southmdwatcher

2 hours ago, yoda said:

June 4th and June 10th and June 16th 2008 were MOD risks... but for wind down here

June 1 2012 was a Moderate Risk day in DC/Baltimore area for Tornadoes and SPC added hatched for TOR at 20z a busted forecast. Storms coming across WVA right now look early.

There should be places in southern MD that have had 30+ inches of rain since July1st. My location has received 21.2"

2.67" overnight and 11.4" for the month.

We will probably be going over 10 inches of rain for the month in the next hour, Calvert County look out. This train track set up is not looking good.

The Sterling forecast discussion said that the best opportunity for severe weather would likely be DC/Baltimore and south/eastward across Delmarva/southern MD and central VA. More unstable and time for storms to organize.

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

Anyone else getting concerned about people being underprepared for Laura?  Significant model differences on track and intensity, but it is just 3 days away from making landfall somewhere.  Combine that with life and news distractions such as covid and the RNC, and it could be setting up to be bad.  This would be particularly problematic if it targets a very populated area like Houston/Galveston.

I agree with this,  Marco is the first storm and should have moderate impacts along the central Gulf coast. People need warning for BOTH EVENTS, and Laura has a much higher ceiling for trouble.  The national media and potentially the emergency management officials are waiting for Laura to show her cards/media bosses are all in on the political conventions and chit chat.... we are heading for a potential significant disaster.

What website has this for the UKMET? My EuroWX/F5 only goes out to 144 hours and has Laura as a 989 over Parkersburg WVA, strengthening however and heading straight east for our region. What was the landfall pressure for Laura on the UKMET?

GFS 12Z----How about plentiful rains for the next two weeks. We do not need that to verify

Wonderful, LaPlata gets two major cells on that picture, one overhead and another 2 hours out

Thanks...sounds like an event where someone will get rocked. 

Petersburg VA.F4 tornado and southern VA outbreak/largest tornado outbreak in VA prior to Ivan in September 2004 happened August 6 1993. We shall see how this event progresses.

I apologize I usually look into events, is Sunday a potential severe weather outbreak that.can produce tornadoes and hail greater than we are accustomed to? I saw SPC write up that said the focus should go PA and northward.

Radar is absolutely lit up

Prince Frederick WX may get to that double-digit rainfall for the month, tonight if this makes it east....I am at 7.8" for this month....that's a lot of red just to my west.

Charles County for the win again....

It's noisy and large storm merger just west of us.

The west trend can stop with 98L

4.09" last night, 10.83" since June 1 and 14.96 since May 1st. Loud and sleepless night. Just a couple miles east had well over 6 inches of rain last night.

Radar estimates closing in on 7 inches around Hughesville MD area.

3.35" since 10pm.

SPC had the SVR watch until 11pm. Plenty of time for storms to initiate especially north and east of DC.

Finished June with 6.02" and added another 0.60" early this morning. 

Radar already has activity scattered about.....Frederick County MD, Central PA, Shenandoah Valley, approaching far western MD and now approaching I95 west of Stafford/Fredericksburg.

Be careful with claims of redemption, we may get another Hazel or Hurricane of 1821, I would prefer the 1899 Blizzard.

0.52 last night and 5.74 for June

2.56" yesterday and now today almost another inch in past 70 minutes. About 5" for the month.

1.88" in 50 minutes....wow. the heaviest and still going is just south and west of me