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SN_Lover

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Everything posted by SN_Lover

  1. I can't remember the last time we had a major severe weather outbreak. Wounder what this spring will be like.
  2. The GFS was not good in any way. Stratosphere cooling and the polar vortex retreating to the poles. The SE ridge giving us winter lovers the middle finder and a stout - PNA trough. And what's a -NAO look like because those are more rare than unicorns.
  3. Over-performer incoming! Models under doing the CAD.
  4. CAD is now eroding. DP's should gradually rise the next several hours. Melting should begin now through tonight for most NC locations. Great for the kid's. They won't be out of school that long!
  5. Mooresville just or over 3.5". The sleet cutoff never ceases to amaze me. Glad i didn't fly back home for this one.
  6. The Statesville sn/ip/zr line in full effect on the NAM.
  7. Sleet line stops at Statesville usually. 4-7" would be a good call.
  8. Earlier runs of the NAM had the transition zone correct. Went through RDU's records for combination winter storms of date and magnitude and could not find anything. Whichever p-type you get, this will be downright historic!!
  9. Same thing time after time. Models underestimate the warm layer and the sleet line advances north and everyone vents on here because they didn't get their GFS 2 feet. Sometimes you need to apply common sense and realize this is the Carolina's. end of rant.
  10. Also, the beta models can be run on your cell phone. they are not reliable.
  11. I think the shear analysis was taken 1-2 hours ago. What about the dry air?
  12. Florence does not look good on WV or IR. Going into a area of very strong shear and dry air...
  13. Really sad. I went and ate on the island today and it was like a funeral in the restaurant. Everyone was rightfully scared. It's a sad situation all around. I know weather enthusiasts love this, but i now see it from a local perspective and it's depressing. I hope it curves out to see
  14. This will be almost Biblical if the Euro verifies. We joked about harvey when the Euro was showing it, im not joking now
  15. Same. I'm on the top floor of my apartment. Inventorying everything today just in case of landfall for insurance.
  16. True, but shouldn't make too much of a difference.
  17. It's a pain to display on GRADS. Me and my research mentor had to contact NCEP. You have to do something with a file to get it to display right.
  18. Stay tuned for this Winter's most popular hit "My wet-bulb is too high" followed by "2 inches of sleet, washed away by rain"
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