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Everything posted by DeltaPilot
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I got a feeling there may be quite a bit of participation with this thread. We missed the snow here by about 10 miles this weekend!!! I was too depressed to post.
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Trend has been our friend though Suzook! Still think its not going to be cold enough for it to stick.
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I wasnt aware of that. Very interesting.
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Ahh Recon! WTF is that all about anyway? Never heard of such a thing in Winter!
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I agree that for the most part temps are going to be an issue and thats gonna lower amounts quite a bit. Roads should be fine, but with all this model waffling going on we are still over 48 hours out! Storm Cancel?? Maybe not yet. Im hoping for a dusting here at least, but its looking more like nothing. Ive been living here S of ATL for almost 30 years now and I do remember 15-25 years ago it seemed like we would get at least one or two solid events each winter.
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Ill take the NAM! Timing will be an issue, hoping for earlier start so maybe we can get some of it to stick. In the bullseye there S-SW of ATL.
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There were several obviously large Tornados that rolled through Eastern AL early this am. Anyone have any info on tracks and severity/ damage assessments on these? This place used to do a great job of documenting that. I see very little of that now during and after severe events here.
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After midnight tonight Bankdawg. Probably in early am is what Im seeing. Get yourself a good radar app that shows velocities, doppler, and warnings. I pay for RadarScope pro.
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The runways probably finally dried out enough or they treated them. My guess is it will be good to go in the am tomorrow.
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I know I looked at a LOT of models last week, who didnt!!! But what I recall is most of the models got quite a few runs which looked very much like what we actually got. All of the models at one point or another had several ensemble runs which kind of nailed it. Im curious for you guys who look way closer at this stuff than most of us do which ones got the overall system "mostly" correct for the gulf states and into the Carolinas, I.E the southeast?
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Suzook. 6784808918 feel free to text me I do a 2 day trip and get back Sat afternoon. Figure out when works for my winnings!
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I finished up with just shy of 1.5" Im calling it 1.3" here. Pretty morning but the roads last night and into this am were and still are a shitshow. Should get melting on all sun exposed surfaces cranking up any time now and improve the situation. Im hearing the ATL airport and Delta Operations are a full on complex IROP causing massive delays and cancellations. Im sure every early go today needed de-icing and thats just fuel added to the fire. Word on the street is over 500 ground/ramp personnel either called in sick or could not make it in. Will take a few days to smooth out, but its pretty bad.
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I just measured, 3 places, right at 1" as of about 5 minutes ago. Couple miles SE of KFFC. Snowing pretty good still here. ATM I'd call it light to occasional moderate. Im guessing we could get close to 2 here if this keeps up for another couple more hours. KFFC Metar is 1/2 M SN FZFG. Interestingly, it did not stick to the roads for quite a while.
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Measured 1" here about 25 minutes ago in Senoia, GA. Snowing light to occasionally moderate now. Temps going back down, 25 here. Im going to guess we might get near 2" if it keeps up like this for another few hours, but Im pretty happy. Two measurable events in one month. For being "on the line" in a bunch of the models over the last three or four days, I'd say this is going to over perform here. NWS had lowered totals to T-1/2 inch 48 hours ago.
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Solid light snow now, roof picking up a coating. 28 degrees
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As a pilot ive seen some pretty crazy stuff with regards to snowfall and coverage. From higher altitudes its hard to fathom how the line can be extremely abrupt. Like someone painted the earth with a brush.
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We keep getting little bouts of flurries here. Very light and usually lasts about 5-10 minutes. Happening since about 930 or so this am. Its trying, but the column is still too dry.
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We have had flakes off and on now for about 45 minutes. Good sign.
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Bench, I think she will be fine. Still gonna be a bit before the column gets saturated. Think things will run fine, but once it starts sticking the deice operation will begin and that will likely cause delays in the range of an hour or so, then it will get ugly into the evening later on. Right now would more depend on where her plane is coming from since there are a lot of impacts along the gulf coast states.
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Son in LaGrange reporting light snow at surface @ 7:50am
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Prob should move to OBS thread for those of us about to be in it.
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Son in LaGrange says light snow started about 20 minutes ago, 750ish am.
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I really find it hard to believe ATL proper is going to get anything more than a dusting. Gonna take a while for the precip to saturate the column. I dont think we will get heavy enough for long enough to really get anything over a light coat by the time this goes by. Looking at the tilt though and where the snow is firing up farther north in TX right now sure seems promising. We just need a bit stronger storm than whats progged and some of us might be pretty happy tomorrow night.
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Well, I think you said we get some "mood flakes". I win if its over 1/2" and you win if its less???? Sounds good on the Beer. Maybe take the average of NWS and our locations?? And I DO know how to measure.
