nycsnow

Mesoscale Discussion 2276 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0541 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 Areas affected...Upstate NY to eastern Long Island...including parts of southern New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 262341Z - 270545Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow bands will spread/develop southeast across upstate NY toward southern New England over the next few hours. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr are expected. DISCUSSION...Low-amplitude short-wave trough is progressing southeast across western NY/PA early this evening. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts a notable midlevel vort max southwest of Syracuse, and this is reflected well in radar data. Multiple heavy snow bands have developed ahead of this vort max, strongly influenced by low-level warm advection, extending across upstate NY into the lower Hudson Valley. Boundary layer moistening supports this with dew points now rising into the mid teens (F) where snow rates are increasing. Over the next few hours snow rates are expected to increase downstream across western CT and Long Island, largely in response to this well-defined short wave digging toward the northern Middle Atlantic. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr can be expected prior to the short wave passage. ..Darrow.. 12/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

Gfs has been pretty consistent to though

Euro has a 994 low into PA on the 28… good luck riding Canadian

Brush fire today in Brooklyn. It was crazy in November December in NYC. Might be an ugly spring

Don’t worry another week to get disappointed

Stuff has been trending a bit n/w we will see

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Nam was better for Long Island

Still fun to track esp with no expectations now

Heard 18z euro eps were west anybody have them?

Sref pretty west Image

Icon and rgem miss

Aifs is a little n/w nothing crazy though

2-4 with ratios Image

Still snowing Image

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Nam! Lolol Image

Gfs has the highest snowfall area so small. This isn’t good for anyone outside the Carolina coast

If icons right it’s gonna be a sunny day here Thursday highest snow totals now limited to Carolina coast/ the fish

And everyone will still hump year it’s still trending s/e. For such an elite model epic fail. I think it might’ve trended legit 400 miles already and still going

0z Image vs 12z Image

Even south of us the area of significant totals is getting smaller and smaller Image