southmdwatcher

The storms along I64 started this morning down in North Carolina and have been moving northward steadily since then.

80 F and 64 are the current temperature and dewpoint from my Kestrel 4500. Still plenty of sunshine ongoing.

2.38" for the day, 1.5" since midnight

Charles County Scanner confirmed tornado on 234

I had 10.5 inches of rain in August......have had over 10 inches several times in a month here previously.....let's have at it. 

1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Don’t worry it’ll keep trending south- I am the Psuhoffman of non-winter storms 

LOL, we don't need this one!

2.94" last night from the two storms and 10.44" for the month of August. 

1 hour ago, CLTwx said:

SMH...for millions. 

Very poor decision potentially.

The track of Fred is shifting east with each update. Trouble if we get soaked ahead of it this week.

4.41" last night. Thankfully the ground was dry here prior to that deluge. 

Power already went out once, lots of CG lightning and very heavy rain. And we are at the western edge of the boundary that has set up.

This tornado in central Pennsylvania, fortunately did not impact anything. The motion was quite strong.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/ctpSKYWARN/posts/910450359510524/

Today was not just about sunny skies and having the most CAPE, thermal gradient boundaries, and outflow boundaries from last night's storms played into this if one is looking for supercells and the higher end severe weather. Sure if we all had an extra 2 hours of full sunshine and the regionwide CAPE was 500-1000j/kg higher then today would have been different. That isn't realistic in this region. 

1 hour ago, yoda said:

I'd say the EZF cell was big

This certainly lived up to expectations within the region from Philly to south of Fredericksburg VA, even if it did not in your own backyard.

We have broken skies here in Charles County and even less cloud coverage further east and south. Already 1000 to 1500 MLCAPE east of DC, so we aren't in terrible shape. But the MCS rain shield over Ohio looks to head straight for DC area.

The enhanced risk area shifted further north, the MCS rain shield does not look to be decaying much at this time.

Thanks for that placefile Eskimo Joe. Should come in handy.

This little supercell that just passed over west side of Alexandria is hooking pretty good near the Rt1 exit /WW Bridge. Winds are sub severe but frequent gusts.

Haven't been down to Clearwater since the 1990's but remember the first and second visit vividly. The causeway that leads out there is very low. The first year I visited, there was a tropical depression offshore and the water was up to the shoulders at road level. Second time I was there, from Clearwater beach the GOM was as calm as glass and that was a truly impressive sight. Goodluck with your chase WxWatcher007.

Elsa has really slowed down just east of Jamaica. Now only moving at 12 knots, as per the 5am NHC advisory.

Sterling's radar has always had issues picking up the intensity of storms to the west and especially southwest towards Culpepper area.

Western areas had significant severe weather and F4 in Frostburg and several F3's in Pennsylvania.

GREarth is showing some areas of uber extreme southwest Charles County about 5 or so miles south of Nanjemoy with 14.5 to 15 inches of rain in the past 12 hours and an area about 5 or so miles wide surrounding it with 9-10 plus inches. That 3k NAM just missed by 25 miles south.

Some serious rainfall totals are going to start building up in Charles, St. Mary's, King George, and Stafford counties. Southwestern Charles County with 3-4 inches in the past hour and still going.

Since there are not many clouds out there, are the local radars picking up cicadas surrounding each of the radars?? LWX, TBWI, TDCA, TADW all have strong returns surrounding the sites.