OrangeCTWX
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Everything posted by OrangeCTWX
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Eh still pulls west last minute.
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Looks east of 6z but definitely stronger so far. My guess is it’s a strong storm hitting the cape?
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It initialized at 991mb, thought it was still 995mb. Every mb makes a difference right now haha
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The awful NAVGEM is more useful than the 3k for tropical systems. It’s bombs out every storm into a mega storm.
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Environment wasn’t nearly as hostile earlier. This will be the true test (assuming I am reading the prior frames of the wind shear map correctly)
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18z HMON is starting to come out. Already looks stronger so far than the 12z, which really isn’t that surprising.
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Gfs looks like it wants to stall this south of Nantucket? Might not even make landfall. This seems pretty inline with what Ray was thinking.
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It’s has it around 995 for a while but then weakens it to around 100mb 12+ hours from now. Maybe due to shear?
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Gfs definitely weaker so far. 995mb vs 983mb at 57hrs. Interesting
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Very early but through hour 24 the GFS is 10mb weaker..
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Icon identical to 12z. CC crusher. Hits and then stalls/spins around cape cod.
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Good to know , no wonder why the HWRF and GFS were so similar. HMON track was similar but the intensity was wayyyy less.
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HWRF is almost identical to the GFS.
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HWRF on the other hand is a 949mb beast. Sheesh.
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So the HMON looks like it may be getting pulled in, tough to say. But the huge difference is it’s a 1003mb piece of crap vs what it showed at 6z.
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HMON pretty noticeably weaker so far vs 6z. 1003mb vs 989mb at 6z. Will have to see what impact that has. Gfs at the same time frame was already down to 969mb.
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Yep pretty identical track to 0z.
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CMC further offshore and weaker vs 0z.
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Ya let’s hope that doesn’t happen.
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Gfs kinda wants to do what the HMON did?
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Gfs hasn’t backed off on intensity that’s for sure.
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Icon with the last second pull back. Boston landfall? Lol
