RockyKnob

Nah. January 2018 was the best, at least for Chapel Hill. ULL produced a foot and sent Gre Fishel into the fountain.

Dry slot finally relenting in Chapel Hill.

Please don’t call it that. Greensboro averages more snow than Roxboro, and neither hold a candle to the mountains. It may be the snow capital of the WRAL viewing area, but it is far from the snow capital of NC.

Late January 1996 (heavy snow, with a bout of sleet in the middle of the event) and early February 1996 (sleet). Also had some random snow showers a week after the second storm. I lived in Greensboro at the time and the secondary streets in town were ice covered for three weeks.

Jumped from 21.5 up to 25.6 in Chapel Hill. Started out with moderate to heavy sleet, but now all zr. Nowhere near the 31 WRAL predicted for me, though.

Just started back up in Chapel Hill. 21.5°.

The line appears to be moving much more slowly than modeled on the HRR.

Raleigh-Durham MSA is NOT as big as Charlotte’s MSA. 2.7 million versus 2 million. I chalk it up to the fact that the Triangle, and certainly the Triad, get more action than Charlotte.

WNC doesn’t have the fragile pines that are in ENC, so they have that going for them. Also, any places with altitude will either be sleet or rain. It’s tough to get prolonged freezing rain there. The escarpment will have freezing rain, but without the pines to collapse everywhere, it hopefully will not be so bad.

I’m not sure what altitude the warm layer will occupy, but generally, for the reasons you mention, freezing rain is generally not a thing in the mountains. The high peaks in particular should be fine. Valleys like Boone can still have sone issues, but I can’t see prolonged freezing rain above 3,000 feet unless us down in the flatlands get mostly sleet.

I’m no professional, nor even an avid student of the models, but I have lived in North Carolina for 56 years, and I can promise you the Euro is understating the sleet / overstating the freezing rain.

I have. After the big miss on the winter hurricane of 2000, that following December the models and even NOAA was calling for 12-18” across Central NC. Storm systems did not phase, and so we got zip. Not even rain. Just dry.

All snow still here at Chatham / Orange County line just below CH. Steady, moderate snow with some periods of heavy snow. Closing in on 2” via eyeball measure of accumulation on a patio table. I’m hoping for a few more inches if nothing else so I am not reminded of all of the branches I should have picked up out of the yard before this started.

Asphalt driveway finally caving at the Chatham / Orange County line just south of CH. Rates giving the sun angle the middle finger.

Was in a snow hole on the Chatham / Orange County line. Rates picking up again.