btownheel

Ain’t nobody in here except maybe Brick buying anything, lol. Just goofing around with clown maps. However, it’s way more fun to be scouring HRRR runs for the massive storm in 24 hours while peeking at goofy clowns for next week than trying to look at weeklies hoping the death ridge subsides in February…maybe. .

Oh so now we have “I-95 theory?” CMC trolling…. .

Dropping that on top of the 3-4 inches of concrete we’ll probably still have on the ground at that point would be enough for me to throw in the towel on at least the next two winters, if not three. .

Blacksburg still likes the odds of a little front end thump in northern NC. Nice to see. .

Okay, that’s taking “I-85” theory a bit too far…. .

Truth. FTR, also fully agree with your comment that precisely no one in NC CAD favored regions is seeing any of this above freezing. Not an hour, not a minute. We’re lining up the strongest entrenched CAD signature we may have seen in 15 years. Make the necessary prep and hope it’s all pingers (which I think is actually pretty likely). SC/NE GA and some of the Sandhills in NC? Not so fortunate I’m afraid… .

I think people are trying to wishcast away and latching onto anything. Also the general vibe in the last years for message boards/Twitter etc. on all topics has been to max out nihilism. Bottom line is we’re gonna get blasted. But *hopefully* for a lot of north central NC most of it falls as sleet which will be a super fun storm. .

Still at the rough edge of “Go home NAM, you’re drunk” at this stage. .

Yup. Effectively, draw a 45 degree NE line from Charlotte North into Va. on the west/upper side of it, cut 75% of that qpf off the zr totals and add it to sleet and that should be about right. .

Nope. Miss me with that until like Thursday and only if -we have sleet/snowpack to lock in/enhance cold -we have strong consensus on models inside of 72 hours Until both those are met. .

Euro just folded like a cheap suit on CAD strength. Welcome to Sleetmaggedon 2026 my NC brethren! .

Yeh, miss me with that craziness until we have full model agreement sub 72 hrs out. .

For GA and midland SC folks, yeh, freaking is justified. That’s a monster CAD and we know how those hold on for dear life. For us in NC, I really think there is enough power in that CAD that we’ll get the heavy bulk as Sleetmaggedon 2026, especially 64 north. Charlotte….wtf knows although I’d lean sleet there as well for 75-80% of it. .

We are sleet GOLDEN GODS. .

Pack05 also has a burner. Cool. .