powderfreak

That’s a very honest answer, ha. I feel that. These events are always going to have surprises when convection is involved. My one pause is always the consistent bullseye for days… nothing is ever that consistent this time of year. There’s always the haves and have nots… one town gets 0.92” in three rounds of 0.30” rain. While another town does 3.28” not far away.

How far would you toss the extended HRRR if this were winter?

Good wind crossing the Sound. This is close to the radar site, so the radar sample is low elevation. That wind is likely legit for those in its path.

Someone is getting destroyed by flash flooding. It won’t be that widespread, but that signal means damage.

That’s legit. That hail has to be pushing 2”.

There’s 65-70 DBZ scanned south of New Britain. That’s intense. OKX radar sampling that at 3,800ft elevation it looks like.

Decent wind velocities.

76/54 Dried out nicely this afternoon. Open the windows up.

ICON has like a foot for NYC, ha.

I’d feel fairly confident in 1”+ for your location… but yeah, I guess like winter if folks are looking for jackpots those will be narrow. Someone gets 1.5”, they’ll say they were Steined because somewhere else saw 4.5” and flash flooding.

There’s a higher chance of something going wrong for rain in summer than snow in winter?

88/65 Dews are running 5-7F lower up here today. It’s still very hot and humid but definitely a little bit of relief felt with a breeze today.

That’s so brutal in an urban setting. Man, if you don’t have A/C…

Yeah, you’d think if the state’s HI record was 115F, the post would want to focus on all the sites above that level in this image… not the one showing an erroneous 133F. Numerous sites above that 115F level but they lose the viewer by elevating the highest outlier.

Just had a quick shower leave 0.04” and then the sun quickly returned… and oh my god it feels like a real life sauna out there. I’m imagining a PWS with like 80F dews right now after that small amount of moisture. Your skin just turns immediately damp.