powderfreak

Frosty cars when taking the dog out for her final walk. It seems like we will be getting a steady diet of radiational nights even if thicknesses are high. Large diurnal trends this time of year.

31F at 7pm on this ancient device. Time for a real one. Both local PWS also 31F though too.

2015-2016 last Super El Nino... run it back?

Yeah, ADK, Bretton Woods… just one of those things. Toll Road open to the summit, lol. I said no way that thing would open today, figuring an inch or so on road and we close it immediately once any frozen road surfaces. 20F up there and just rime ice. 32F base area.

Nice! We only had snow grains here and a bunch of rime ice up high. Mansfield snuck through with no snow.

Summits hitting freezing now, 43F here with gusty NW winds. Getting pretty good mixing down the eastern slope with CAA.

36F at 9:30pm. Getting to be that time of year.

That sounds great.

Trough looks more positive and progressive… really going to limit cold side moisture.

2.13” in Stratus from yesterday. 49F

Insane sounding for mid-October.

Absolutely ridiculous cold for midday on Saturday on some of these runs. 18z struggling to get to freezing.

Caught this guy enjoying the foliage…

Good AFD from BTV… A cold front will sweep through the area Friday night sharply lowering temperatures 10 to 15 degrees from Friday evening to Saturday morning. Temperatures will likely dip below freezing for most if not all locations across the area with only those near Lake Champlain and immediately near the St. Lawrence River staying above freezing. As temperatures fall, snow levels during the day Saturday will also lower to 500-1000ft agl, with a transition to snow above 1500ft agl, and a rain, wet snow mix, in elevations between 1000- 1500ft agl. A few mixed in flurries cannot be ruled our even in the Champlain Valley, though temperatures will be marginal in the mid to upper 30s. Some snowliage appears likely with ensembles denoting nearly 100% chances for purely snowfall in the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom. Rain and snow showers will taper off Saturday evening as the system pulls away to the northeast. 850 mb temperatures Saturday night will be remarkably cold for this time of year in the -9 to -11C range Saturday night supporting temperatures in the 20s for most of the area, including the entire Champlain Valley. Pockets of teens will be possible in the coldest hollows of the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom as surface temperatures anomalies will be 10 degrees below normal. Temperatures will slowly moderate back towards seasonable normals to start next week.

This would do it.