MJOatleast7

8 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Hermine? The one that sat south of LI and spun itself out? Or maybe the J storm in 2017, whatever its name was...

Jose in 2017

2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

The Sept 3-8 period looks toasty. 

mostly 6-8th

9 minutes ago, White Rain said:

Highs at the house here the last 3 days have been 70, 67 and 71.  69 currently, The weather feels great but its too early for fall - seasons in seasons.

really the anomalous thing here the last few days, just as much as the temps, is the persistent NE fetch/E Canada high. Too early for that?

we now return you to your regularly scheduled GW apocalypse...

50 minutes ago, dendrite said:

lawl

That's two weeks solid last yr that were above 70F

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's really fascinating ....  

We are definitely observing the -AMOC related blocking going on and persisting/pervading the summer pattern at high latitudes, at the same time "suspicion" of GW enhanced seasonal hemispheric heights are attempting to usurp the pattern with heat/higher heights from the south, and we're seeing crazy gradients ...certainly relative to summer typology.  ...I really do wonder how this morphs heading into the autumn... 

The AMOC being the Atlantic, multi-decadal stuff with the SST and the co-relation with the NAO tendencies... The correlation is positive.. they tend to move together.  The AMOC is negative,  as can be seen with robust tripole signature to the SST distribution, and so on.  The propensity of the -NAO(-AO) follows concomitantly -

But, we cannot negate and/or completely disavow the GW enhancement on ambient heights, and then consider;  there are literally two diametrically opposing signals on a Global scale, and you can see it in the models as they bore out these absurd looking vortexes in central Canada at the same time they've got heights nearing 600 dam as nearby/far N at the Tennessee Valley...  

hmmm, add in all the low salinity ocean water from melting Greenland...thermohaline slowdown...what that does to the dipole or tripole in the Atlantic...anybody's guess.

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looks like fall makes a visit around D10+. Cranky and his disciples getting might nervous.

remember, it's always 10 days away...

Quote

wtf, 4 rumbles of thunder heard from Museum of Science but closest rain is in Wellesley Hills

1 minute ago, LSC97wxnut said:

As if on cue, a tiny little cell around Framingham pops up

Hopefully the main line will steal its "thunder" - ouch

And actually the famous Sahara "triangle of fire" (Reggane, Adrar and In Salah, Algeria) was 109F today (and the last few days), quite a bit below their normal of 117. The hot air got pulled up into Spain then France.

6 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Paris,  wow.  I just Googled their all time high temp  104.7F.   Is the 108 official?

Paris-Montsouris (a park in the southern part of the city within the peripherique (city boundary) recorded 42.4 deg C (108.3 F) at 3:20 pm local time today

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Don't need to wait until next week to see 90.  

We could even bootleg a heat wave out of 89.6's, Friday afternoon onward... so yar, that may including some days next week.

This look ( to me ) is really a Sirius typology...  The 'dog star,' which rises and set with the sun from July through the end of August.  Hence the "dog days of summer". That saying is more so applied to a light wind and stagnantly warm humid air mass ... ..basically, boring.   

With 582 to 588 dm heights supporting diurnal thickness expansion .. but sans much EML expulsion from out west, together with diurnal/convectively induced dents and faux S/W in the models .... doesn't inspire much in the way of bona fide heat, but would support some.  So heh..89 to 91's..

The GFS ensemble mean is back to buckin' for an early autumn though.  I gotta figure we're going to have to field this from that model family until it really "can" happen...circa early September. But... the NAO is fallen out there so...maybe all this is a prelude to unlikely pattern .. ha

  

 

Dies caniculae...watch out, the Nile will flood. The French call a heat wave "la canicule"...but what's going on there now is truly ridiculous.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah 73/72. Partly sunny now. We wipe.

Only poor mid level lapse rates and (later) drying stand between us and some action in E Ma late this aftn.

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Slow movement south to the clouds. NNE FTW today. 

Seems to parallel the mid flow/SE ridge pattern really well. Should move slowly if at all

Surfline SSTs

There was a 77 reading a couple of years ago in Late August on Nantucket Sound (Popponessett)

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Good signs for mid month:

Good to see the 50/50 low still there in some fashion...Maybe insurance against the SE ridge in case the Canada low is a little too west

Pea sized hail in N Winchester/Woburn

4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

For heat enthusiasts... that D7 just rubs it in ... ha. 

Could be a 101 at Detroit and 58 at Boston when the wind tips on shore with that unrelenting "parameterized" vortex out there. 

It's like the initialization physical grid of the models have the Earth's immovable geological topographic features + that vortex  

Will we develop a Great Red Spot too?

Just now, MJOatleast7 said:

I believe the former director of the Hayden Planetarium in New York (which is now Neil deGrasse Tyson's gig) retired there, at the Smoke Rise community

in Kinnelon that is

1 hour ago, tamarack said:

That's the place.  Our place was at the edge of Butler Reservoir watershed land, so we could walk 3,000' north without seeing a road or house, not that common in NNJ.  I was in the last Kinnelon class to graduate from Butler HS,=; just missed being in the 1st class out of the new KHS.  Butler-Boonton was the traditional Thanksgiving Day football game back then.

I believe the former director of the Hayden Planetarium in New York (which is now Neil deGrasse Tyson's gig) retired there, at the Smoke Rise community

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just drive naked.

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Right right - ...

In fact, there have been three ice ages in the last 540 Million years ...in which the ice caps spread farther S than the 50th parallel, and I'm sure in each one of those ..which tended to last many eons once they set up... there were June 21 snow storms pretty regularly at our latitude.  

So, paleoclimatology or not ... it's always fun to think how relative it all is. 

Btw - I was reading a fascinating recent geological discovery that exposes a pretty clear red-handed culprit for those ice-ages... It has to do with rifting in the tropics ... and it was particular to the tropics, too.  There's evidences for rifting events in the northern and southern latitudes, too, but those were less coherently correlated.  But, what happens is ... fresh oceanic rock is foisted above sea-level, exposing to C02... reaction occurs and sequestration suddenly fluxes anomalously high, and atmospheric C02 content of those eras plummeted... ice age occurred.  They think the sun and air and land worked together to create carbonaceous trapping of C02.

You go, Rift Valley/Dallol Ethiopia.

27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

6Z Euro 

LOL at the screw hole ASH-MHT.

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Dr Dew coming attractions coming to stay in theatres near you soon 

Lots of TOR warnings incoming