp differences this weekend.    May be in the 50's near the M/D line (whether in PA or MD) and near 80 north of Harrisburg.  The record low max at MDT for Sunday is 57.   Still a decent chance of some rain south of Harrisburg. 

31 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

We can only hope. Beginning to think that this might be a summer that won't happen. WE need heat and high dewpoints to maybe trigger thunderstorms to get some rain. 

Progs look pretty warm for a few days next week. 

49 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

37 was the low. No wonder it seems like my tomato plants aren't growing. Too cold at night.

The GFS has been doing a good job forecasting these dry, cold nights and it does not show another period of them for over 10 days out (June 8th) @ 300 hours+ so you know how that is....not likely at 300 hours.  So, after tomorrow AM's low 40's this might be it. 

42 for the low...up to 44 now. 

Channel 8 met pointed out that as is, May 2023 would be the 6th driest month ever.  Not sure if that was pointed out by anyone.

He called the whale high "Large and in charge".

A VERY LATE potted plant advisory.   Did not think we would see one more in our sub.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
1022 AM EDT Thu May 25 2023

PAZ017>019-045-261100-
/O.EXB.KCTP.FR.Y.0009.230526T0700Z-230526T1100Z/
Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg,
State College, and Lock Haven
1022 AM EDT Thu May 25 2023

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Areas of frost formation, mainly in rural valley
  locations, where temperatures could fall as low as 34.

* WHERE...Clearfield, Northern Centre, Southern Centre and
  Southern Clinton Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill
  unprotected outdoor vegetation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the
cold. Potted plants should be brought inside.

The latest forecast information can be found on the
NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege,
or on the web at weather.gov/ctp.

&&

4 minutes ago, canderson said:

No rain chances for the next 10+ days seems like a definite thing. Crazy.  We’lll be -4” by June 15 maybe. 
 

Grass around here is browning up fast. 

We are way above  -4 right now.  We are into the -3's this month alone but it was 2 or 3 more inches the first 4 months.  We meaning MDT.

On some other places I hang out, they are calling this high the Pig High. 

1 hour ago, canderson said:

CTP pulled any chance of rain Sunday entirely, as expected. 

The Whale High will just not allow that low to climb enough on most progs.   The Beluga Drought. 

13 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

If we do this truly CTP style we get stuck at 62, overcast, maybe a spritz. A true memorial weekend screw job to equal this winter.

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OC, MD is already resigned to this being their fate but with more rain than spritz. 

Nooners 60 and breezy.  The NAM  continues to put us under the influence of the ULL this weekend...Rgem and Icon real close as well.  GFS rolling out at the at the moment.   (Edit-GFS is still close but cuts off right at the M/D line...much warmer than this look below) 

Like every Memorial day it seems, feel sorry for the beach goers where the low gets up to.  Skee Ball day it is. 

Was just outside....55 and not the least bit warm.  Incredible. 

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Wait are you in San Antonio? If so go to Orginal Blanco Cafe for lunch. If you're in Texas hit me up and I'll direct you to good eats. 

Those pictures you were sending last month (or before) were two meals in one pic.

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

A muggy 73 here this morning. River Walk in town is super cool, marking that off the bucket list. 

That is higher than many (if not all) of us will get today. 

New drought map is out, and they ignore us.  Did not change much if at all and they do not mention the monthly 3+ deficit in their write up.  We are not behind where we were before the late April rains and the drought monitor indexes all are not good.  Streams, ground water, etc.  

Northeast Drought Summary

6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

"Anomalous +1-2SD MSLP Canadian high pressure will sink south
from Ontario into the Great Lakes today. Very dry air will
accompany the seasonably strong anticyclone with pWAT values -2
to -3SD below the mean. To put the dry air into more context,
there is the potential to set a daily record low pWAT on the
25/12Z PIT sounding this morning (0.73" observed on the 25/00Z
release; 0.26" is the current daily record low pWAT value that
is in jeopardy)."

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That whale is the main reason we are sweating any rain chances this weekend.   We have gone from the SER to the NER sticking it to us.  Of course Memorial day fun folks love it (at least inland, MD and south beaches still looks sour). 

55 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Wow no rain according to NWS for the foreseeable future. This could get bad for the agriculture interests. 

I think Sun and Mon are still in play.  GFS backed away but Nam and Icon jumped back on board.   Better south than north.