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Ji

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Everything posted by Ji

  1. what pisses me off is between Dec 26 and Jan 2nd...when i am not working and have more time for models.....its been a blowtorch the past several years. Its the worst feeling
  2. Well those warm Christmas are usually a result of the fact that the cold December pattern has to break at some point. Remember when it snowed every December 5th?
  3. i go by moderate(1.0-1.5) Strong 1.5 to 2.0 and Super (2.0-2.5) so to me 82-83, 1997-98, 2015-2016 were super ninos. 2 of those had a blizzard. So i dont think we will have a super Nino so i probably wouldnt use those years
  4. what if you just do moderate. 1997/2015 were like super ninos
  5. this might win me the weenie of the year but if you just looked at ONI--the best match i found for where we are now and where we are headed potentially is 57-58 lol https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
  6. the earlier the storm is in the window...the less chance we have for snow. Todays Euro shows another Miller B--when the GFS was showing snow...it was at the end of this Nov 8-11 window ...not at the begining
  7. You can do better than that lol. Look at 6z gfs Nov 1987 redux
  8. It moved north. Midseason form
  9. the ensembles have zero support for a significant snowstorm or even a rainstorm lol
  10. lol euro with a snowstorm for Western MD and parts of PA next week
  11. Even western Loudoun has little color
  12. i dont see much difference between the euro and GFS...the bad angle of the diving SW and late redevelopment typically isnt condusive for us getting alot of precip
  13. Yes. I threw a fit on fb lol.
  14. I’m pissed. We got a period of light rain in Loudoun…maybe an hour and they closed the fields for no reason all day and my sons game got cancelled. It was completely dry after 930
  15. Euro weeklies look about normal for the area. Probably a bit if a warmer signal than colder but nothing really screams anything more than average
  16. Worst wr performance I’ve ever seen
  17. all you need in December is a few good days around the holidays(which we never get)
  18. negative guy--hard to read his posts
  19. The euro did show a west migration of the el nino anomalies for jfm Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
  20. for Leesburg--it was actually 4 inches snowier lol than the Sept run
  21. Yep we got some work to do to get that blue lol
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