dan11295

One minor piece of good news is central/eastern PR finally has a break in the rainfall over the past hour. Unfortunately they are not done with the rain yet with more heavy bands to go through.

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Closing in on 8” IMBY .. Almost 9” in Woodbridge seems to be the jack in the state. 

What was your biggest storm last winter? 

Seeing 3 WU PWS reports of 7.2-7.8" in the Smithfield RI area. Also a couple 7.3-7.5" further west as well.

5 minutes ago, Vinny Findley said:

I have an Ambient weather 2902 connected to meteobridge. I also set up a few old fashion rain gauges in my back yard to compare against the weather station rain gauge. The weather station is set up without anything around it and level. The weather station was .15 off from the 2 tube rain gauges. The meteobridge allows for correction in the router software. The weather station is now within .01 of the other 2 rain gauges.

Current estimate is ~5" in your area. So i would knock 20% off those radar estimates

Digital storm totals might be a tad overdone, PWS i am seeing have 4.5-4.7" where 5-5.5" are estimated currently. Of course it depends on PWS accuracy/siting etc.

Regardless, current trends on radar are problematic for this corridor.

7 minutes ago, Vinny Findley said:

I'm in Cranston about a quarter mile east of 295. KRICRANS8 on Wundermap. I'm at 3.65 right now. Flash flood warning popped up on my phone about 10 minutes ago. The 3.65 is since 1:00. I don't know where the 5" in Cranston is! Looking at all the weather stations on Wundermap I don't see anything above 4" all across Cranston. Hope it's not going to do this into sunrise tomorrow. We'll be close to 10" and have major flooding!

Not in Cranston, but farther to your west going toward Foster there are multiple stations with 4.2-4.7". There is a sharp cutoff to the heaviest totals in your area.

That Foster-Cranston/PVD corridor had gotten hammered last 2 hours. 4-5+ widespread in that corridor now.

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

 North Billerica MA reporting 4.4” already. Yikes 

Ground truth at the radar estimates so far are pretty accurate.

3km NAM is certainly looking better than 12k NAM atm, even if location and QPF of jackpot areas will be off on the 3k. You are getting these quick cells that drop 3-4" in spots then weaken and move on. If you get any training then you might have problems, otherwise stuff has time to run off it seems so far.

Hilarious how we are talking about bumps west like it's a winter storm 

So last 6 days at KBOS 98 95 97 98 98 98+ pretty impressive  

26 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

JB latest forecast has the east coast on high risk of a tropical system for the rest of the summer.

When doesn't it? 

FYI the 8.62" they have had so far today would rank as the #5 Wettest JULY on record.

2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Impressive anomaly modeled 

No snow?

the Logan number looks pretty good. seeing 15-16" reports in SE Mass. The airport is almost in the heaviest banding right now.

100k outages in MA now. A lot in southern in southern Bristol-PYM counties.

28k out now in PYM County and Cape Cod. Given that we havent gotten to peak winds yet will def have issues in those areas for sure.

Winds have really picked up here in the past hour. Fair amount of blowing/drifting even with only a couple inches. Difficult to measure as others are said.

power outages starting to creep up 7k now. Going to be an issue in areas with wetter snow as mentioned before.

1.2" here at 7 am. Echos here were really light until the past hour.

Getting into some decent rates here as that NW RI band works northeastward. Probably only couple inches on the ground here (will measure shortly).

Looked at last hourly obs SE MA/cape/RI winds are 30-35 sustained with 45 mph gusts already. Snow just isn't heavy enough for blizz criteria yet.

Nice looking band from ILM-Hopkinton MA. Near coastal areas Scituate-Pembroke area look to be getting some decent snows with that fetch. Potential jack area which has model support.

18z EURO brought me off the ledge. Getting just about nowcast time with low already formed.

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I am certainly not a pro met, but it would seem upping totals at this stage is simply not supported by guidance.

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12-18" ORH east 16-20"  with spot 24" SE MA seems to be 12z EURO/GFS/NAM. Pedestrian NW of there.