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Ji

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Everything posted by Ji

  1. Not an excuse but the Midwest storm is tomorrow. The models should have a good handle by now Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
  2. Yep that excuse is getting lame Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
  3. The non snowiest model has beaten the snowiest model the last 53 times Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
  4. Gfs is caving. We need models not to trend towards superior euro
  5. JB is defaulted to do very well in any epic eastern winter. Sort of like the guy for the philies who hits .190 but 50 bombs...Kyle Schwarber?
  6. Jb has 5 analogs that he rotates in his playlist. 57-58 65-66 95-96 0203 09-10 Then he analogs the 1993 superstorm once a year
  7. Encouraging tweet https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1745617893574791311?s=46&t=C005pd5HNg3Y-KhVU7n3VA
  8. My gut feeling is different I’m looking at winters after moderate ninos 95-96 04-05 2010-11 87-88 66-67
  9. If the gfs caves it’s tonight. It’s pretty reliable within a certain time frame and if we can get last 00z and 12z tomorrow we’re good
  10. We don’t want a flush hit for the coast. That screws us
  11. No way gfs loses this. It’s not a great model but its usually reliable at 102 hours
  12. just go with the ones that give you the least snow. They are the most reliable
  13. not me. This is one of those events where when we need a North shift...it will shift even more south
  14. models are really great with longwave patterns and whether its going to be cold or not and if there is a general threat or not...but we are probably years away from being able to model a storm properly past 5 days
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